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Global Economic Environment. World Population Top 10 - 1995 In Millions China: 1,208 India: 939 Rest of World: 2,397 Pakistan: 131 Indonesia: 194 Brazil:

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Presentation on theme: "Global Economic Environment. World Population Top 10 - 1995 In Millions China: 1,208 India: 939 Rest of World: 2,397 Pakistan: 131 Indonesia: 194 Brazil:"— Presentation transcript:

1 Global Economic Environment

2 World Population Top 10 - 1995 In Millions China: 1,208 India: 939 Rest of World: 2,397 Pakistan: 131 Indonesia: 194 Brazil: 162 Taiwan: 124 Bangladesh: 122 Japan: 126 United States: 263 Russian Federation: 150

3 World Population Top 10 - 2020 In Millions China: 1,711 India: 1,578 Rest of World: 3,907 Pakistan: 280 Indonesia: 303 Brazil: 260 Bangladesh: 210 Nigeria: 227 Taiwan: 162 United States: 329 Russian Federation: 165

4 World Population by Major Areas and Life Expectancy World2,516.04,8555,4797,204.063.9 Africa222.05546821,148.052.0 Asia1,378.02,8423,2334,240.062.7 North America166.0264283311.075.6 Latin America166.0400458629.066.7 Europe (including USSR*)573.0770797843.072.2 Oceania13.0252734.071.3 1950198519922010Life (millions)(millions)(millions)(millions) Expectancy 1985 (years) *Estimate includes all republics of former USSR. SOURCE: World Population Prospects (New York: United Nations, 1990), pp. 22-28 and 1992; Demographic Yearbook (New York: United Nations, 1994), p.103.

5 GNP per Capita: 1995 & 2020 Top Ten Countries Luxembourg$37,800 Switzerland36,900 Japan33,700 Denmark 27,100 Norway 26,600 U.S. 25,300 Sweden 24,900 Germany 24,500 Austria24,100 Kuwait23,700 1995 Singapore$75,200 Luxembourg73,600 Japan72,400 Hong Kong71,900 Switzerland44,000 Austria40,500 Belgium40,200 Germany39,200 Korea38,400 Cyprus38,000 2020

6 GLOBAL INCOME AND POPULATION: 1995 World (Total) $25,097 $4,678 100 5,815 100 Triad (Total) 19,119 24,203 76 790 14 North America* 7,253 24,903 29 291 5 Japan 4,247 33,748 17 126 2 EU 7,619 20,435 30 373 6 Other High Income 844 34,415 3 25 <1 Upper Middle Income 2,239 4,397 9 509 9 Lower Middle Income 2,403 1,001 10 2,401 41 Low Income 491 300 2 1,640 28 Unavailable Data N/A N/A N/A 450 8 GNP (billion) GNP Per Capita % of World GNP Population (million) % of World Population Market *Not including Mexico

7 Country Income Segmentation High Income (Advanced Countries) - Triad - Others Upper Middle Income (NIC's) Lower Middle Income (DC's) Low Income (LDC's) Basket Cases (BC's) + $14,000 + $2,500 + $500 < $500

8 GLOBAL INCOME AND POPULATION: 1995 GNP with PPP GNP Per Capita GNP Per Capita with PPP Market *Not including Mexico World (Total) $25,097 $30,783 100 100 $4,678 $5,863 Triad (Total) 19,119 16,992 76 55 24,203 21,511 North America* 7,253 7,246 29 24 24,903 24,877 Japan 4,247 2,849 17 9 33,748 22,636 EU 7,619 6,898 30 22 20,435 18,502 Other High Income844 631 3 2 34,415 35,904 Upper Middle Income 2,239 3,504 9 11 4,397 7,604 Lower Middle Income 2,403 7,480 10 24 1,001 3,126 Low Income 491 2,176 2 7 300 1,370 Purchasing Power Parity Compared (billion) % of world GNP % of world GNP with PPP

9 Standard of Living China70572437.576.9384,000,000 Hong Kong7779334.01.695,000 Japan79116091.61.9130,000 U.S.76124041.21.328,000 Russia60275150,000,000 Life Expectancy Schooling (av. years) Number of people per: DoctorTVPhoneMcDonald’s Sources: WEFA, AsiaWeek, McDonald’s, The New York Times

10 Income Inequality Source: Brookings Institutions; IFS; Lynn Karoly, RAND Corporation, World Bank Ratio of income of richest 20% of households to poorest 20%, latest year available

11 India: A Closer Look Per capita income$330 Per capita GDP$310 Population950m Literacy rate<50% Telephones6m Television Sets35m Access to clean sanitation*14% Population with income >$2,5002.3% Average household size5.2 Growth rate3.5% 1994 *One of the lowest rates of access in the world

12 WESTERN EUROPE Intra-Trade:1,230 Exports: 481 Imports: 473 World Trade Flows ASIA Intra-Trade: 394 Exports: 491 Imports: 360 REST OF WORLD Intra-Trade: 57 Exports: 255 Imports: 303 AMERICAS Intra-Trade: 221 Exports: 364 Imports: 455 160 162 128 170 40 44 143 191 253 160 1992 Sources: International Trade Statistics General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade Geneva 1993 72 68 (in billions of dollars)

13 Leading World Trading Countries, 1992 ($ millions) U.S.A. $447.4$552.6$1,000.0 Germany429.3 407.9837.2 Japan340.0232.9572.9 United Kingdom190.1220.9411.0 Italy180.0190.7 370.7 Netherlands138.9130.3269.2 Canada133.4126.8260.2 Belgium/Luxembourg122.9124.9247.8 Hong Kong119.5123.4242.9 China 86.281.7167.9 Spain64.598.6163.1 South Korea74.881.4156.2 Taiwan81.472.3153.7 Switzerland65.565.7131.2 Singapore49.676.1125.7 * Order determined by total dollar value of exports and imports. For additional trade data see: "Indicators of Market Size for 115 Countries, Part I," Crossborder Monitor, August 31, 1994, pp. 4-8. Country*Exports ImportsTotal

14 The Expanding Triad European Economic Area N. American Free Trade Area Japan and the Tigers Population (million) GNP (billion) GNP Per Capita 381$ 7,596$ 19,930 384 $ 13,840 380 $ 7,888$ 20,746 U.S., Canada, Mexico Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand 1995 figures % of World: 7%30% % of World: 7%21% % of World: 7%31% EU: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, U.K. EFTA: Iceland, Switzerland $ 5,314

15 International Product Trade Cycle Model 1 234 56789101112131415 1 3 456 7 89101112131415 1 23456789101112131415 High Income Countries Medium Income Countries Low Income Countries Time Stages of Production Development New ProductStandardized ProductMaturing Product QuantityQuantity production consumption 2


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