1. Immigrant Political Participation Political Science 126C / Chicano/Latino Studies 163 Lecture 9 February 5, 2009

2. Revisiting Models of Immigrant Incorporation From Sociology: 1. [Traditional] Assimilation 2. “New assimilation” with particular attention to status at entry 3. Segmented assimilation

3. [Traditional] Assimilation

4. “New Assimilation” (particular attention to status at entry)

5. Segmented Assimilation

6. These Are General Models Not predictive at individual level They look for patterns across national origin groups, regions, religious groups, and skill sets Likely that different patterns will appear on different measures of assimilation

7. What’s Unique About Political Assimilation? Key “formal” measure – what the state cares about – naturalization occurs or doesn’t in the first generation 14 th Amendment guarantees that all people born in the United States are U.S. citizens Citizenship also extended to children of U.S. citizens born abroad Is there a consequence for the second generation of immigrant parents who don’t naturalize? Very small third generation – grandchildren of immigrants – in today’s polity So political incorporation models primarily speak to change between immigrant parents and 2 nd generation

8. A Model for Immigrant Political Incorporation We’ll talk about aspects of this for the next two classes Today: The [positive] role of challenges to immigrant status

9. Human Capital Institutional Resources Group Dynamics Challenges to Immigrant Status Formal Incorporation Participation 1.5, 2 nd, 3 rd Generation Immigrants Parental Incorporation Human Capital & Group Resources Political Values, Attitudes, & Behaviors

10. 2006 Immigrant Rights Protests (and Response)

11. Short-Term Goal Met Criminalization provisions of HR 4437 quickly left the debate … at some cost 700 miles of wall authorized Expansion of Border Patrol and interior enforcement (raids) Arguably, this victory and the generally positive nature of the protests should have been an empowering experience for immigrant families

12. How to Assess Longer- Term Implications? 1. Public opinion on immigration issues 2. Change in immigrant naturalization behaviors 3. Congressional/presidential politics 2006 2008 and beyond 4. New immigrant organizational infrastructure

13. 1. Mass Public Opinion General pattern – unfocused, internally contradictory, and highly responsive to the way the question is asked 1. Immigration at current levels too high, but immigrants are an asset 2. Opposition to unauthorized migration, support for increasing barriers to unauthorized migration, but support for a path to legal residence Patterns unchanged by 2006 protests Overall, protestors viewed unfavorably by twice as many as view them favorably

14. Group that Did See Some Change – Latino U.S. Citizens Historically, Latino U.S. citizens have had arms-length relationship with Latino immigrants Immigrant protests reminded Latino U.S. citizens of their immigrant roots More than half supported legalization Immigration/immigrant rights not top important issue for Latino voters

15. 2. Naturalization Applications increased dramatically in March 2006 and have stayed high Feb. 2006 – 57,000 March 2006 – 78,000 Average March 2006-February 2007 – 65,000/month Protests, not the only cause Revised naturalization exam Proposed fee increase

16. 3. Electoral Consequences 2006 – Protests came to late to shape primaries (most likely point of influence) Lesson to officeholders – California 48 (preceded protests) Campbell (R) Gilchrist (I) Immigration an issue in a few Congressional races – No consistent outcome to shape Congressional debate California 50 (Brian Bilbray) Arizona 8 (Randy Graf)

17. Continuing Influences Potentially immigration-moderate Republicans made more strident Some surprise Democratic victories in border states/South – ran on anti-legalization platforms, dividing Democratic caucus Emergence of single-issue immigration candidates Reduces likelihood of compromise in the House