1. August 15, 2015 Kona IEA working group meeting PIFSC

2. 2 What is an IEA? An IEA is a formal synthesis and quantitative analysis of information on relevant natural and socio–economic factors in relation to specified ecosystem management goals There is a framework in place Components: Scoping, data/drivers, modeling, advising

3. 3 NOAA Fisheries IEA Current Focus Work Plan being finalized Data management and integration Data gaps Ecosystem models and socioeconomic modules Integrative indicators of ecosystem status Operational IEA within the California Current Management strategy evaluation Expansion into GoMex and NE Shelf

4. 4 California Current (furthest along) Implement an initial IEA in the California Current (CC) —Establish data management and ecosystem-modeling infrastructure —Focus on a subset of drivers, pressures, and management strategies that influence key ecosystem management targets

5. 5 California Current Deliverables —Data system and management framework —Test indicator performance —Atlantis based model framework —Statistical and analytical models and analyses for risk assessment and management strategy evaluation (MSE) —Publications documenting CC IEA creation and application of MSE —CC Ecosystem Status Report —MSE products —Engagement with sector/partners

6. 6 Northeast (Mid-Phase) Continue Development of IEA Structure for the Northeast Shelf —Augment ecosystem indicators in Driver-Pressure-State-Impact- Response format developed for Ecosystem Status Report —Continue development and implementation of multispecies and ecosystem models for NE Shelf —Expand data management infrastructure Deliverables —Complete paper on implementation of DPSIR framework in Northeast —Complete and validate parameter estimates for ATLANTIS model —Complete white paper on options for EBM on the Northeast Continental Shelf —Initial implementation of Management Strategy Evaluation for Northeast Continental Shelf LME

7. 7 Gulf of Mexico (Initial phase) Establish the foundation for Gulf of Mexico (GOM) IEA development —Extend data management infrastructure —Review and develop ecosystem indicators Deliverables —Identify and accumulate relevant GOM data sets —Update parameter database for use in food web and ecosystem models —Negotiation of data-sharing and collaboration —Review trophic linkage data within current Ecopath with Ecosim model with potential future input into Atlantis

8. 8 Kona IEA Overall Objectives Strawman vision: Provide evaluation of management strategies and advice to promote a healthy, sustainable and productive Kona region —Integration of diverse ecosystem information —Incorporate economic and social science data —Evaluate benefits and risks to social and ecological sector posed by management actions —Synthesize best-available science for effective ecosystem-based management

9. 9 Kona IEA meeting initial steps Scoping: What are our key (ecosystem) management issues? Identify: What are the main drivers of the system? Work plan: what needs to be done and who will do it? ScopingDevelop EIRisk Analysis Assessment of Ecosystem Status Management Strategy Evaluation Monitoring of ecosystem indicators and management effectiveness IEA 5 step process

10. 10 Kona (Non-official pilot project) Establish the foundation for Kona IEA development 1.Scoping: Identify management goals, drivers 2.Create data management infrastructure 3.Review and develop ecosystem indicators 4.Create/refine Ecosystem model(s) Deliverables —Identify and accumulate relevant Kona data sets (portal) (Y1) —Construct/refine ecosystem indicators (point, TS) (Y1/2) —Construct preliminary Kona Ecopath(sim) model (Y1?/2) —Negotiation of data-sharing and collaboration (Y1?/2) —2-3 page “brochure” detailing work to date and future IEA plan (external) i.e. “what would we do with funding” (Y1) —Action plan for work towards IEA (internal) (Y1)

11. 11 Where do we start? Three lists: 1.List of management issues 1.List for partners 2.List of data 1.Available now for data portal 2.Needs “work” 3.List of projects (end: portal, writeup/brochure)

12. 12 Example Final products – August? PIFSC - Kona IEA Data Portal (web) Brochure (print)

13. 13 Where do we start? Three lists: 1.List of management issues 1.List for partners 2.List of data 1.Available now for data portal 2.Needs “work” 3.List of projects (e.g. portal, writeup/brochure)

