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LIMITED FUNDING OF EVENTS USING IOTA STATIONS PAUL D. MALEY (IOTA), BILL MERLINE AND BRIAN ENKE (SwRI) IOTA ANNUAL MEETING LAS VEGAS NV OCTOBER 20, 2012.

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Presentation on theme: "LIMITED FUNDING OF EVENTS USING IOTA STATIONS PAUL D. MALEY (IOTA), BILL MERLINE AND BRIAN ENKE (SwRI) IOTA ANNUAL MEETING LAS VEGAS NV OCTOBER 20, 2012."— Presentation transcript:

1 LIMITED FUNDING OF EVENTS USING IOTA STATIONS PAUL D. MALEY (IOTA), BILL MERLINE AND BRIAN ENKE (SwRI) IOTA ANNUAL MEETING LAS VEGAS NV OCTOBER 20, /18/12 version 1

2 SWRI GOALS AND EXPECTATIONS OBTAIN THE MAXIMUM NUMBER OF VIDEO CHORDS SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE ASTEROID AND BEYOND WITH THE EXPENDITURE OF FEWEST AMOUNT OF DOLLARS. ONLY VIDEO STATION CHORDS TO BE FUNDED. CONTINUING WITH SWRI COLLABORATION FROM 2011 (ANTIOPE), SWRI SEEKS TO FUND ADDITIONAL EFFORTS TO ACQUIRE HIGH QUALITY OCCULTATION DATA FURTHER PROGRESS MADE ON METHODOLOGY TO PRIORITIZE FUNDABLE EVENTS. SWRI WANTS TO MORE AGGRESSIVELY PURSUE FUNDING NEXT YEAR. 2

3 CANDIDATE EXPENSES FOR FUNDS ALLOCATION TRANSPORTATION COULD BE BY CAR, TRAIN (OR AIR) LODGING MEALS (not covered due to potential accounting issues with observer/SWRI) SHIPPING (might be covered) 3

4 DECISIONS ON SUPPORT MADE 2 MONTHS BEFORE ON DOMESTIC TRAVEL, 3 MONTHS FOR FOREIGN TRAVEL APPLICATION TEMPLATE BEING CONSTRUCTED (MAY BE ONLINE) 4

5 ALLOCATION OF FUNDS SWRI WILL DECIDE WHICH OBSERVER(S) GETS FUNDED IF FEWER DOLLARS THAN OBSERVERS, SWRI WILL MAKE THE FINAL DETERMINATION IOTA OFFICERS NOTIFY PROSPECTIVE OBSERVERS OBSERVER(S) NEED TO MAKE A COMMITMENT ONCE NOTIFIED. IF THE CONTACTED OBSERVER REFUSES, THE NEXT OBSERVER IN SEQUENCE WILL BE NOTIFIED. FUNDING LEVELS / METHODS FOR OBSERVER SELECTION WILL EVOLVE 5

6 KNOWN RISKS TO RECEIVING FUNDING WEATHER/UNEXPECTED FACTORS COULD CAUSE EVENT CANCELLATION EXPENSES MAY NOT BE REIMBURSED IF OBSERVER MAKES UNREASONABLE DECISIONS OR IS NOT SET UP IN PROPER TIME OBSERVERS USE OWN FUNDS INITIALLY REIMBURSEMENT OCCURS AFTER THE EVENT RECEIPTS FOR EVERYTHING ARE MANDATORY! 6

7 OBSERVER CONSIDERATION OBSERVER(S) WILL HAVE TO MAKE PRUDENT DECISION ON WHETHER TO START TRAVEL PRIOR TO THE EVENT IF WEATHER PROBABILITIES FOR SUCCESS ARE DEEEMED LOW, TRAVEL SHOULD BE ABORTED FAILURE TO EXERCISE GOOD JUDGMENT MAY RESULT IN NO REIMBURSEMENT. IN THAT EVENT OBSERVER MUST AGREE TO COVER OWN EXPENSES. 7

8 MAIN OBJECTIVES PRIORITIZE ASTEROID TARGETS THAT ARE OF MOST SIGNIFICANCE TO THE PROFESSIONAL COMMUNITY (SWRI and others) EVENTS WHERE THE MOST RESOURCES CAN BE BROUGHT TO BEAR FOR THE LEAST COST YIELDING MAXIMUM POTENTIAL RESULTS WITH LEAST OVERALL RISK 8

