1. The Future of Healthcare in Europe 13 May 2011 Mary Ward House In cooperation with the Finnish Institute in London Supported by the Embassy of Finland and the Embassy of Denmark

2. Increasing gap between total health spending and GDP growth Total spend on health GDP 1970198019902000 OECD Countries indexed at 1970 = 100 1,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 A widening gap due to: An ageing population Changing definition of health Consumer expectation Medical innovation Disease pattern shifts

3. Demography Economic −Recession −Tax earner : beneficiary ratio Technological capacity −Affordability v Productivity gains Public expectation Supply and demand factors

4. Today’s programme Session 1: The Health Challenge: An overview Keynote: Professor Sir Michael Marmot Session 2: Technology Drivers: Problems and Solutions Keynote: Professor Michael Hübel Session 3: Economic models Session 4: Responding to the challenge: determining health policy Concluding remarks: Professor Albert Weale