14. 14 List 1 – Key management issues 1.Identify important ecosystem indicators (health) 2.Identify important habitats 3.Identify economic/anthropogenic impacts 1.Impacts from coastal development (runoff/sedimentation), aquaculture, ocean energy, etc 2.Positive impacts from tourism 1.Capacity of Kona to sustain tourism? 4.Impacts of fishing (extractive) 1.Commercial/non-commercial/subsistence 1.Traditional vs modern (conflict)

15. 15 List 1 – Key management issues 1.Effects of climate change on Kona region 2.Shared user areas 1.MPAs (e.g. HB Sanctuary; overlap in use/conflict area) 2.Recreational dive industry/aquarium fish collectors 3.Institutional capacity (ability/capacity of inst. To address conflicts and manage on ecosystem scale) 3.Introduced species/species diversity/endemic

16. 16 Where do we start? Three lists: 1.List of management issues 1.List for partners 2.List of data 1.Available now for data portal 2.Needs “work” 3.List of projects (e.g. portal, writeup/brochure)

17. 17 List 2 – Data and status 1.MHI MRI Kona database – Kimberly 2.FEAT/WPFin (CML data, dealer, state data) 1.Mar Rec Inf Prog. Ma - PIFSC 3.Shackeroff 2008 (lit search/data), 2008 study Op thesis, 2003 thesis WHFC. 4.Turtles (Stacy) 5.State has 26 sites (4x/yr) Fish/Coral cover 6.20 years of N/S shallow recruitment (Ed) Ted Hobson’s Kona series, DAR has 3 locations from 70s coral reef fish.

18. 18 List 2 – Data and status 1.MHI MRI Kona database – Kimberly 2.FEAT/WPFin (CML data, dealer, state data) 1.Mar Rec Inf Prog. Ma - PIFSC 3.Shackeroff 2008 (lit search/data), 2008 study Op thesis, 2003 thesis WHFC. 4.Turtles (Stacy) 5.State has 26 sites (4x/yr) Fish/Coral cover 6.20 years of N/S shallow recruitment (Ed) Ted Hobson’s Kona series, DAR has 3 locations from 70s coral reef fish.

19. 19 List 2 – Data and status 1.McManus – Current meters along coast (UH? Hilo?) 2.Hydrographic data (Humphreys, TC, Sette?) 3.Satellite (resolution?) 4.Icthyoplankton (Humphreys, West?) 5.Fletcher hazard data (USGS?, HIG, Rooney) erosion etc. 6.Bur. Census, labor on employment, population. Hawaii.gov website downloadable GIS (Kimberly) 7.Geomorphology (Kimberly) 8.Hawaii biological survey data

20. 20 List 2 – Data and status 1.CRED? Coris database has information on MHI 2.NDBC Buoys/Ocean models (e.g. HYCOM, tidal) 3.Coastal water quality sites DOH, watershed class 4.Physics (eddies, tides, currents, winds: papers) 5.Native Hawaiian wind database (Kimberly) 6.Cold water pipe: time series? 7.Queen Lili Child center (Kimberly)

21. 21 List 2 – Available data 1.etc

22. 22 Where do we start? Three lists: 1.List of management issues 1.List for partners 2.List of data 1.Available now for data portal 2.Needs “work” 3.List of projects (e.g. portal, brochure)

23. 23 List 3 – Projects (in house/contract?) 1.Data recovery 2.Data portal 3.Outreach 4.Brochure 5.etc

24. 24 List 3 – Projects (in house/contract?) 1.etc

25. 25

26. 26 The Process Determine key ecosystem issues Incorporate relevant ecosystem information to prioritize development of indicators Determine targets and thresholds for management- related indicators (consistent with legislation) Evaluate the relationships between pressure and status indicators using appropriate research, models, and forecasts Provide routine reporting and updates on the status