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The Demographic Highlights of a Changing New York Joseph Salvo Population Division Macaulay Honors College The City University of New York January 26,

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Presentation on theme: "The Demographic Highlights of a Changing New York Joseph Salvo Population Division Macaulay Honors College The City University of New York January 26,"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Demographic Highlights of a Changing New York Joseph Salvo Population Division Macaulay Honors College The City University of New York January 26, 2012

2 The Population Dynamic

3 Estimated Components of Population Change New York City, 2000-2009 Thousands Net International Migration Net Domestic Migration Population Change Natural Increase Net Migration Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009 Estimates Program as revised by Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

4 5,401,440 5,239,633 Total Population by Nativity New York City, 1970 to 2010 5,137,246 6,457,740 1,670,199 1,437,058 Percent Foreign-born 18.2 23.6 35.9 28.4 5,142,584 37.2 2,082,931 2,871,032 3,042,315 Source: U.S. Census of Population, 1970 to 2000; 2010 American Community Survey-FactFinder Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

5 New York City Top Countries of Birth for the Foreign-born New York City and United States, 2010 Total = 3,042,315 Total = 39,955,673 United States Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 American Community Survey-FactFinder Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning * Includes Hong Kong and Taiwan

6 Population Change Results from the 2010 Census

7 Population Change New York City and Boroughs, 2000-2010 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

8 Population Change for the 10 Largest Cities in the U.S. 2000 to 2010 Ranked by Population in 2010 *Achieved population peak in 2010 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Census Public Law 94-171 Files Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

9 Population Growth by Race/Hispanic Origin New York City, 2000-2010 Percent Change = -2.88.1-5.131.8 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

10 Population by Hispanic Subgroup New York City, 2000-2010 -11.28.273.714.97.9-11.7-8.510.1 Percent Change = Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Simulated Hispanic File; 2010 Census-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

11 Population by Asian Subgroup New York City, 2000-2010 34.6 Percent Change = 177.773.822.411.912.5 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

12 Hispanic and Asian Subgroups New York City, 2010 Total = 2,336,076 Asian* Hispanic Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning *Includes a small number of Asians who are of Hispanic origin. ** Includes Taiwanese Total = 1,038,388

13 Population Change Patterns of Neighborhood Settlement

14 Percent Change in Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 Bronx Manhattan Queens Staten Island Brooklyn * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Percent Change 9.0% to 14.9% 6.0% to 8.9% 3.0% to 5.9% -2.9% to 2.9% -3.0% to -8.9% Loss of 9.0% or more Gain of 15.0% or more LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

15 Percent Change in the Black Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 Bronx Manhattan Queens Brooklyn * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 Black NH in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 20.0% or more 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9% -10.0% to -19.9% Loss of 20.0% or more QN VLG E. NEW YORK CANARSIE ST. ALBANS FLATLANDS BAISLEY PK WLMSBDG OLINVIL CROWN HTS N. STUY HTS FLATBUSH S. JAMAICA CO-OP CTY BEDFORD E. FLATBUSH FARRAGUT BROWNSVIL RUGBY REMSEN VLG CENT HRLM N. POLO GRNDS ERASMUS PRSPCT LFFRTS GDNS. WINGATE UWS LES S. OZONE PK ROSEDALE JAMAICA HUNTS PT RCHMD HL LAURELTN BSHWK S. HOLLIS BSHWK N. CAMBRIA HTS E. HRLM N. NORWD CORONA OCEAN HL BXDALE CLINTN HL E. TREMNT RIKERS IS MT HOPE E. HRLM S. MNVIL E. ELMHURST SPRINGFLD GDNS. N. CROWN HTS S. W. CONC WASH HTS S. HIGHBDG BELMNT FT GREENE MRNGSDE HTS CRTNA PK E. V. CORTLANDT VLG HAMILTN HTS LONGWD CENT HRLM S. PKCHSTR STARRETT CTY KINGSBDG HTS PRSPCT HTS FRDHM S. STAPLETN ROSEBANK PK SLOPE GOWANUS SEAGATE CONEY IS FAR ROCKAWAY BAYSWATER JAMAICA EST HOLLISWD WOODLAWN WAKEFLD MOTT HVN PORT MORRIS BRIARWD JAMAICA HLS ALLERTN PELHAM GDNS. SPRINGFLD GDNS. S. BROOKVIL CYPRESS HLS CTY LINE E. CONC CONC VLG UNIV HTS MORRIS HTS CLAREMNT BATHGATE W. FARMS BX RIV BDFRD PK FRDHM N. SNDVW BRUCKNER E. NEW YORK (PENN AV) MLRSE S. MOTT HVN N. MORRISANIA MLRSE HAMMELS ARVERNE EDGEMERE EASTCHSTR EDENWALD BAYCHSTR W. NEW BRGHTN NEW BRGHTN ST. GEORGE GRYMES HL CLIFTN FOX HLS CARROLL GDNS. COLUMBIA ST. RED HOOK QNSBDG RAVENSWD LNG IS CTY MARINER'S HBR ARLINGTN PORT IVORY GRANITEVIL SOUNDVIEW CASTLE HL CLASON PT HARDING PK DUMBO VINEGAR HL DWTN BK BOERUM HL LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Staten Island

