1. US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ® Flood Risk Management: A View to the Future Framing the Questions – Addressing the Needs: Moving to Incorporate Social Science into Meteorological Operations Joan Pope Andrew J. Bruzewicz U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 3-4 May 2010

2. BUILDING STRONG ® USACE Engineering and Operational Spectrum “From Peace to War” Spectrum of USACE Operations WATER RESOURCES WATER RESOURCES ENVIRONMENT DISASTERS WARFIGHTING INFRASTRUCTURE Building and sustaining the critical facilities for military installations and the public Creating synergy between water resource development and environment Restoring, managing and and enhancing ecosystems, local and regional Responding to local, national and global disasters Responding to local, national and global disasters Providing full spectrum engineering and contingency support

3. BUILDING STRONG ® - 22,000 personnel - Navigation - Hydropower -Flood Risk Management -Shore Protection -Water Supply -Regulatory -Recreation Engineer Research and Development Center Seven diverse research laboratories - $1 Billion Military Program ~$28 Billion - 10,000 personnel - Military Construction - Contingency Ops - Installation Support - International/ Interagency Support - Homeland Security - Environmental - Real Estate HQ 45 Districts 9 Divisions Civil Works Program ~$9 Billion What is the US Army Corps of Engineers? Agency & Industry Partners Engineer Commands

4. BUILDING STRONG ® USACE -- The Army’s Engineer USACE -- The Army’s Engineer Military Programs Civil Works 10K25K Personnel Uniformed = 557 Executes Programs for... Secretary of the ArmyChief of Staff Commander, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers 8 Divisions 41 Districts 2 Centers 7 World Class Labs 1 Engineer Battalion North Atlantic Pacific Ocean Northwestern South Pacific South Atlantic Southwestern Mississippi Valley Great Lakes & Ohio River

5. BUILDING STRONG ® Military Construction Overseas Contingencies Real Estate Formerly Used Defense Sites (FUDS) Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) Interagency and International Services Installation Support Stability Operations Military Program Missions Slide 16 at TAB B

6. BUILDING STRONG ® Navigation Hydropower Flood Risk Management Ecosystem Restoration Water Supply Regulatory (Wetlands / US Waters ) Recreation Disaster Preparedness & Response Civil Works Program Missions Lock and Dam 15 ( Mississippi River ) Flood Wall ( Williamson, KY ) Everglades Dredge ESSAYONS ( Coos Bay, OR ) Bonneville II Powerhouse ( Washington ) Lake Seminole ( Mobile District )

7. BUILDING STRONG ® US Ports & Waterways convey > 2B Tons Commerce Foreign Trade alone creates > $160 B Tax Revenues Recreation areas 376 M Visitors/yr Generate $15 B in economic activity, 500,000 jobs 11,000 miles of Commercial Inland Waterways: ½ the cost of rail 1/10 the cost of trucks 400 miles of Shore protection Destination for 75% of U.S. Vacations 8500 Miles of Levees 299 Deep Draft Harbors Emergency Operations Stewardship of 11.7 Million Acres Public Lands Environmental Restoration 627 Shallow Draft Harbors Regulatory Responsibilities ¼ of Nation’s Hydropower: $500 M + in power sales Civil Works Value to the Nation

8. BUILDING STRONG ® Water Resources Challenges Flood plain & coastal development Threatened ecosystems Vulnerability to attack Increased foreign trade Aging infrastructure Energy demand - hydro Population pressure Multiple Demands Multiple Demands Climate change Changing allocation needs

9. BUILDING STRONG ® 9 Katrina’s Lessons (Summary of Interagency Performance Review Team Report) Change Need methods to consider changes in hazards, the system and consequences. Project authorizations and resource streams must anticipate change. Life Cycle Plan for life cycle performance of systems. Resilience and redundancy are critical, as are adaptive designs to accommodate change, expected and unexpected. Systems We need risk-based, system-wide planning and design methods. Foster collaboration among stakeholders at all levels. Policy and Practice Evolve guidance and methods to integrate rapidly emerging technologies and knowledge.

10. BUILDING STRONG ® 10 USACE’s Response: Actions for Change Comprehensive systems approach Risk-informed decision making Communication of risk to the public Professional and technical expertise

11. BUILDING STRONG ® 11 Systems Approach Look at river basins, waterheds and coastal zones as a whole Shift focus from individual projects to interdependent system Shift from immediate to long- term solutions Recognize that any single action triggers one or more responses and reactions in other parts of the system

12. BUILDING STRONG ® 12 Risk-Informed Decision Making & Communication Consequence analysis, especially risks to populations Forestall possible failure mechanisms Quantify & communicate residual risk Ask which projects will fail to perform as designed, the likelihood of failure, and the consequences Recognize limits in disaster prediction Recognize limits in protection provided by structural means

13. BUILDING STRONG ® 13 Shared Flood Risk Management: Buying Down Risk Residual Risk

14. BUILDING STRONG ® 14 Flood Risk Management Program Vision: To lead collaborative, comprehensive and sustainable national flood risk management to improve public safety and reduce flood damages to our country. Mission: To integrate and synchronize the ongoing, diverse flood risk management projects, programs and authorities of the US Army Corps of Engineers with counterpart projects, programs and authorities of FEMA, other Federal agencies, state organizations and regional and local agencies.

15. BUILDING STRONG ® 15 Core Members: USACE, FEMA, ASFPM, NAFSMA leadership Meet quarterly to discuss integration of programs and policies Current Focus Areas: Interagency Cooperation/Collaboration Risk Communication Levee Inventory and Assessments Mapping, Certification, and Accreditation Legislative Impacts Intergovernmental Flood Risk Management Committee

16. BUILDING STRONG ® 16 Interagency Levee Task Force: Regional Flood Risk Management http://www.iwr.usace.army.mil/ILTF/ Identification of regional partners Facilitated comprehensive regional approach to flood risk management and recovery Establishment of interagency partnerships (Federal / State) Explore non-structural solutions and other flood risk management opportunities

17. BUILDING STRONG ® Summary We cannot eliminate risk. Our intent is to educate the public as to the actual flood risk they face every day so they can take responsibility for their own safety. We are working with local governments so risk can be included in urban planning decisions.

18. BUILDING STRONG ® 18 Is the concern focused on warnings or hazards (meteorology or climatology) and short term versus long term response (evacuation or land use planning) Time between accurate warnings and the ability to respond (New Orleans, Florida Keys) Awareness vs. full understanding of: risk, uncertainty, and the range of consequences Uncertainty and Chicken Little Risk perception, experience, and memory Appropriate response: evacuation or shelter in place? What gets modeled and how are priorities determined? Inundation, dam and levee failure Educating the public and K-12 programs Considerations

19. BUILDING STRONG ® 19 US Army Corps of Engineers BUILDING STRONG ®