Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

The first Tuesday after the first Monday..  1. Campaign and debate for primary elections  Candidate for the two major parties chosen by primary process.

Similar presentations


Presentation on theme: "The first Tuesday after the first Monday..  1. Campaign and debate for primary elections  Candidate for the two major parties chosen by primary process."— Presentation transcript:

1 The first Tuesday after the first Monday.

2  1. Campaign and debate for primary elections  Candidate for the two major parties chosen by primary process  Conventions- formally nominate and promote candidate  Campaign and debate for general election  Election day  Electoral College formality

3  PRIMARY- Decides which candidate party prefers in the general election. Closed- only vote within party Open- vote either party, but only one party- Ind can vote too Blanket primary- vote either party and cross over on ballot. Beauty contest- Vote not binding, just a preference

4  We know that primary thing. What the heck is a caucus?  Can you believe this? Can you believe this?

5 Primary election ideological stances are more extreme, as only motivated vote

6

7  GENERAL ELECTION- Primary winner from each party run for the office at stake

8  Following primary/caucus season the party has a huge party:  The Convention: 1. Choose candidate- confirm choice of voters 2. create platform 3. Advertise, advertise, advertise 4. Get away from home-party!!

9  Typical convention activity:

10  Or this:

11

12  Or even this:

13  And finally:

14  Primary elections choose them, not presidential candidate  Typically proportional to vote won in state  Dems have superdelegates too- party leaders who go to convention and vote as they choose. 20% of delegates in 2008. Protect establishment

15

16

17  General election requires a move to the center to attract the less motivated, less passionate

18  Consequently, primary elections require different lies than the general election  I lied, then I lied differently I lied, then I lied differently

19  Choosing a Presidential candidate: 50 separate state elections- exhausting but allows for every voice to be heard States use PRIMARY or CAUCUS

20  Start earlier and earlier  1968 RFK announced candidacy in March but now candidates are chosen by then, with 70% chosen by then  NH primary- 1968 March 11 1980 February 26 2004 January 8  Hurts unknowns, helps well funded, hurts slow starter, hurts process as we don’t see them under fire

21  Thought is that you settle early so candidate can save money and avoid protracted ugly campaign against people that are actually allies.

22  Shankar Vedantam – Wash Post  GOP chooses established well known national figure (Bush, Reagan, McCain etc)  Dems choose lesser knowns, with little DC background ( Clinton, Carter, Obama), someone who starts off unknown

23  Two contrary forces- 1. Electable candidate 2. appease party extremists- they are people who raise money, campaign, dock on doors… Think Tea party- they are passionate but can they choose an electable candidate?  Easier when party chose candidate but now it is the public.

24  Many say “ vote the man.” Lies!! 1976 NATDEM REP CARTER 51 80 11 FORD 49 20 89 2000NAT DEM REP GORE 49 86 8 BUSH 48 11 91

25  Party is the major factor but democrats don’t always win despite 48% to 40% lead is registered voters. Dems less wed to party Independents often prefer GOP Higher % of GOP voters actually vote

26  Broad issues predominate Economy is #1 ( It’s the economy stupid”) war important too Retrospective voting- “How has he done?” Prospective voting- “What will he do?”

27

28  Coattails: Popular president has ability to drag in others from same party on his/her coattails. - effect is in decline

29  Constituency services get votes at local level.  Communication in the community  Franking- Mailing stuff for free

30

31  Funding a campaign:  Hard money vs soft money:  Hard is given directly to a campaign, soft is nebulous, unregulated money spent on issues, party building etc.  2002 McCain/Feingold eliminated soft money….but not really

32  Bipartisan campaign Reform Act of 2002- outlawed soft money and restricted hard money  1. Eliminated soft money  2. Prohibited corporations from broadcast electioneering within 60 days of election

33  Soft money lives!!- 527 organizations ( named for section in the tax code) run // campaigns ex.- Swift Boat veterans, Moveon.org  Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission- 5-4 ruling that corporations can not be restricted- 1 st amendment!!!

34

35

36

37  Political Action Committee- run by corporations, unions, politicians etc.  Raise money for candidates  2008 limits $5,000 to an individual per election cycle $15,000 to the party  Typically give to those that help the most- buying influence  Gee,I wonder why these guys are getting big money Gee,I wonder why these guys are getting big money

38

39

40

41  Bundling- When a donor maxes out he gets friends, employees etc to donate and he presents the donation in one big bundle. BINGO, influence is purchased  Bundle of influence Bundle of influence

42  PACs give money to politicians, Super PAC’s do not  PAC’s have those nasty spending limits, Super PAC’s do not  2012 Super PAC spending just through FEBRUARY!!! Are you kidding me?Are you kidding me?

43  PAC :funnel campaign contributions directly to candidates. Corporations cannot contribute directly to PACs but can sponsor a PAC for employee donations. Annual donations are limited to $5,000 from individuals, whose names and contributions must be disclosed. Bundling likely  Super PAC:raise and spend unlimited amounts on politics, must operate independently of candidates and cannot contribute to individual candidates. Donors must be disclosed to the FEC  527 group: can run political ads with unlimited individual and corporate contributions but must disclose donors to the IRS.

44  Wilson argues PAC’s are so numerous that politicians can take money and still vote as they please. PAC’s only make up 27% of all contributions.  Think back to the article about the super committee. Can Wilson be right?

45  100 Senators  435 in House of Representatives- each represents about 600,000 people.  Every 10 years a new census is done to determine representation.  Gerrymandering and malapportionment

46  Districts drawn in an odd manner to benefit one candidate or party over another.

47

48

49

50

51  Districts of considerably unequal size


Download ppt "The first Tuesday after the first Monday..  1. Campaign and debate for primary elections  Candidate for the two major parties chosen by primary process."

Similar presentations


Ads by Google