16 Percent Change in the Black Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Staten Island, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 1,000 Black NH in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 20.0% or more 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% Black Nonhispanics, 2010 # Blacks STAPLETON ROSEBANK PORT RICHMOND MARINER'S HARBOR PORT IVORY GRANITEVILLE ARLINGTON NEW BRIGHTON SILVER LAKE NEW SPRINGVILLE BLOOMFIELD TRAVIS W. NEW BRIGHTON NEW BRIGHTON ST. GEORGE

17 Percent Change in the Black Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Brooklyn, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 Black NH in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 5.0% or more -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9% -10.0% to -19.9% Loss of 20.0% or more Black Nonhispanics, 2010 # Blacks BEDFORD BUSHWICK SOUTH BUSHWICK NORTH DUMBO VINEGAR HILL DOWNTOWN BK BOERUM HILL CROWN HEIGHTS N CLINTON HILL FT GREENE CROWN HEIGHTS S PROSPECT HEIGHTS PROSPECT LFFRTS GRDNS WINGATE FLATBUSH PARK SLOPE GOWANUS BROWNSVILLE OCEAN HILL ERASMUS STUYVESANT HEIGHTS E FLATBUSH FARRAGUT RUGBY REMSEN VILLAGE CARROLL GARDENS COLUMBIA RED HOOK FLATLANDS CANARSIE

18 Percent Change in the Black Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Manhattan, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 Black NH in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change -5.0% to -9.9% -10.0% to -19.9% Loss of 20.0% or more Black Nonhispanics, 2010 # Blacks WASH HTS S HAMILTN HTS MNVIL CENTRL HRLM S EAST HRLM S UWS EAST HRLM N MRNGSDE HTS CENTRL HRLM N POLO GRNDS

19 Percent Change in the White Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 Bronx Manhattan Queens Staten Island Brooklyn * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 White NH in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -19.9% -20.0% to -39.9% Loss of 40.0% or more LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

20 White Nonhispanics, 2010 # Whites Percent Change in the White Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Brooklyn, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 White NH in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -19.9% -20.0% to -39.9% Loss of 40.0% or more BEDFORD BUSHWICK SOUTH E WLMSBURG BUSHWICK NORTH WLMSBURG NORTH SIDE SOUTH SIDE DUMBO VINEGAR HILL DOWNTOWN BK BOERUM HILL GREENPOINT CROWN HEIGHTS N CLINTON HILL FT GREENE CROWN HEIGHTS S PROSPECT HEIGHTS PROSPECT LFFRTS GRDNS WINGATE FLATBUSH PARK SLOPE GOWANUS CANARSIE

21 Percent Change in the White Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Manhattan, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning White Nonhispanics, 2010 # Whites Less than 5,000 White NH in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% Loss of 5.0% or more MARBLE HL INWOOD WASH HTS N WASH HTS S HAMILTN HTS MRNGSDE HTS CENTRL HRLM S EAST HRLM S UWS UES CARNEGIE HL

22 QN VLG FLATBUSH UWS LES S. OZONE PK BAY RIDGE STEINWAY JAMAICA WHITESTONE RIDGEWD BELLEROSE RCHMD HL FOREST HLS MURRAY HL ASTORIA COLLEGE PT BOROUGH PK SUNSET PK W. W. VLG FLUSHING JACKSON HTS WOODHVN MIDWOOD BNSNHRST W. OAKLND GDNS. ELMHURST MADISON AUBURNDLE BNSNHRST E. DYKER HTS GRAVESEND WOODSIDE KEW GDNS. HLS E. FLUSHING CLINTN REGO PK CORONA BATH BCH YRKVL SUNSET PK E. QNSBORO HL RIKERS IS E. VLG MRNGSDE HTS LINCOLN SQ CHINATWN GRAMERCY BAYSIDE BAYSIDE HLS JAMAICA EST HOLLISWD BRIARWD JAMAICA HLS FRESH MDWS UTOPIA MIDTWN MIDTWN S. CYPRESS HLS CTY LINE ELMHURST MASPETH TURTLE BAY E. MIDTWN KENSINGTN OC PKWY MURRAY HL KIPS BAY BATTERY PK CTY LWR MN LENOX HL ROOSEVELT IS STUY TWN COOPER VLG NEW SPRINGVIL BLOOMFLD TRAVIS HUNTERS PT SUNNYSIDE W. MASPETH DOUGLS MNR DOUGLSTN LIL NECK SHPSHD BAY GRRTSN BCH MN BCH POMONOK FLUSHING HTS HILLCREST GLEN OAKS FLORAL PK NEW HYDE PK HDSN YDS CHELSEA FLATIRON UNION SQ SOHO TRIBECA CVC CTR LIL IT Percent Change in the Asian Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 Bronx Manhattan Queens Brooklyn * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% Loss of 5.0% or more Less than 5,000 Asian NH in 2000 and 2010 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Staten Island

