1. Presentation Impact of Vietnam industrial production on climate change Full name: Ngo Duc Lam Academic title: Doctor, Chairman of Chemical and Industrial Safety Technology Institute (Vietnam Chemical Association) Address: Chemical and Industrial Safety Technology Institute (INDUTEC) (INDUTEC) Address: 18 Lane 283, Doi Can, Ba Dinh District, Hanoi Tel: (04).8325978 0913210120 0913210120 Email: indurecvn@yahoo.com.vn indurecvn@yahoo.com.vn

2. Content I. Introduction II. The development of greenhouse gases in industrial production presently and forecasting the emission levels of greenhouse gases in the future. 1. Greenhouse gas emission from the power industry 2. Greenhouse gas emission from the cement industry 3. Greenhouse gas emission in steel manufacture industry 4. Greenhouse gas emission in paper manufacture industry 5. Synthesizing the emission of greenhouse gases in industrial production presently and forecasting the amount of greenhouse gas emission in the future.. Emission of greenhouse gases in industrial and energy production presently and forecasting the amount of greenhouse gas emission in the future III. Structure and growth of greenhouse gas emission by economic sectors in 2002 – 2020 period IV. Some measures to minimize the growth rate of greenhouse gas emission in industrial and energy sectors.

3. 1. Greenhouse gas emission from the power industry Table 1 N¨m Fuel2000200220052010201220202030 Coal (10 3 ton) 2054267944289815113461747446684 DO oil (10 3 ton) 49338371414300 FO oil (10 3 ton) 3262852593334.300 Burning gas (10 3 ton) 1224255050018274104251616219054 Total (KTOE) 30754466730911017158142433143292

4. The emission of greenhouse gases from power production Table 2 Equivalent emission amount calculated by CO 2 (10 3 ton) Sector200020022005201020152020 Power112381527021526397916310773448

5. Greenhouse gas emission rom cement industry Criteria200220032005201020152020 Rapid growth 201513105.82.5 - 3 Demand 10 6 ton 19.722.62948.6 63 - 65 68 - 70 Output 10 6 ton 1617.82249.862.868 Table 3

6. Forecasting the energy consumption of cement manufacturing sector Criteria20002010201220202030 Coal (ton) 1.738.90 8 5.151.4 62 5.540.96 3 6.265.37 5 6.886.00 0 Power (MWh) 1.572.79 3 7.802.9 00 7.779.18 7 10.380.1 63 12.406.8 95 Table 4

7. Greenhouse gas emission in cement manufacture 20022005201020152020 Total waste 14,4219,8940,2650,7754,98 (million ton of CO 2 ) Table 5

8. Greenhouse gas emission in steel manufacture industry Steel output in Vietnam in 2002 - Cast iron from iron: 50.000 ton/year (from furnace stand) - Steel alloy : 500.000 ton/year (from electric furnace) - Bridge and construction steel:1.600.000 ton/year (liquid roll, cold roll) -Coated steel, pipe: 100.000 (cast, roll) The respective greenhouse gas emission is 3.355.800 ton of CO2

9. Greenhouse gas emission in paper manufacture industry Estimated energy consumption Criteria2010201220202030 Gasoline (ton) 96108172308 FO (ton) 192.909221.73386.996776.354 DO (ton) 20.08423.03739.8879.187 Coal (ton) 594.532684.5031.132.1262.290.247 Electricity (MWh) 862.3781.009.6071.897.5574.171.028 Table 6

10. Greenhouse gas emission in paper manufacture industry in 2000 -2002 Year Gasolin e (t) FO(t)DO(t)Coal (t) Electricit yMW h Total 2000Energy consum ption (t) 5075.5839.742302.105414.383 CO 2 emissio n (t) 124244.88930.785647.862254.8451.228.150 2002Energy consump tion(t) 5786.87811.198347.239416.242 CO 2 emissio n (t) 147218.47535.386802.122256.0191.375.149 Table 7

11. Synthesizing the emission of greenhouse gases in industrial production presently and forecasting the amount of greenhouse gas emission in the future Year Fuel2000200220052010201220202030 Coal (10 3 ton)2054267944289815113461747446684 DO oil (10 3 ton)49338371414300 FO oil (10 3 ton)3262852593334.300 Burning gas (10 3ton )1224255050018274104251616219054 Total (KTOE)30754466730911017158142433143292 Table 8

12. Synthesizing the emission of greenhouse gases in industrial and energy production presently and forecasting the amount of greenhouse gas emission in the future Sector Year 200020022005201020152020 Emission from coal exploitation process 101613911515210624002696 Emission from oil exploitation and transfortation 545559727360 Emission from gas exploitation and transportation 23811974159625292677 Power sector112311527021526397916310773448 Industry140811785724754355974812664335 Agriculture112412691386147917572083 Transport1119014737189630884383962594 Trade and services316737124354600180669831 People’s activities330742864922576764147823 Total45121585267742612162 8 17371 2 22281 3 Table 9

13. Structure and growth of greenhouse emission by economic sectors in 2002 – 2020 period In 2002

14. Structure and growth of greenhouse emission by economic sectors in 2002 – 2020 period In 2020

15. Comments Comments Greenhouse gas emission in our country is largest in energy, industry and transportation sectors (make up 90%) in which industry and energy sectors accounting for more than 60% and this tendency does not change up to 2020. CO 2 emission rate from agricultural and industrial activities in 2002 was not as high as in 1998. However, such rate in following years has increased much: 1.35, 1.7, 2.8 and 9 times in 2002, 2005, 2010 and 2030 respectively.

16. Some measures to minimize the growth rate of greenhouse gas emission in industrial and energy sectors 1. Management: Raising public awareness on climate change due to greenhouse gas emission in industrial and energy sectors. The government should have its policy so all the economic sectors shall pay attention to having effective measures to limit heavy emission. 2. Technique and technology - Implement well the policy on energy saving. - Use effectively the primary material source, especially coal. In order to achieve this, it is needed to innovate equipment, mainly boilers and industrial furnaces, replace backward technological equipment by advanced and energy - saving technology. - Use and exploit rationally new energy resources, clean energy such as hydraulic power, wind power, solar power, biological gas, etc. - Using more associated gas in order to reduce the usage of coal as a kind of fuel at present

17. Thank you !