1. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20031 Naval Platform Control Systems: 2015 & Beyond Joseph Famme Rangesh Kasturi April 18, 1997 Note: This is a re-print of the 1997 slides used for the 11 th International Naval Controls Conference presentation given by Joseph Famme, April 18, 1997, made by ITE Inc, www.ITEinc.US, jfamme@ITEinc.USwww.ITEinc.US jfamme@ITEinc.US Please see text of the associated technical paper given at the University of Southampton, UK Mr. Famme is now President of ITE Inc.

2. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20032 Time and Change  Ten Years+ to design and build a ship for 30+ years service  The World keeps changing !  The Technology keeps changing !

3. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20033 Population & Naval Manpower Population Reference Bureau, United Nations World Bank 1996 The Life of Our Ship

4. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20034 Population & Oil Production Oil Data: University of Colorado, School of Geology 1996

5. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20035 Population & Economics  Is it true that economic competition pulls the trigger?  Should defense readiness be increasing or decreasing?  What are the implications for the naval profession?

6. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20036 Agrarian Age to Quantum Mechanics?  Agrarian Age  Industrial Revolution  Information Age  Quantum Mechanics  ????? Each Age Cycle gets shorter …..  How will we address the unknowable?

7. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20037 Chaos Theory  The fast pace of change challenges the social fabric  Economic disparities could pull the trigger  Not every one plays by the rules ?

8. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20038 Violent and Surprise Threats  New levels of international cooperation required  For all people, not just military units:  Continuous alert and readiness  Instantaneous response

9. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 20039 Technology  For Us … equals, for them !  Advanced hardware & software  Advanced Virtual Reality  With a new name !  Personnel monitoring / communications  Laser weapons

10. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200310 Ship Forms: Back to the Future  1870: Jules Verne, “20,000 Leagues Under the Sea”  1910: The Great White Fleet  1997: High Speed Ships for the new electronics!

11. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200311... New (old) Hulls Forms!

12. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200312 Tonnage: 33Kts & 100k HP

13. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200313 Fuel for 21st Century Ships  Speed  Fuel demand  ………..Fuel (Oil) ………………..available

14. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200314 Computation Power - Life of Ship  Ship design and service life may span 50 years  The computation power will increase by several orders of magnitude  How do we plan?  How do we educate our children?

15. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200315 Bandwidth: The New Frontier  The next major driver for technology advance  Mr. Gilder says we haven’t seen anything yet  Everyone can be connected  Ubiquitous computing!  As if we were in the 1700’s and discussing space flight … who would believe us?

16. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200316 Controls 2015 & Beyond  Intelligent Sensors  MEMS  Intelligent Automated Actuators  Virtual Situational Awareness  Remote control  1/10 th crew  Ubiquitous computing  All persons - all equipment

17. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200317 Cooperative Support Capability  CEC to CSC !!!!  Equipment sensors will become fully intelligent  sense own temp / pressures …  perform own condition assessment  report own condition  permit equipment to cooperate with other equipment  support equipment that is mal-performing  modify operation to support platform goals and constraints

18. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200318 Platform Operator Associate  Equipment / sensors system will use AI enhancement to support human objectives (goals) while conforming to directed constraints  Current DARPA program

19. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200319 Smart Pumps Pump A Pump B Pump C Pump X Transceiver

20. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200320 Technology Summary  We don’t know … can’t know  Who in the 1940s saw SPY-1 radar and Cooperative Engagement - in full automatic?  Let’s try to guess...

21. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200321 Future Controls  Requirements:  Performance  Total Battle Force (Theater) Systems  Total Automation  Damage Control  Human Factors

22. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200322 Performance  Speed is everything  Stealth adds time, sometimes

23. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200323 Battle Force Systems  Everything and everyone is connected  Speed is everything  Humans are a liability … except for their strategic thinking ability

24. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200324 Human Factors  Humans are:  Intelligent But …  Too weak  Too slow  Too vulnerable  Require enormous logistical and medical support

25. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200325 Damage Control  Passive … survivability built-in to the structure  large areas of inert space  no life support  Active …  adaptive and reactive systems  Remote and automated control  Decision aids

26. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200326 Why Humans at All?  Intelligence:  Strategy  Tactics  Intuition  Anticipation  Insight  Reflection  Lessons learned  Situational Awareness  Things computers don’t do well… as yet!

27. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200327 Conclusions  Ships will not have the nostalgia of the pre- 21st century  Ships will not be glamorous fighting vehicles like space wars  Ships: just a node in world-wide defense system … Sorry !

28. Re-printed by the Author J Famme, August 200328 Conclusions  But the few left will be:  Very, very FAST  Very, very high fire power  Worthy of our design and control systems