23 Percent Change in the Asian Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Queens, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% Less than 5,000 Asian NH in 2000 and 2010 Asian Nonhispanics, 2010 WHITESTONE JAMAICA MURRAY HILL FLUSHING E FLUSHING QUEENSBORO HL COLLEGE POINT AUBURNDALE JAMAICA EST HOLLISWOOD BRIARWOOD JAMAICA HILLS FRESH MDWS UTOPIA POMONOK FLUSHINGS HTS HILLCREST KEW GDNS HLS RICHMOND HILL WOODHAVEN S OZONE PARK QUEENS VLG BELLEROSE FOREST HILLS CORONA BAYSIDE BAYSIDE HILLS OAKLAND GARDENS DOUGLAS MANOR DOUGLASTON LITTLE NECK GLEN OAKS FLORAL PARK NEW HYDE PARK

24 Percent Change in the Asian Nonhispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Brooklyn, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% Asian Nonhispanics, 2010 BOROUGH PARK SUNSET PARK W BENSONHURST W DYKER HEIGHTS BENSONHURST E BATH BEACH SUNSET PARK E GRAVESEND FLATBUSH MIDWOOD MADISON SHEEPSHEAD BAY GERRITSEN BEACH MANHATTAN BEACH KENSINGTON OCEAN PKY BAY RIDGE Less than 5,000 Asian NH in 2000 and 2010

25 Percent Change in the Hispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* New York City, 2000 to 2010 Bronx Manhattan Queens Brooklyn * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 Hispanics in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9% Loss of 10.0% or more LAGUARDIA AIRPORT JOHN F. KENNEDY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT Staten Island

26 Percent Change in the Hispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Bronx, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 Hispanics in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% Hispanics, 2010 HUNTS PT W. CONC HIGHBDG CRTNA PK E LONGWD MOTT HAVEN PORT MORRIS E. CONC CONC VLG CLAREMNT BATHGATE MORRISANIA MLRSE N MELROSE S MOTT HAVEN N E TREMNT BELMNT MT HOPE FRDHM S UNIV HTS MORRIS HTS

27 Percent Change in the Hispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Staten Island, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 2,500 Hispanics in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% Hispanics, 2010 PORT RCHMD STAPLETN ROSEBANK W. NEW BRGHTN NEW BRGHTN ST. GEORGE MARINER'S HBR PORT IVORY GRANITEVIL ARLINGTON GREAT KILLS ARDEN HTS WESTERLEIGH NEW DORP MIDLAND BCH NEW BRGHTN SILVER LAKE NEW SPRINGVIL BLOOMFLD TRAVIS OLD TWN DONGAN HLS S. BCH GRASMERE ARROCHAR FT. WADSWRTH TODT HL EMERSON HL HEARTLAND VLG LGHTHSE HL GRYMES HL CLIFTN FOX HLS

28 Percent Change in the Hispanic Population by Neighborhood Tabulation Area* Manhattan, 2000 to 2010 * Neighborhood Tabulation Areas or NTAs, are aggregations of census tracts that are subsets of New York City's 55 Public Use Microdata Areas (PUMAs). Primarily due to these constraints, NTA boundaries and their associated names may not definitively represent neighborhoods. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau: 2000 and 2010 Censuses-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning Less than 5,000 Hispanics in 2000 and 2010 Percent Change Gain of 40.0% or more 20.0% to 39.9% 5.0% to 19.9% -4.9% to 4.9% -5.0% to -9.9% Loss of 10.0% or more Hispanics, 2010 MARBLE HL INWOOD WASH HTS N WASH HTS S HAMILTN HTS MRNGSDE HTS CENTRL HRLM S EAST HRLM S UWS EAST HRLM N MNVIL CENTRL HRLM N POLO GRNDS

29 The Future

30 2007: 8,274,527 2030: 9,119,811 481,613 551,906 2,528,050 2,718,967 2,270,338 2,565,352 1,373,659 1,457,039 1,620,867 1,826,547 Population by Borough New York City, 2007 and 2030 Bronx Manhattan Queens Brooklyn Staten Island New York City Sources: 2007 Census Bureau Estimates, 2030 Department of City Planning Population Projections Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

31 2007 2030 172,653 132,044 409,769 280,973 294,919 195,594 102,966 57,083 1,352,375 926,075 16.1 12.1 11.8 9.6 15.1 11.1 18.711.9 14.5 11.5 14.811.7 Bronx Manhattan Queens Brooklyn Staten Island New York City 372,068 260,021 Sources: 2007 Census Bureau Estimates, 2030 Department of City Planning Population Projections Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning New York City’s Elderly, by Borough, 2007 and 2030

32 Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic Origin and Age New York, 2010 Age Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Census-Summary File 1 Population Division-New York City Department of City Planning

33 Data Links Census Bureau Web site: www.census.gov DCP Web site/Population Home Page: http://www.nyc.gov/html/dcp/html/census/p opdiv.shtml http://www.nyc.gov/html/dcp/html/census/p opdiv.shtml New York City Census FactFinder: http://gis.nyc.gov/dcp/pa/address.jsp


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