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Perspectives on Biofuels Financing Options April 2011 Presentation by Pavel Molchanov, Raymond James & Associates Advanced Biofuels Leadership Conference.

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Presentation on theme: "Perspectives on Biofuels Financing Options April 2011 Presentation by Pavel Molchanov, Raymond James & Associates Advanced Biofuels Leadership Conference."— Presentation transcript:

1 Perspectives on Biofuels Financing Options April 2011 Presentation by Pavel Molchanov, Raymond James & Associates Advanced Biofuels Leadership Conference

2 2 Mainly conventional biofuels –Aventine (AVRW) –BioFuel Energy (BIOF) –Cosan (CZZ) –Green Plains (GPRE) –Gushan (GU) –Pacific Ethanol (PEIX) Publicly Traded Biofuel Space Is Small but Growing Mainly advanced biofuels –Amyris (AMRS) –BlueFire (BFRE) –Codexis (CDXS) –Gevo (GEVO) –OriginOil (OOIB) –PetroAlgae (PALG) –Rentech (RTK) –Syntroleum (SYNM) –Verenium (VRNM) After the 2008-09 shakeout in corn ethanol and biodiesel, the number of publicly traded conventional biofuel companies declined All of the recent IPO activity has come from advanced biofuel companies

3 3 Public Capital Raising in the Biofuel Space Is Rebounding Since mid-2005, biofuels have accounted for approximately 16% of all capital raised by U.S.-traded clean tech companies (as compared to ~66% for solar power) From January 2010 through today, there have been 8 capital markets transactions raising a total of $617 million (including $442 million of equity) While this is a big improvement vs. the trough years of 2008-09, it’s still a fraction of 2006-07 activity levels

4 4 Generally Positive After-Market for Recent Clean Tech IPOs Looking more broadly than just biofuels, overall clean tech IPO activity has been limited since the 2008 financial collapse, but with a clear pick-up over the past 12 months The IPOs that have successfully priced are mostly trading well in the after-market Priced in 2009 –September: A123 Systems (AONE) –November: STR Holdings (STRI) Priced in 2010 –April: Codexis (CDXS) – biofuels –May: JinkoSolar (JKS) –June: Tesla Motors (TSLA) –September: China Ming Yang (MY) –September: Amyris (AMRS) – biofuels –October: Daqo New Energy (DQ) Priced in 2011 –February: Gevo (GEVO) – biofuels

5 5 Codexis (CDXS) Codexis is a producer of biocatalysts for pharmaceuticals and advanced biofuels In April 2010, Codexis priced its IPO at $13.00 (vs. range of $13.00 to $15.00), raising $90 million; currently trading around $11 At the time of the IPO, the company had: –Strategic partners: Shell, Cosan, others –EBITDA: Negative –Commercial-scale production: Currently pharma only; 2012-13 for biofuels

6 6 Amyris (AMRS) Amyris is an early-stage producer of farnesene for renewable specialty chemicals and advanced biofuels In September 2010, Amyris priced its IPO at $16.00 (vs. range of $18.00 to $20.00), raising $98 million; currently around $30 At the time of the IPO, the company had: –Strategic partners: Total, Procter & Gamble, others –EBITDA: Negative –Commercial-scale production: First half of 2012

7 7 Gevo (GEVO) Gevo is an early-stage producer of isobutanol for renewable specialty chemicals and advanced biofuels In February 2011, Gevo priced its IPO at $15.00 (vs. range of $13.00 to $15.00), raising $123 million; currently trading around $18 At the time of the IPO, the company had: –Strategic partners: Total, Cargill, others –EBITDA: Negative –Commercial-scale production: First half of 2012

8 8 Solazyme (SZYM) Solazyme is an early-stage producer of algae-based renewable specialty chemicals and advanced biofuels In March 2011, Solazyme filed for an IPO of up to $100 million At the time of the IPO filing, the company had: –Strategic partners: Chevron, Ecopetrol, Qantas, others –EBITDA: Negative –Commercial-scale production: 2012 for cosmetics; 2013 for chemicals

