1. GRAIN MARKETS MONITORING (SPAIN) 1 1 ST AMIS-Med meeting (Mediterranean network on agricultural market information) París, 22-23 february 2014 Ana Belén Pérez Santar SG Cultivos Herbáceos e Industriales (cultivos@magrama.es)

2. CEREALS BALANCE SHEET – SOURCE DATA (I) Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Environment – Arable Crops Unit 2  AREA, YIELD AND PRODUCTION Forecast based on: Preview of surface areas and agricultural production (Monthly) Territorial situation reports (Weekly) CAP declarations (Annual) Monitoring and alert system for the current evolution of crops and land use (From January to June) Crop surface area and yields survey (ESYRCE) (Annual)

3. CEREALS BALANCE SHEET – SOURCE DATA (II) Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Environment – Arable Crops Unit 3  TRADE, USE AND STOCKS (ending carryover) Forecast based on: Trade Food Consumption Panel (monthly catering industry/household consumption survey) Average sowing rates (Seeds used for the following sowing season) Information by industry/processors (manufacture of feeds, malt, ethanol, etc.) Information by cereals expert analysts Historical data/trends Intra EU - INTRASTAT system (Department of Customs and Special Taxes) Extra EU - Actual imports and exports (Department of Customs and Special Taxes) Applications for import/export licences (State Secretary for Foreign Trade) Information by commercial operators Use (Food, feed, seed and other uses) Stocks

4. MAIN DIFFICULTIES, GAPS AND NEEDS Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Environment – Arable Crops Unit 4  Lack of detailed information No official statistics for some components of the balance (stocks, use…) and uncertainty on other figures (intra EU trade…) No mandatory declarations of farm/commercial stocks, use, etc. Low degree of interaction/coordination between the public and the private sector  Delay of the information available Extra EU trade (±6 weeks) Official crop production forecast (±2 months)  Difficulties in the use of historical data to make trends/models Climatic variability Price volatility  Lack of financial and human resources Strong inter-annual variability

5. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Mediterranean network on agricultural market information (AMIS Med) / 22-23 FEBRUARY 2014 5 cultivos@magrama.es