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IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 Assessing the Growth of the 450 Digital Market 2004 – A Year in review Joe Nordgaard IA450 Board Member for.

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Presentation on theme: "IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 Assessing the Growth of the 450 Digital Market 2004 – A Year in review Joe Nordgaard IA450 Board Member for."— Presentation transcript:

1 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 Assessing the Growth of the 450 Digital Market 2004 – A Year in review Joe Nordgaard IA450 Board Member for Iberiatel Managing Director Spectral Advantage LLC Joe.Nordgaard@spectraladvantage.com

2 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 2004 – the cdma450 flames catch “You can blow out a candle But you can't blow out a fire Once the flames begin to catch The wind will blow it higher.” Peter Gabriel – Biko (A tribute to Stephen Biko, a murdered Black South African rights activist)

3 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 – A Year in Review Regulatory Actions and Decisions Standards and Association Activities Operator Growth Subscriber Growth – EMC Update Media and Markets New Vendors and Products Top Five 450 Events of the Past Year

4 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review March - CEPT Decision ( ECC/DEC/(04)06) (http://www.ero.dk/documentation/docs/doccategory.asp?catid =1&catname=ECC/ERC/ECTRA%20Decisions) May - India’s TRAI spectrum consultation (http://www.trai.gov.in/consultation.htm) July - Brazil files to Harmonize 450 throughout the Americas in the CITEL (http://www.citel.oas.org/) Regulatory Actions and Decisions

5 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Regulatory Actions and Decisions Microsoft strongly endorses TRAI’s ongoing commitment to removing regulatory barriers to new services. We also agree with TRAI that wireless technologies can play an increasingly important role in the expansion of robust and easily accessible broadband networks. In the context of this Spectrum Consultation, we encourage TRAI to consider that 450 MHz spectrum could be used for both mobile and terrestrial wireless broadband services, and that both unlicensed and licensed solutions will benefit consumers. Sincerely, Rajiv Kaul Managing Director Microsoft Corporation India Private Limited. http://www.trai.gov.in/spectrum/Microsoft%20Corporation.pdf Microsoft’s closing remarks in their TRAI filing:

6 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Norway licenses via auction, France, Germany and UK open consultations Sweden plans to license via auction, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan license, Finland trial, Licensing in Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda, Nigeria South Africa and Namibia consultation, Moldova allocates, Jamaica opens consultation, Balkans study Regulatory Actions and Decisions

7 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 Cdma450 deployments, scheduled deployments and trials = Trial = regulatory investigation = cdma450 deployments announced or planned = cdma450

8 Cdma450 activity in Russia © Spectral Advantage LLC Commercial Trials Volga Tel, UralWestcom Commercial deployments announcement Development planned

9 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 Cdma450 in China = cdma450 Commercial China Telecom = cdma450 quasi-commercial Wireline franchise

10 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Dec. - ITU-D Study "Economics of Migration to IMT-2000" Dec. - ITU IMT-2000 Seminar – Ljubljana, Slovenia March – Telexpo ANATEL Trial – Sao Paulo, Brazil March - CTIA Skylink Presentation - Atlanta, USA April - IA450 First Plenary - Shenzhen, China April - IA450/CDG Joint Seminar - Shenzhen, China Standards and Association Activities

11 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review June - ETSI Harmonize Standards - cdma450 June – 3GPP2 Market Representation Partner Warsaw, Poland July - ETSI initiates cdma450 EMC guidelines July – CITEL PCC.II initials 450 study, Sept - IA450 Second Plenary Bucharest, Romania Standards and Association Activities

12 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 3GPP2 Structure Steering Committee Chair: Dr. Hideo Okinaka (KDDI) Vice Chair: Gerry Flynn (Verizon Wireless) Vice Chair: Dr. Y.K. Kim (LG Telecom) Vice Chair: Wan Yi (CCSA) Secretariat: Henry Cuschieri Steering Committee Chair: Dr. Hideo Okinaka (KDDI) Vice Chair: Gerry Flynn (Verizon Wireless) Vice Chair: Dr. Y.K. Kim (LG Telecom) Vice Chair: Wan Yi (CCSA) Secretariat: Henry Cuschieri TSG-C TSG-A TSG-S Access Network Interfaces cdma2000 Radio Interface Services & Systems Aspects Core Networks Organizational Partners Market Representation Partners TSG-X CDG IPv6 Forum IA450

13 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Europe: Norway, Russia (3 or 4 more) Asia: Vietnam, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Cambodia, Laos Africa: Uganda, Kenya, Nigeria, Ethiopia Operator Growth

14 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Lehman Brothers “CDMA450: Perpetuating Asia’s “Growth + Profitability” Story?” Goldman Sachs “Asia-Pacific Telecom Services: 3G in China” Ovum “CDMA450: leapfrogging the mobile generations” IDC “Central and Eastern Europe Broadband Access Services 2004-2008 Forecast” Current Analysis on Lucent’s cdma450 manufacturing move to Poland Report EMC Update “Market Opportunities for CDMA-450” Nomura Report (TBA) Merrill Lynch Report (TBA) Media and Markets

15 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review CDG 450 news: http://www.cdg.org/technology/3g/cdma450/cdma450_news.asp Dow Jones Newswire Financial Times 3G Mobile/Global Mobile Mobile Communications International RCR and Wireless Week in US Forbes The economist TelecomAsia Media and Markets