9 9 VC Funding Provides Pre-IPO Equity Capital… Venture capital firms have historically been the principal source of capital for early-stage clean tech companies, including biofuels Despite overall cutbacks in VC activity in the post-meltdown era, clean tech remains a key focus area – totaling $3.7 billion in the U.S. in 2010 Over the past 12 months, major VC investments in biofuels and renewable chemicals included: –Elevance Renewable Sciences (Series C - $100 million): Naxos Capital Partners, Total Energy Ventures, TPG Biotech, TPG Growth –Fulcrum BioEnergy (Series C - $75 million): investors not disclosed –Solazyme (Series D - $50+ million): Braemar Energy Ventures, Morgan Stanley, Lightspeed Venture Partners, Roda Group, Harris and Harris Group, VantagePoint Venture Partners, Zygote Ventures –Genomatica (Series D - $45 million): VantagePoint Venture Partners, Bright Capital, Waste Management, Alloy Ventures, Draper Fisher Jurvetson, Mohr Davidow Ventures, TPG Biotech –LS9 (Series D - $30 million): BlackRock, Flagship Ventures, Khosla Ventures, Lightspeed Venture Partners, CTTV Investments –Qteros (Series C - $22+ million): investors not disclosed

10 10 …But Strategic Partners Tend to Have Even Deeper Pockets While VCs are useful sources of seed capital, perhaps the most crucial driver of an advanced biofuel company’s commercialization / scale-up roadmap is relationships with strategic industry partners These “big brothers” provide three types of benefits: (1) capital for R&D and/or scale-up; (2) operational, distribution and marketing support; and (3) the “seal of approval” from a blue chip partner While some strategics have only one biofuel partner (e.g., Exxon and Synthetic Genomics), most take a portfolio approach: –Chevron: Solazyme, LS9 –Shell: Cosan, Iogen, Codexis, Virent –Statoil: Weyland, Bio Architecture Lab –Total: Gevo, Coskata, Amyris, Elevance, BioDME, Futurol –Valero: Solix, ZeaChem, Terrabon, Algenol, Mascoma Outside the energy sector, strategics that have shown interest in biofuels include chemical producers and airlines Perhaps most intriguing strategic of all is the Department of Defense – America’s largest energy user

11 11 Disclaimer Important Investor Disclosures Stock Ratings: Within our four-tiered rating system, Strong Buy means that the stock is expected to appreciate and produce a total return of at least 15% and outperform the S&P 500 over the next six months; Outperform means the stock is expected to appreciate and outperform the S&P 500 over the next 12 months; Market Perform means the stock is expected to perform generally in line with the S&P 500 over the next 12 months and is potentially a source of funds for more highly rated securities; and Underperform means the stock is expected to underperform the S&P 500 or its sector over the next six to 12 months and should be sold. Analyst Holdings and Compensation: Equity analysts and their staffs at Raymond James are compensated based on a salary and bonus system. Several factors enter into the bonus determination including quality and performance of research product, the analyst's success in rating stocks versus an industry index, and support effectiveness to trading and the retail and institutional sales forces. Other factors may include but are not limited to: overall ratings from internal (other than investment banking) or external parties and the general productivity and revenue generated in covered stocks. Raymond James Relationships: Raymond James & Associates may make a market in stocks mentioned in this report and may have managed/co-managed a public/follow-on offering of these shares or otherwise provided investment banking services to companies mentioned in this report in the past three years. RJA or its officers, employees, or affiliates may (1) currently own shares, options, rights or warrants and/or (2) execute transactions in the securities mentioned in this report that may or may not be consistent with this report's conclusions. Complete Risk and Disclosure information, as well as more information on the Raymond James rating system and suitability categories, is available at www.rjcapitalmarkets.com/SearchForDisclosures_main.asp. Copies of research can be obtained by contacting any Raymond James & Associates or Raymond James Financial Services office (please see www.rjf.com for office locations) or by calling (727) 567-1000 or sending a written request to the Equity Research Library, Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Tower 3, 6th Floor, 880 Carillon Parkway, St. Petersburg, FL 33716. www.rjcapitalmarkets.com/SearchForDisclosures_main.asp www.rjf.com Additional information is available on request.This document may not be reprinted without permission.


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