1. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre The big trends: What the next 2 years will look like

2. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Topics 1. Trends for risks 2. Trends for PPRR activities 3. Changes to work of practitioners

3. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre 1. Trends for risks

4. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Failure to manage the rating process will cause the risks to spiral out of control Trend 1: Increasing number of risks Implication: 1. Trends for risks

5. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Pressure on practitioners will increase Practitioners will avoid the risk rating process Trend 2: Increasing demand for immediate response to new risks Implications: 1. Trends for risks

6. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Risk perception and reality must be addressed by practitioners Trend 3: Growing gulf between risk perception and risk reality Implication: 1. Trends for risks

7. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Practitioners must work across boundaries on institution-wide risks Trend 4: Growing need to have focus on cross-boundary risks Implications: 1. Trends for risks

8. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Prepare for pandemic influenza : refer to Gaye Cameron’s and Dr. Michael Hills’ presentations Trend 5: Growing need to address non- traditional risks Implications: 1. Trends for risks

9. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Engage with the Muslim Community Trend 6: Growing need to address non- traditional risks Implications: 1. Trends for risks Members of the local Muslim community pray at Monash as part of the Eid-ul-Fitr festival.

10. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Prepare for a terrorist incident Trend 7: Growing need to address non- traditional risks Implications: 1. Trends for risks

11. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre 2. Trends for PPRR activities

12. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Educate stakeholders on catastrophic incidents Practitioners review assumptions in business continuity plans Trend 8: Growing attention given to catastrophic incidents Implications: 2. Trends for PPRR activities

13. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Institution must improve their response time and expect mis-information Practitioners must improve PR skills Trend 9: Accelerating speed of information flows at incident Implications: 2. Trends for PPRR activities

14. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Drills should be realistic and engaging Different procedures should be prepared to reflect change threat levels Trend 10: Changes to preparation arrangements Implications: 2. Trends for PPRR activities

15. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Changes to preparation arrangements 2. Trends for PPRR activities A commuter fleeing the scene of an explosion on a bus in London's Tavistock Square stopped to take this picture with his camera phone. Images like this were among the first to reach the public immediately following the July 7 terrorist attacks. The London Guardian newspaper said the use of camera phones in aiding coverage of the attacks marked "the true birth of the 'citizen reporter.'" Photograph by Harel Seligmann

16. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Minimise frequency of unnecessary evacuations and their impacts Trend 11: Changes to response arrangements Implication: 2. Trends for PPRR activities

17. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre 3. Changes to the work of practitioners

18. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Keep up-to-date with risk and technical changes Improve interpersonal skills Deliver big picture value Implications: 3. Changes to the work of practitioners Trend 12: Changes to work

19. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre Prepare for a review Trend 13: Questioning the benefits of the security dollar Implications: 3. Changes to the work of practitioners

20. Australian Homeland Security Research Centre More information 2006 The big trends for tertiary institutions’ security www.homelandsecurity.org.au