Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Regional Outlook Bernard M. Markstein Director of Forecasting April, 2007.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "Regional Outlook Bernard M. Markstein Director of Forecasting April, 2007."— Presentation transcript:

1 Regional Outlook Bernard M. Markstein Director of Forecasting April, 2007

2 History and Forecast

3 10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: 4.8% Total Starts Growth Q4 2005 vs. Q4 2004 (%)

4 Total Starts Growth Q4 2006 vs. Q4 2005 (%) 10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: -24.3%

5 Total Starts Growth Q4 2007 vs. Q4 2006 (%) 10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: -5.4%

6 Total Starts Growth Q4 2008 vs. Q4 2007 (%) 10.0 to 0 0 to -10.0 Less Than -10.0 More than 10.0 US: 5.8%

7 Population Growth

8 Population Change: 2005 versus 2004 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 0.98%

9 Population Change: 2006 versus 2005 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 0.98%

10 Employment Growth

11 Employment Growth: 2005 versus 2004 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 1.7%

12 Employment Growth: 2006 versus 2005 More than 2% 1% to 2% 0% to 1% Less than 0% US: 1.9%

13 Housing Prices

14 Change in Existing Home Prices in Y/Y Q4, 2005 20% or more 10% to 20% 5% to 10% 5% or less US: 13.2%

15 Change in Existing Home Prices in Y/Y Q4, 2006 20% or more 10% to 20% 5% to 10% 5% or less US: 5.9%

16 Subprime Loans

17 Share of Loans serviced at Subprime: 2002 Q4 Less than 4% 4% to 7% 7% to 10% More than 10% US: 3.8%

18 Share of Loans serviced at Subprime: 2006 Q4 Less than 4% 4% to 7% 7% to 10% More than 10% US: 11.6%

19 Share of Loans serviced at Subprime: % point increase from 2002 Q4 to 2006 Q4 Less than 3 3 to 6 6 to 9 More than 9 US: 7.8


Download ppt "Regional Outlook Bernard M. Markstein Director of Forecasting April, 2007."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google