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Sub-primes and the Credit Crisis PLS/EC 480 Greed and Need Dr. Emerson.

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Presentation on theme: "Sub-primes and the Credit Crisis PLS/EC 480 Greed and Need Dr. Emerson."— Presentation transcript:

1 Sub-primes and the Credit Crisis PLS/EC 480 Greed and Need Dr. Emerson

2 The Great Depression Stock Market Crash Banks loose capital Decline in market activity Government inaction FDR and try anything approach

3 Regulation FDIC Security & Exchange Commission Glass Steagall Freddie Mac/ Fannie Mae

4 Deregulation Deregulation of thrifts [Savings and Loans] No regulation of “derivatives” Mortgages sold in fractions- precursor of CDO. Gramm Leach Bliley

5 Federal Reserve Bank Policies Low interest Sub primes unregulated No action on defaults Fed vs. Congress

6 EVIDENCE: Sub Prime Problem Delinquency rate is 2 tenths of 1 % in 1979 Today 2% (10 times higher): 2,820,000 households and rising.

7 Foreclosures and Sub Prime Rates of loss by mortgage type.

8 Default Consequences GAO report:  No piggyback and documentation 0%  Piggyback OR little documentation 25-31%  Piggyback AND no documentation = 60%

9 Evolution of Crisis Rotten apple parallel Sub prime and impact on prime

10 Jobs in the aftermath 2009, 0% job growth

11 OECD Rate of US recovery versus other industrial democratic countries.

12 Cost of gambling The Credit Crisis by J. Jarvis http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog/2009/02/25/the-credit-crisis- visualized/ http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog/2009/02/25/the-credit-crisis- visualized/

13 Break Be back in 10 minutes for the analysis

14 The Micro Economic and Political Consequences Bill Moyer’s Report http://www.pbs.org/ moyers/journal/071 82008/watch.html http://www.pbs.org/ moyers/journal/071 82008/watch.html

15 1930s SAME as today’s crisis Unregulated market Commercial and high risk investments Worldwide crisis Downward spiraling Income disparities

16 Differences? Starts as homeowner crisis US a global power US government reacts with TARP bailout FDIC protects depositors No tariffs OTHER

17 Inside the Meltdown: Bush Administration, TARP 1 and Congress Matrix of Events –see web pageMatrix of Events

18 Suggested Reforms Financial reporting No mart to marketing Accounting regulations No off shore companies Intelligible instruments Reinstate Glass Steagall Insurance reform Credit default swaps End “too big to fail”

19 JONCO and other reforms: --In Dodd We Trust http://www.thedailyshow.co m/watch/tue-march-16- 2010/in-dodd-we-trust (Firefox)

20 National Responsibility Federal Government

21 What should States do?

22 Citations Alford, Rob (2003). What are the origins of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. Accessed August 28, 2008 at http://hnn.us/articles/1849.html. Bitner, Richard (2008). Inside the Subprime Debacle. U.S. News and World Report. 145 (2) 12. GAO Report (2007) Briefing to the Committee on Financial Service, House of Representatives. GPO: Washington, D. C.

23 Citations Jost, Kenneth (2008). Financial Crisis. CQ Researcher 18(18), 409-422 Phillips, Kevin (2002). Wealth and Democracy. New York: Random House. Stigliz, Joseph 2010. Freefall: America, free markets and the sinking of the world economy. New York: Norton Press.

24 Q and A


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