1. The Freight Model Improvement Program www.fmip.gov T. Randall (Randy) Curlee, Ph.D. National Transportation Research Center Talking Freight Seminar November 16, 2005

2. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY FMIP was launched in 2004 by the US Department of Transportation  Managed by the Office of Freight Management and Operations of the Federal Highway AdministrationOffice of Freight Management and Operations  In collaboration with  US Department of Agriculture  US Department of Energy  US Army Corps of Engineers  Supported by Oak Ridge National Laboratory

3. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Premises upon which FMIP is based  Current methods for forecasting freight are inadequate  Freight demand models typically based on passenger travel demand forecasting; freight is different  Practitioners are calling for improvements in both the state of the art and the state of practice in modeling freight

4. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY FMIP was initiated to…  Enhance state of the art and state of practice in freight modeling at national, regional, and local scales  Primary focus on forecasting movements of commodities (trucks, trains, and vessels)  Secondary focus on models of public revenues, environmental consequences, economic consequences, and other societal costs and benefits

5. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Relationship of FMIP to the Freight Analysis Framework (FAF)  FMIP bridges gap between FAF’s national focus with needs of local planning  FMIP is a forum to help practitioners and researchers develop local understanding of freight through local data collection and modeling built on the national picture provided by the FAF

6. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY A key component of FMIP is FMIP.GOV  A clearinghouse designed to provide up-to-date information on current developments in freight modeling  Disseminate inventories and assessments of freight modeling strategies and related data collection methods  Develop a library of current research, data, and methods  Encourage discussion and comments on posted items  Encourage customers to submit copies of their own work  Support direct peer-to-peer exchanges

7. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY

8. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY The major features of FMIP.GOV  About -an introduction to FMIP About  News, Events, and Courses - keep up with freight modeling news and events News, Events, and Courses  Freight Models and Modeling Studies - an inventory of freight models and studies Freight Models and Modeling Studies  Data to Support Freight Models - an inventory of freight model data organized by category Data to Support Freight Models  Related Groups and Links - the World Wide Web of freight modeling Related Groups and Links  Tools - brief descriptions of and links to tools of potential interest to planners and analysts Tools  Discussion - FMIP forums Discussion  Contacts - how to contact FMIP staff Contacts

9. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY

10. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY The major features of FMIP.GOV  About -an introduction to FMIP About  News, Events, and Courses - keep up with freight modeling news and events News, Events, and Courses  Freight Models and Modeling Studies - an inventory of freight models and studies Freight Models and Modeling Studies  Data to Support Freight Models - an inventory of freight model data organized by category Data to Support Freight Models  Related Groups and Links - the World Wide Web of freight modeling Related Groups and Links  Tools - brief descriptions of and links to tools of potential interest to planners and analysts Tools  Discussion - FMIP forums Discussion  Contacts - how to contact FMIP staff Contacts

11. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY

12. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY FMIP Model Inventory  Inventory of Freight Models Inventory of Freight Models  National and International Modeling Studies National and International Modeling Studies  State and Regional Freight Modeling Studies State and Regional Freight Modeling Studies  Metropolitan and Local Freight Modeling Studies Metropolitan and Local Freight Modeling Studies  Library of Freight Modeling Papers Library of Freight Modeling Papers

13. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY National and International Freight Modeling Studies  Bureau of Transport and Regional Development, Australia Bureau of Transport and Regional Development, Australia  United Kingdom Department of Transportation Review of Freight Modeling United Kingdom Department of Transportation Review of Freight Modeling  Great Britain Freight Model - description of methodology Great Britain Freight Model - description of methodology  South-East Queensland Intermodal Freight Terminals Study (Australia) South-East Queensland Intermodal Freight Terminals Study (Australia)  Swedish National Model System for Freight Transport (SAMGODS) Swedish National Model System for Freight Transport (SAMGODS)

14. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY State and Regional Freight Modeling Studies  California Goods Movement California Goods Movement  Colorado Railroad Study Colorado Railroad Study  I-5 Rail Capacity Corridor Study I-5 Rail Capacity Corridor Study  Kentucky I-75 North-South Transportation Initiative Truck Model Kentucky I-75 North-South Transportation Initiative Truck Model  Oklahoma Intermodal Transportation Plan Oklahoma Intermodal Transportation Plan  Oregon Freight Study Oregon Freight Study  The Mountain-Plains Consortium (Intermodal and Freight Logistics) The Mountain-Plains Consortium (Intermodal and Freight Logistics)  State-of-the-Practice In Freight Data: A Review of Available Freight Data in the U.S. (Texas) State-of-the-Practice In Freight Data: A Review of Available Freight Data in the U.S. (Texas)  Florida Intermodal Statewide Highway Freight Model Florida Intermodal Statewide Highway Freight Model  Iowa Statewide Freight Transportation Planning Model and Methodology Development Program Iowa Statewide Freight Transportation Planning Model and Methodology Development Program  Minnesota Office of Freight & Commercial Vehicle Operations Minnesota Office of Freight & Commercial Vehicle Operations  Minnesota Statewide Freight Flows Study Minnesota Statewide Freight Flows Study  Freight Impacts on Ohio Roadways Freight Impacts on Ohio Roadways  Upper Midwest Freight Corridor Study Upper Midwest Freight Corridor Study  Washington Statewide Freight Transportation Analysis Washington Statewide Freight Transportation Analysis  Virginia: Application of a Statewide Intermodal Freight Planning Methodology Virginia: Application of a Statewide Intermodal Freight Planning Methodology

15. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Metropolitan and Local Freight Modeling Studies  Baltimore Metropolitan Council, MD - Truck Model Baltimore Metropolitan Council, MD - Truck Model  Chicago Area Transportation Study, IL. Cooperative Highway/Vehicle Automation Study (CVHAS) Chicago Area Transportation Study, IL. Cooperative Highway/Vehicle Automation Study (CVHAS)  Eastern Colorado Mobility Study Eastern Colorado Mobility Study  New York Metropolitan Transportation Council Freight Plan Project New York Metropolitan Transportation Council Freight Plan Project  North New Jersey Transportation Planning Authority Inc North New Jersey Transportation Planning Authority Inc  Sarasota-Manatee Freight Movement Study (Florida MPO) Sarasota-Manatee Freight Movement Study (Florida MPO)  Kentucky I-75 North-South Transportation Initiative Truck Model Kentucky I-75 North-South Transportation Initiative Truck Model  Portland Oregon Economic Impacts Study Portland Oregon Economic Impacts Study  Edmonton (Canada) Commodity Flow Survey and External Truck Trip Projects Edmonton (Canada) Commodity Flow Survey and External Truck Trip Projects  Broward County Freight and Goods Movement Study (Florida MPO) Broward County Freight and Goods Movement Study (Florida MPO)  Cross-Cascades Corridor Analysis Study (Washington State) Cross-Cascades Corridor Analysis Study (Washington State)  Developing a Truck/Freight Model for the Los Angeles Metropolitan Area Developing a Truck/Freight Model for the Los Angeles Metropolitan Area  Los Angeles County MTA truck/freight forecasting model (southern California) Los Angeles County MTA truck/freight forecasting model (southern California)

16. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Library of Freight Modeling Papers  1) Freight modeling review articlesFreight modeling review articles   2) Modeling hazardous freight movementsModeling hazardous freight movements   3) Truck trip generation/attraction modelingTruck trip generation/attraction modeling   4) Modeling the value of time in freight studiesModeling the value of time in freight studies   5) Freight and commodity flow modelingFreight and commodity flow modeling   6) Freight traffic assignment/network flow modelingFreight traffic assignment/network flow modeling   7) Modeling freight supply chainsModeling freight supply chains   8) Intermodal freight and terminal transfers modelingIntermodal freight and terminal transfers modeling 

17. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Library of Freight Modeling Papers (continued)  9) Multi-step freight planning modelsMulti-step freight planning models   10) Freight corridor and system capacity modelingFreight corridor and system capacity modeling   11) Dedicated truck lane modelingDedicated truck lane modeling   12) Truck size and weight modelingTruck size and weight modeling   13) Modeling urban freight movementsModeling urban freight movements   14) Freight mode choice modelingFreight mode choice modeling   15) Freight data collection methodsFreight data collection methods   16) Modeling the energy and environmental impacts of freightModeling the energy and environmental impacts of freight   17) Statewide and regional freight planning studiesStatewide and regional freight planning studies

18. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Keys to Success?

19. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY First, understand the basic questions being asked…  What and how much freight will be shipped?  Origins and destinations?  By what mode? Or more appropriately modes…  By what route?  At what cost?  At what transit time?  How will the answer to each question change over time?

20. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY And understand why we ask these basic questions…  Safety, Health, and Environmental Impacts  National Security  Congestion  Damage to infrastructure caused by freight  Urban Planning and Smart Growth  A better understanding of the relationship between freight transport and the economy – local, state, regional, national, international  Assess the need for and viability of new and improved transportation infrastructure – at local, state, regional, national, and even international levels

21. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Recognize that our perception of freight modeling and the path forward depend in part on our discipline, e.g.  Civil Engineering  Transportation Planning  Geography  Operations Research  Management Science  Economics

22. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY On our geographic scale of interest…  Local  State  Regional  National  International

23. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY And on the role we play…e.g.  Transportation Analyst  Academic Researcher  Planner  Private Sector Decision Maker  Public Sector Decision Maker

24. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Improvements in freight modeling will depend on  Clearly articulating the objectives of freight models and studies  Adopting Multi-modal and Inter-modal approaches  Multi-disciplinary and Inter-disciplinary collaboration with common terminology  International collaboration  Wisely meshing the theoretical with the empirical; and the ideal with the practical  Making the most of current data, while laying a course for data improvements

25. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY In Conclusion…

26. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY Please contribute to the FMIP.GOV Forum!!

27. O AK R IDGE N ATIONAL L ABORATORY U. S. D EPARTMENT OF E NERGY We Want Your Input!! We Want To Serve Your Needs!! www.fmip.gov Contacts  Dr. Tianjia Tang, tianjia.tang@fhwa.dot.gov  Office of Freight Management and Operations, FHWA  Dr. Randy Curlee, curleetr@ornl.gov  Center for Transportation Analysis, Oak Ridge National Laboratory