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BURKENROAD REPORTS 2003 John Cullen Stephen Haik Yoshi Hisata Matthew Hollyfield Nikhil Patel Leigh Ellen Smith.

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Presentation on theme: "BURKENROAD REPORTS 2003 John Cullen Stephen Haik Yoshi Hisata Matthew Hollyfield Nikhil Patel Leigh Ellen Smith."— Presentation transcript:

1 BURKENROAD REPORTS 2003 John Cullen Stephen Haik Yoshi Hisata Matthew Hollyfield Nikhil Patel Leigh Ellen Smith

2 Company Description “Go With the Flow” Carbo Ceramics, CRR, is the world’s largest producer and supplier of ceramic proppants that are used in hydraulic fracturing. Carbo is exploring opportunities outside of their current industry, most notably the foundry market which has grown 100% per year. Based in Irving, Texas, Carbo has several plants nationwide: -McIntyre, GA -Eufala, AL -New Iberia, LA. The company produced four types of proppants used in both off and on shore drilling of oil and natural gas: -CARBOHSP2000 -CARBOPROP -CARBOLITE -CARBOECONOPROP

3 Distribution: CARBO maintains a “Just-In-Time” distribution practice, and has expanded its distribution centers to include Singapore, Adelaide, Dubai, and Grande Prairie. Competitors: Norton Proppants, a subsidiary of Compagnie de Saint-Gobain, a large French glass and materials company (22% market share) Brazilian company Mineraco Curimbaba (10% market share) Top Customers (78% of the company’s revenues): BJ Services Halliburton Schlumberger Company Description “Go With the Flow”

4 Management Background William C. Morris, 64, Chairman of the Board In addition to acting as Chairman of the Board for Carbo Ceramics, Mr. Morris sits on the Boards of Tri-Continental Corporation, Seligman Group of Funds and serves as Director of Kerr-McGee Corporation. Dr. C. Mark Pearson, 46, President and Chief Executive Officer Appointed to Chief Executive Officer on April 10, 2001 Serves as adjunct professor of Petroleum Engineering at the Colorado School of Mines. Received a Bachelor of Science and Ph.D at the Camborne School of Mines in England. Began his career at Gulf Oil and then he joined ARCO (Atlantic Richfield Company) where he held positions in both research as well as management and technical positions in engineering and operations. Prior to his appointment Served as Vice President of Marketing and Technology. Paul G. Vitek, Senior Vice President, Finance & Administration and Chief Financial Officer Served as an employee in the treasurer’s office of both Diamond Shamrock and Maxus Energy Corporation. Served as Chief Financial Officer of Carbo Ceramics since 1988. In January 2001, he was appointed to Senior Vice President of Finance and Administration in addition to his position as Chief Financial Officer.

5 Industry Analysis Products CARBOHSP 2000 CARBO PROP CARBOLITE CARBOECONOPROP Competition Ceramic Proppants -Norton Proppants -Curimbaba Resin Coated Sand -Numerous Manufacturers

6 Industry Analysis Suppliers Bauxite Kaolin Competitive Advantage Quality Products JIT Delivery Technical Marketing Patents Drivers Number of oil and gas wells drilled, completed, or recompleted Number of oil and gas wells that are hydraulically fractured

7 Peer Group Analysis Few direct competitors -Norton (USA) -Mineracao Curimbaba (Brazil) -Borovichi Refractories (Russia) Ceramic proppant market share (2001): -61% Carbo -22% Norton -10% Curimbaba -7% Other

8 Risk Analysis Business Risk – HIGH -Volatile oil & gas industry -Replace low-cost, sand proppants? -Few customers -80% of 2002 revenues from 3 customers -Few products Financial Risk – not low, but NONE! -No debt -Huge cash reserves  Easily covers current liabilities

9 Revenue Forecast (Revenue) = (Capacity) X (Selling average price) X (Utilization rate)  95% Revenue : Proppant business  5% Revenue : Foundry business  Capacity: 680 MM  Selling average price: $0.27  Utilization rate: 85%  Seasonally adjustment: for calculating quarterly revenue, use average ratio of 2001 and 2002  Cost of sales, SG&A: Fourth Quarter 2002 Conference Call information

10 Valuation Model: Discounted Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow = Operating Cash Flow – Capital Expenditure Terminal Value: = Cash Flow (1+g) Discount rate – g Discount Rate: -Cost of Equity -CAPM Model Target Price = 39.12

11 Investment Summary Carbo Ceramics is Rated a BUY Somewhat Speculative Oil & Gas Industry Stock Large Potential Growth, Only 15% of Proppant Market Expect Lower Margins As Patents Expire Expect Market Share to Increase -Increased R&D -Technical Marketing “Go With The Flow” -Integrated Distribution Network Increased Production -Lower Production Costs -Proactively Increasing Production


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