1. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20061 Climate change mitigation EU and Russia Alexander Fedorov Centre for Environmental Initiatives, St.Petersburg Alexey Kokorin WWF-Russia, Moscow

2. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20062 Temperature variations in the 20 th century Russia N. Hemisphere World

3. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20063 Number of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991 - 2005

4. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20064 Number of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991 - 2005 70% Warm period (Apr. – Oct.) 30% Cold period (Nov. – March)

5. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20065 Types of dangerous weather events in Russia 1991 – 2005, % 1 – wind storms; 2 – snow storms; 3 – showers, thunderstorms, hails; 4 – frosts, heats; 5 – floods; 6 – avalanches, mudflows; 7 – draughts; 8 – fires; 9 – others.

6. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20066 Russian public and stakeholders’ opinions on climate change 3 years ago now Climate change takes place 50%90% Climate Change is negative for Russia30%70% Reason of current climate change is anthropogenic GHG emission10%30% Urgent actions are necessary 5%10%

7. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20067 GHG emissions in Russia in 1990-2004 Years Emissions, Mt CO 2 -eq.

8. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20068 GDP power intensity in 5 regions of the world Energy consumption for production of 1 M€ GDP (toe, 2003)

9. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.20069 The Russian GDP Power Intensity GDP and Use of Energy and Heat, % of 1990 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 estimate GDP Energy use Clear difference between GDP and GHG emissions trends

10. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.200610 Russian MEDT post-2012 scenario (Russian Ministry of Economic Development and Trade) 2015: -22% of 1990; 2020: -17% of 1990

11. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.200611 Official view of MEDT www.economy.gov.ru www.economy.gov.ru ● Russia shares global responsibility for increase of GHG emissions, and aims to reach the UNFCCC goals, based on the necessity of limiting technogenic emissions and increase of absorption by GHG absorbers in accordance with its economic opportunities and principles of sustainable development. ● Presently, Russia decreases the GDP power intensity by 4 percent per year and more. ● Analysis of the EU Emissions Trading Schemes (EU ETS) shows that in the foreseeable future (2013 – 2017) Russian business will not be able to use this system in a considerable scope.

12. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.200612 Progress in Kyoto Protocol implementation in Russia ● Progress in GHG Inventory and Registry Problems: ● Absence of sense of urgency ● Politicians, stakeholders and public (70%) are not sure that current climate change is anthropogenic ● Suspending of Joint Implementation (JI) projects (30-50 projects) due to absence of progress in domestic JI Regulation

13. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.200613 Consequences of climate change in the Baltic Sea Region ● Neva River run-off increasing: 10% by 2015 => decreasing salinity in the Baltic Sea ● Ice weakening => damage to grey seals (Halichoerus grypus) and ringed seals (Phoca hispida botnica) ● Number of dangerous weather events growing: ~ 7% per year (almost twice by 2015) ● Winds pressure on power transmission line increasing: ~ 20% in 10 years ● Ground waters rising => damage to buildings & agriculture

14. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.200614 Proposal 1 EU: ● Work also with other actors in Russia, including NGOs, additionally to governmental institutions, to find partners for JIPs in Russia, to considerably broaden the choice Russia: ● Put down barriers to JIPs, incl.: - simplify JIPs registration to ‘one window’ procedures - low down the threshold limit for a project - etc. Foster Joint Implementation projects

15. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.200615 Proposal 2 EU: ● Share/transfer experience ● Co-operate with NGOs Russia: ● Adopt relevant laws ● Adopt relevant state programmes ● Co-operate with NGOs Foster Energy Efficiency and Renewables

16. EU – Russia Citizens’ Forum, Lahti - St.Petersburg, 17-20.11.200616 Climate change mitigation EU and Russia Alexander Fedorov Centre for Environmental Initiatives, St.Petersburg ceispb@gmail.com Alexey Kokorin WWF-Russia, Moscow AKokorin@wwf.ru Thank you for your attention!