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Published byAlexis Walsh Modified over 8 years ago
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The first Tuesday after the first Monday.
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1. Campaign and debate for primary elections Candidate for the two major parties chosen by primary process Conventions- formally nominate and promote candidate Campaign and debate for general election Election day Electoral College formality
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PRIMARY- Decides which candidate party prefers in the general election. Closed- only vote within party Open- vote either party, but only one party- Ind can vote too Blanket primary- vote either party and cross over on ballot. Beauty contest- Vote not binding, just a preference
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We know that primary thing. What the heck is a caucus? Can you believe this? Can you believe this?
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Primary election ideological stances are more extreme, as only motivated vote
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GENERAL ELECTION- Primary winner from each party run for the office at stake
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Following primary/caucus season the party has a huge party: The Convention: 1. Choose candidate- confirm choice of voters 2. create platform 3. Advertise, advertise, advertise 4. Get away from home-party!!
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Typical convention activity:
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Or this:
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Or even this:
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And finally:
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Primary elections choose them, not presidential candidate Typically proportional to vote won in state Dems have superdelegates too- party leaders who go to convention and vote as they choose. 20% of delegates in 2008. Protect establishment
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General election requires a move to the center to attract the less motivated, less passionate
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Consequently, primary elections require different lies than the general election I lied, then I lied differently I lied, then I lied differently
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Choosing a Presidential candidate: 50 separate state elections- exhausting but allows for every voice to be heard States use PRIMARY or CAUCUS
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Start earlier and earlier 1968 RFK announced candidacy in March but now candidates are chosen by then, with 70% chosen by then NH primary- 1968 March 11 1980 February 26 2004 January 8 Hurts unknowns, helps well funded, hurts slow starter, hurts process as we don’t see them under fire
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Thought is that you settle early so candidate can save money and avoid protracted ugly campaign against people that are actually allies.
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Shankar Vedantam – Wash Post GOP chooses established well known national figure (Bush, Reagan, McCain etc) Dems choose lesser knowns, with little DC background ( Clinton, Carter, Obama), someone who starts off unknown
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Two contrary forces- 1. Electable candidate 2. appease party extremists- they are people who raise money, campaign, dock on doors… Think Tea party- they are passionate but can they choose an electable candidate? Easier when party chose candidate but now it is the public.
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Many say “ vote the man.” Lies!! 1976 NATDEM REP CARTER 51 80 11 FORD 49 20 89 2000NAT DEM REP GORE 49 86 8 BUSH 48 11 91
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Party is the major factor but democrats don’t always win despite 48% to 40% lead is registered voters. Dems less wed to party Independents often prefer GOP Higher % of GOP voters actually vote
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Broad issues predominate Economy is #1 ( It’s the economy stupid”) war important too Retrospective voting- “How has he done?” Prospective voting- “What will he do?”
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Coattails: Popular president has ability to drag in others from same party on his/her coattails. - effect is in decline
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Constituency services get votes at local level. Communication in the community Franking- Mailing stuff for free
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Funding a campaign: Hard money vs soft money: Hard is given directly to a campaign, soft is nebulous, unregulated money spent on issues, party building etc. 2002 McCain/Feingold eliminated soft money….but not really
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Bipartisan campaign Reform Act of 2002- outlawed soft money and restricted hard money 1. Eliminated soft money 2. Prohibited corporations from broadcast electioneering within 60 days of election
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Soft money lives!!- 527 organizations ( named for section in the tax code) run // campaigns ex.- Swift Boat veterans, Moveon.org Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission- 5-4 ruling that corporations can not be restricted- 1 st amendment!!!
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Political Action Committee- run by corporations, unions, politicians etc. Raise money for candidates 2008 limits $5,000 to an individual per election cycle $15,000 to the party Typically give to those that help the most- buying influence Gee,I wonder why these guys are getting big money Gee,I wonder why these guys are getting big money
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Bundling- When a donor maxes out he gets friends, employees etc to donate and he presents the donation in one big bundle. BINGO, influence is purchased Bundle of influence Bundle of influence
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PACs give money to politicians, Super PAC’s do not PAC’s have those nasty spending limits, Super PAC’s do not 2012 Super PAC spending just through FEBRUARY!!! Are you kidding me?Are you kidding me?
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PAC :funnel campaign contributions directly to candidates. Corporations cannot contribute directly to PACs but can sponsor a PAC for employee donations. Annual donations are limited to $5,000 from individuals, whose names and contributions must be disclosed. Bundling likely Super PAC:raise and spend unlimited amounts on politics, must operate independently of candidates and cannot contribute to individual candidates. Donors must be disclosed to the FEC 527 group: can run political ads with unlimited individual and corporate contributions but must disclose donors to the IRS.
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Wilson argues PAC’s are so numerous that politicians can take money and still vote as they please. PAC’s only make up 27% of all contributions. Think back to the article about the super committee. Can Wilson be right?
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100 Senators 435 in House of Representatives- each represents about 600,000 people. Every 10 years a new census is done to determine representation. Gerrymandering and malapportionment
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Districts drawn in an odd manner to benefit one candidate or party over another.
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Districts of considerably unequal size
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