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Presentation on theme: "Watch in slide show mode to observe (modest) animation. comments questions: papers, etc:"— Presentation transcript:

1 Watch in slide show mode to observe (modest) animation. comments questions: dan.kahan@yale.edudan.kahan@yale.edu papers, etc: www.culturalcognition.netwww.culturalcognition.net

2 Dan M. Kahan Yale University & many x 10 3 others www.culturalcognition.net Three Points About “Belief In” Evolution

3 Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical 2.Political 3.Philosophical

4 Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political 3.Philosophical

5 “Belief” in evolution

6 “Ordinary Science Intelligence” Assessment OSI_1.0OSI_2.0

7 “Ordinary Science Intelligence” Assessment 18 items 6 “Basic facts” (NSF Indicators, Pew) 3 “Theory of science” (NSF Indicators) 6 Numeracy (Peters et al. 2006) 3 Cognitive reflection (Frederick 20 05)

8 Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions

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16 “Religiosity” (Cronbach’s α = 0.80)

17 OSI_2.0 items plus Evolution & Religiosity items

18 Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions

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21 Teaching evolution to “nonbelievers”

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23 Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”

24 Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”

25 Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”

26 Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”

27 Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political 3.Philosophical

28 Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical

29 “Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).

30 “Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).

31 “Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).

32 “Belief” in global warming Annenberg Center for Public Policy & Cultural Cognition Project. N’ = 1957. Nationally representative sample, April/May 2014 (YouGov). CIs reflect 0.95 confidence intervals. Source: Kahan, D. The Science Communication Measurement Problem, Adv. in Pol. Psych. (in press).

33 Ordinary science intelligence: item response functions

34 “Ordinary Climate Science Intelligence” (OCSI) battery

35 Ordinary climate science intelligence: item response functions

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37 Ordinary climate science intelligence r = 0.32, p < 0.01 Ordinary science intelligence 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile 50th percentile 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile OSI & Ordinary Climate Science Intelligence (OCSI)

38 Ordinary climate science intelligence r = 0.32, p < 0.01 Ordinary science intelligence 50th percentile 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile 1st percentile 86th percentile 14th percentile 99th percentile 50th percentile > avg Left_Right < avg Left_Right OSI & Ordinary Climate Science Intelligence (OCSI)

39 OCSI & positions on global warming Human causedNaturally causedNo warming Positions on global warming in “past few decades” No. correct

40 Ordinary climate science intelligence: item response functions

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43 What we know Who we are vs. Evolution-science communication measurement problem:

44 Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are vs.

45 Disentanglement principle: “Don’t make reasoning, free people choose between knowing what’s known & being who they are!”

46 Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are vs.

47 Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are How to disentangle from

48 Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are from How to disentangle

49 Climate-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are from How to disentangle

50 Evolution-science communication measurement problem: What we know Who we are from How to disentangle

51 Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical

52 Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical: Cognitive dualism...

53 The “nonacceptance” problem

54 The Pakistani Dr. paradox

55 “Beliefs” as dispositions to action....

56 Cognitive dualism

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60 The “nonacceptance” problem

61 Three points about “belief in" evolution: 1. Empirical: The measurement problem 2.Political: The disentanglement project 3.Philosophical: Cognitive dualism...

62 New data: shame & critical reasoning! www.culturalcognition.net


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