1. The Future of the International System

2. Trends and Transformations? 1.Unipolarity: Can it Last? 2.New Cold War 3.Multipolarity 4.Joint Leadership 5.Globalization: Interdependence 6.Rapid Change and Instability 7.Decline of Nation-State Power 8.Challenging States 9.Wild Cards

3. 1. Unipolarity Can it Last? It never has before

4. US Wealth See When Will China Become a Major Player in Solar? Dave Cavanaugh — September 28, 2010 http://www.pikeresearch.com/blog/articles/when-will-china-become-a-major-player-in-solar

5. Defense Spending by Nation

6. Global Military Spending SIPRI data http://www.sipri.org/research/armaments/milex/factsheet2010http://www.sipri.org/research/armaments/milex/factsheet2010

7. Can Unipolarity Last?

8. China’s Growing Wealth

10. Mark Selden, Nation, Region and the Global in East Asia: Conflict and Cooperation, The Asia- Pacific Journal: Japan Focus, http://japanfocus.org/-Mark-Selden/3422

11. 2. New Cold War One nation catches up to the US Rising Challenger Declining hegemon

12. US vs. China President Obama and President Hu (2010)

13. Great Power Challenges Rival Power Ideology – One-Party State vs. Liberal Democracy

14. 3. Multipolarity Many nations catch up to the US The US falls back to the pack

15. A Multipolar System USA Russia Japan EU Brazil ChinaIndia

16. Or Another Bipolar System US IndiaRussia China

17. 4. Joint Leadership G-20 G-20

18. 5. Globalization: Interdependence: conflict won’t become war

19. Welcome to China

20. Welcome to the US

21. Welcome to New York

22. 6. Rapid Change and Instability The Process of democratization Revolution – Tahrir Square, Cairo 2011

23. 7. Decline of Nation-State Power The Nation-State System evolves – Governments weaken a)Financial Flows that governments can’t control b)Organizations that governments can’t control or defend themselves against i.Governments have lost the monopoly on violence, ideas, and communications

24. A. Financial Flows that governments can’t control Developing Asia Countries Net Private Capital Flows (from Commonwealth Treasury, Australia, Dr Ken Henry, Restoring Growth to the East Asian Region, 2002, http://www.treasury.gov.au/documents/265/HTML/docshell.asp?URL=default.asp

25. US GDP Growth

26. B. Organizations: AQAM Attacks 2001-2011

27. Transnational Organized Crime: Mexico vs. Drug Cartels source:http://www.utexas.edu/international/ioc/safety_updates.html

28. 8. Challenging States Iranian power

29. North Korean Ballistic Missile Ranges

30. 9. Wild Cards Climate Change Energy Food Population Over-urbanization Migration Technology: – Internet – Drones – Autonomous robots that enslave humans…