9 PROCESS-1 SCREEN 788 EVENTS FROM END OF 2012 TO END OF 2013 FILTER FOR THOSE WHERE MINOR PLANET SHAPE MODELS HAVE ALREADY BEEN DEVELOPED FILTER FOR THOSE WHICH HAVE KNOWN SATELLITES FILTER FOR THOSE WHICH HAVE EXISTING LIGHT CURVE, ADAPTIVE OPTICS, OCCULTATION DATA 9

10 PROCESS-2 FILTER FOR POTENTIAL FUTURE OBSERVATIONS AT A RESOLVABLE SIZE/MAGNITUDE 10

11 EVENT FILTER CRITERIA FOR PRIORITY (not in order) FOR MASS DEPLOYS MAGNITUDE DROP MAGNITUDE OF STAR PATH ERROR MOON PHASE/ELONGATION GEOGRAPHIC ACCESS PROXIMITY TO SUNSET/SUNRISE TO ALLOW FOR MULTISTATION SETUP OVERALL ODDS OF SUCCESS FOR A MULTI STATION EXPEDITION 11

12 VALUE TO SCIENCE (MODELING EFFORTS) WEATHER IMPACT DURATION PRESENCE OF DOUBLE STAR OR PROPER MOTION ISSUES ELEVATION OF STAR POSITION OF STAR WITH RESPECT TO DEPRESSED SUN ELEVATION AZIMUTH AND ELONGATION EVENT ON A WEEKEND! 12

13 OBSERVER FUNDING FACTORS PROXIMITY OF OBSERVER TO EVENT PATH DICTATES AMOUNT POTENTIAL FUNDING NUMBER OF STATIONS THE OBSERVER CAN EFFECTIVELY MUSTER ABILITY OF OBSERVER TO HAVE/EXECUTE(D) MULTISTATION DEPLOY FINANCIAL NEED FOR FUNDS BY OBSERVER(S) PROVEN TRACK RECORD 13

14 14 #STATIONS

15 IOTA MULTI-STATION RESOURCES (10/22/2012) T.Redding - 4 to 8 S.Conard – 2 E.Iverson -5 T.George - 3 R.Nugent - 3 T.Swift - 2 P.Maley – 8 to 10 R.Venable -6 S.Messner(b) - 3 T.Campbell(a) – 4 B.Sandy (b) - 2 S.Degenhardt – 11 C.Ellington(b) - 2 D.Dunham – 12 S.Preston - 3 (a) Restricted to Florida (b) Equipment not for air transport 15

16 KNOWN CONCERNS NOT CLEAR HOW MANY OBSERVERS COULD TRAVEL WITH ALL EQUIPMENT ON AIRCRAFT SOME MULTI-STATION OWNERS HAVE NOT YET DEPLOYED SUCCESSFULLY MOST EVENTS MUST BE EXCLUDED FROM MASS DEPLOYS DUE TO BEING IN THE MAGNITUDE RANGE unless enough maxi telescopes can be obtained 16

17 ASTEROIDS WITH LOWEST PRIORITY THOSE WHICH HAVE LITTLE EXISTING PAST LIGHT CURVE, ADAPTIVE OPTICS & OCCULTATION DATA THOSE WHICH HAVE NO KNOWN SATELLITES THOSE FOR WHICH LITTLE RESOURCES CAN BE BROUGHT TO BEAR THOSE FOR WHICH TRAVEL / OPERATIONAL COSTS WOULD BE EXCESSIVE 17

18 SwRI SCIENCE PRIORITY LIST without filtering for best events 18

19 PROVISIONAL SWRI PRIORITY LIST WITH FILTERING FOR BEST EVENTS rating

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32 BUIE EDUCATIONAL OCCULTATION NETWORK COORDINATION TRACKS OF FUNDED OCCULTATIONS MAY BENEFIT FROM BUIE NETWORK LOCATIONS NETWORK IS FIXED WITH LARGE APERTURE INSTRUMENTS IOTA ROLE IS TBD. SEE BUIE PRESENTATION! EFFORT IS SEPARATE FROM SWRI MOBILE STATION FUNDING 32

33 PROPOSED FUNDING LEVELS (TBD) DOMESTIC TRIP AVERAGE ESTIMATED COST $600 = AIR, HOTEL, CAR FOREIGN TRIP AVERAGE ESTIMATED COST $1900 = AIR, HOTEL, CAR SWRI SUPPORT COULD BE UP TO 40 SINGLE OBSERVER DOMESTIC EXPEDITIONS + SEVERAL FOREIGN EXPEDITIONS OVER (TBD) 33

34 THE END 34


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