1. The Scottish Crime and Justice Survey Barry Stalker Principal Researcher

2. Overview Background SCJS Design SCJS Coverage Sampling Scotland Performs Capacity building Publications and data access

3. Background: Surveys The Scottish Crime & Justice Survey –Continuous Sweep 2008-09 Sweep 2009-10 Previous surveys: –‘British’ Crime Survey (Southern Scotland) 1982 & 1988 –Scottish Crime Survey (all Scotland): 1993; 1997; 2000; 2003 –Scottish Crime & Victimisation Survey (all Scotland): 2004; 2006

4. SCJS Design Interviewer lead interview, followed by self- completion (sensitive topics) with random adult (age 16 and over) Conducted Face-to-face, using CAPI/CASI Pre-selected sample, representative of private households in Scotland Target sample of 16,000 achieved interviews per annum Continuous fieldwork (started April 2008) Modularisation of questionnaire (4 x 4,000)

5. SCJS Coverage 2008-09 General social issues in Scotland Perception of local area and crime Victimisation (Victim Form) –Prevalence of types of crime (e.g. Household; Personal); –Reporting of crime to the police –Victims experience e.g. demographics; support Perceptions, knowledge and awareness of community sentencing; –and attitudes towards prison and prison sentences

6. SCJS Coverage 2008-09 Perceptions and contact in the Scottish Criminal Justice system e.g. –Contact and perceptions of the Police; –… Procurator Fiscal (PF) Violent crime e.g. –Workplace violence; –Violent incidents (victim form) ‘Fear of crime’ –and worry about crime Anti-Social Behaviour –Perceptions and experience

7. SCJS Coverage 2008-09 Prevalence of threats, pestering and intimidation –including perception of religious and/or racist motivation Prevalence of fraud and ID theft Civil Justice –Problems with employment; disputes with neighbours etc. Prevalence of Illegal drug use Prevalence of domestic/partner abuse Prevalence of Sexual victimisation

8. SCJS Coverage 2009-10 Community efficacy –Social trust and cohesion Police –Community policing and visibility –Stop and search Sentencing scenarios Civil Justice –Support and demand for types of support

9. SCJS sample - population Sample of “general adult population” …technically sample of private households as primary sampling unit (psu), but with random adult selection Not cover non-private households e.g. –Halls of residence –Care homes or special accommodation –Hospitals, army bases etc.

10. SCJS sample Complex sample design (i.e. not SRS) Drawn from Postal Address File (PAF) Nationally representative (n=16,000) Minimum of effective base 1,000 per PFA –some disproportionate sampling Mix of clustering/non-clustering –Clustered in ‘rural’ areas (approx 20%) –Mostly non-clustered, but with fieldwork batches Stratification –PFA; CJA, Intermediate Geography

11. SCJS sample Random systematic sample –Clustered Datazones; PPS (22 addresses selected within) –Non-clustered Addresses list Random start, systematic selection

12. Sample size considerations Statistical Power which statistic to measure? estimate of probable change? Cost available budget Capacity Field-force Intended analysis And sub-sample (base) sizes –Type of measure (e.g. prevalence; incidence) –Geography (e.g. PFAs) –Socio-demographic (e.g. Sex)

13. SCJS sample: Sub-analysis Sample –Target = 16,000 Representative at Scotland level –8 Police Force Areas –11 Community Justice Authorities Local Authorities –Assuming SHS spec of 500 effective base minimum every 2 years –1/3 Local Authorities (2008-09) –All mainland Local Authorities (2009 onwards)

14. Scotland Performs Data source for 2 National Indicators: –NI30: Prevalence of Victimisation “2 percentage point reduction in overall crime victimisation rates by 2011” –NI35: Perception of crime rate in local area “To increase positive public perception of the general crime rate in the local area” But also potential further contextual data –Quantitative analysis of other questions –Qualitative follow-up

15. Capacity building Scottish Centre for Crime & Justice Research (SCCJR): CJ Quest –Analysis –Representation on Technical Advisory Group –User manual (non-academic) Funding 2 PhD studentship, through ESRC joint funded PhD scheme, –Victims experience –Policing Coverage and further awareness raising of SCJS through –Scottish Institute for Policing Research (SIPR) –Criminology societies (Scotland; Britain; European) –Local Authorities

16. Publications The Scottish Crime & Justice Survey 2008-09 –Main report – September 2009 –Drug Prevalence report – September 2009 –Partner Abuse/Sexual Victimisation report – November 2009 Following reports 2009-10, 2010-11

17. Data access The Scottish Crime & Justice Survey dataset –Released on publication of first report (Main Findings) September 2009; –Lodged on UKDA with supporting documentation (including technical report) October 2009 User manual (SCCJR) –Published in advance of dataset release –Training provision being considered

18. Contact Helen Fogarty: Project Manager –Helen.fogarty@scotland.gsi.gov.ukHelen.fogarty@scotland.gsi.gov.uk Stuart King: Project Director –Stuart.king@scotland.gsi.gov.ukStuart.king@scotland.gsi.gov.uk

19. Scottish Crime & Justice Survey Any questions?