16 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Operator Growth - EUROPE Operator COUNTRYSTATUSVendor Telemobile/ZappRomaniacommercialLucent Delta Telecom/Skylink 5 Regions RussiaCommercial/Pre-Com.Lucent Volga TelecomRussiaCommercial/Trial Huawei Kuzbass CellularRussiacommercial Huawei Bashkortostan CellularRussiadeploying Huawei UralWestcomRussiatrial Nortel Belcel Belaruscommercial Huawei EurotelCzech Repcommercial Nortel Telecom BalitjaLatviapre-commercial Nortel Radiomovel Portugalpre-commercial Motorola/ Huawei Iberiatel Georgiacommercial Huawei BTC Bulgariatrial Huawei Centerel Polandtrials Lucent/Huawei = NEW

17 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Operator COUNTRYSTATUSVendor Operator Growth - Asia China TelecomChinacommercialHuawei China NetcomChinaquasi-commercialHuawei/ZTE PT Mandara Selular Indonesiacommercial Huawei VPTVietnamcommercialZTE/Huawei/LU Telecom-MaytexUzbekistancommercialHuawei LTCLaosdeployingHuawei PTCLPakistandeployingHuawei CamshinCambodiadeployingHuawei MCTTurkmendeployingHuawei = NEW

18 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Operator COUNTRYSTATUSVendor Operator Growth - Africa Nitel Nigeriacontract Huawei TDM Mozambiquetrial Huawei Uganda telecom Ugandacommercial Huawei Ethiopia Telecom Ethiopiadeploying Huawei TKL Kenyadeploying Huawei = NEW

19 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review Operator COUNTRYSTATUSVendor Operator Growth - Americas ANATEL/CBTC/UnicelBraziltrial Lucent Huawei ZTE TelefonicaPerutrialHuawei = NEW

20 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review New Infrastructure vendors – UTStarcom New Handset vendors – Axesstel Ubiquam R-Way Some New Product Teasers… New Vendors and Products

21 September 2004Ericsson Proprietary and Confidential21 Ericsson’s CDMA 450 MHz Offering & Progress Mobile Market Leader –60% of NMT market share –Largest infrastructure vendor in Europe and worldwide Product offering based on Common 3G platforms –Same hardware for WCDMA, CDMA on all frequencies Lower CAPEX and OPEX Expedites TTM Guarantees Economies of Scale On-site demos on 450 MHz equipment –Voice calls (mobile & WLL) on commercial CDMA2000 1X equipment –Always Best Connected on commercial CDMA2000 1X and DO equipment

22 Lucent Technologies - Proprietary CDMA450 Evolution Comparison (illustrations to scale) Modcell 2.0 1-3C, 1-3S EVDO Modcell ES 1-3C, 1-3S EVDO  Efficiency  Size Compact 4.0 1-3C, 1-3S EVDO Ant. Diagnostics   Efficiency   Size

23 CuriTel Confidential 1. HX-525B Concept ItemSpecificationItemSpecification ModeCDMA 450MhzMemoryMCP(128+32) TypeBar typeVibratorO Size109 x 47 x 20 (mm) ChargerInner Charger WeightAround 90 gUIMO (Optional) MSMMSM5000USBX LCD 128×128 Dots 1.5” 4096 CSTN Carkit Rubber O BatteryLi-ion : 900mAhAntennaFixed Antenna SoundYamaha 16 Poly Speaker phone O Bundle Item 1. AC/DC Adopter 2. Battery(900mAh) - Soft Pack type 3. User Manual Option Item 1. Ear-Mic 2. Data Cable 1) Handset 2) Accessory

24 CuriTel Confidential 2. HX-550C Concept 1) Handset 2) Accessory Bundle Item 1. Standard Battery (970mAh) 2. Traveler Charger 2. User Manual Option Item 1. Ear-Mic 2. Data Cable ItemSpecificationItemSpecification ModeCDMA 450MHzMemoryMCP(128+32) TypeClamshellVibratorO.K Size about 88×47×23 (mm)UIMO.K WeightAbout 100 gUSBO.K MSMMSM5100Carkit Rubber O.K LCD Main: 128×160 Dots 1.8” 65K CSTN Sub : 96x64 B/W STN AntennaFixed Antenna (8φ) Keypad LED Blue BatteryLi-ion : 970mAhPower LED2 Color LED Sound CMX 16 PolyInner Charger O.K Keypad (26 But.) 1. Numeric Key --- (12) 2. Side-Key --- (3) 3. Function Key --- (11)

25 CuriTel Confidential 3. HX-560C Concept 1) Handset 2) Accessory Bundle Item 1. Standard Battery (1000mAh) 2. Traveler Charger 2. User Manual Option Item 1. Ear-Mic 2. Data Cable ItemSpecificationItemSpecification ModeCDMA 450MHzMemoryMCP(64+32) TypeSlideVibratorO.K Size about 89.8×44×22 (mm)UIMO.K WeightAbout 90 gUSBO.K MSMMSM6025Carkit Rubber O.K LCD Main: 128×160 Dots 1.8 ” 65K CSTN AntennaFixed Antenna (8φ) Keypad LED Blue BatteryLi-ion : 760mAhPower LED2 Color LED Sound CMX 32 PolyInner Charger O.K Keypad (26 But.) 1. Numeric Key --- (12) 2. Side-Key --- (3) 3. Function Key --- (10)

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27 IBC Digitizing 450 MHz Bucharest Sept 8, 2004 IA450 - A Year in Review CEPT Ruling (ECC/DEC/(04)06) – 46 member countries. Brazil ANATEL trial and subsequent call for harmonization throughout the Americas at CITEL – 35 member countries Eurotel cdma450 EVDO Launch Indian TRAI consultation – including 450 specifically for CDMA IA450/CDG/Huawei Conference Top Five 450 Events of the Past Year


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