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Review. Review Item  An firm has a project with NPV>0 that costs a lot of money.  It pays off after the owner dies.  Should she invest? In the project?

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Presentation on theme: "Review. Review Item  An firm has a project with NPV>0 that costs a lot of money.  It pays off after the owner dies.  Should she invest? In the project?"— Presentation transcript:

1 Review

2 Review Item  An firm has a project with NPV>0 that costs a lot of money.  It pays off after the owner dies.  Should she invest? In the project? In financial assets? How?

3 Time zero cash flow Time one cash flow An investment opportunity that increases value. NPV Invest to here Finance to here

4 Review item  What is the interest rate?

5 Don’t write  The interest rate is the time value of money.

6 Do write:  The interest rate is the premium for current delivery of money.  P 0 is the price of current money in current money, namely 1.  P 1 is the price of time-one money in terms of current money, something <1.  P

7 Office hours  Anderson  Monday 10:30 – 12:30  Tuesday 10-11  Seo  Monday 2-4  Tuesday 9-10  Marshall  Monday 4-6  Tuesday 11-12

8 Review item  When a firm creates value through a financial transaction, who gets the increase?

9 Answer  Old equity means the shareholders at the time the decision is made.  Old equity gets the gains.  Why? Old equity has no competitors. Everyone else is competitive and must accept a market return.

10 Review item  Two assets have the same expected return.  Each has a standard deviation of 2%.  The correlation coefficient is.5.  What is the standard deviation of an equally weighted portfolio?

11 Answer  Var P =.5x.5x4+.5x.5x4+2x.5x.5x.5x2x2  = 3  Standard deviation = sq. root of 3  =1.732

12 Review item  A firm has a project with positive NPV.  The project costs 100M to start.  The firm has only 50M.  What should it do?

13 Answer  Raise the money in the capital market.  It can because NPV is market valuation.

14 EPS and ROE under Proposed Capital Structure Shares Outstanding = 240 RecessionExpectedExpansion EBIT$1,000$2,000$3,000 Interest640640640 Net income$360$1,360$2,360 EPS$1.50$5.67$9.83 ROA5%10%15% ROE3%11%20%

15 Proposition II of M-M  r B is the interest rate  r s is the return on (levered) equity r 0 is the return on unlevered equity  B is value of debt  S L is value of levered equity  r s = r 0 + (B / S L ) (r 0 - r B )

16 MM Proposition II no tax Debt-to-equity ratio (B/S) Cost of capital: r (%). r0r0 rSrS r WACC rBrB

17 MM II (with taxes)  Corporate taxes, not personal  r B = interest rate  r S = return on equity  r 0 = return on unlevered equity  B = value of debt  S L = value of levered equity  Previously, without taxes r S = r 0 + (B/S L )(r 0 - r B )

18 Effect of tax shield  Increase of equity risk is partly offset by the tax shield  r S = r 0 + (1-T C )(r 0 - r B )(B/S L )  Leverage raises the required return less because of the tax shield.

19 MM II and WACC Debt-to-equity ratio (B/S) Cost of capital: r (%). r0r0 rSrS rBrB. 0.200= 0.100. r WACC. 0.2351 200 370

20 Optimal Debt and Value Debt (B) Value of firm (V) 0 Present value of tax shield on debt Present value of financial distress costs Value of firm under MM with corporate taxes and debt VL=VU+TCB=VL=VU+TCB= V=Actual value of firm V U =Value of firm with no debt B* Maximum firm value Optimal amount of debt

21 Channels OperatingCash Flows=$1 Debt channel Equity channel TCTC (1-T C )(1-T S ) TBTB 1 - T B TSTS

22 Value as equity Value as debt Operating C.F.’s of the whole economy D of Institutions D of rich investors V* = 1/R B V* = 1/R S as debt as equity Miller: Tax-class clienteles

23 Value as equity Value as debt Operating C.F.’s of the whole economy tax reform increased debt...

24 Separation theorem interpreted for dividends (Figure 18.4) C1C1 C0C0 slope=-(1+r) Low-dividendfirm High-dividend firm w Future return or dividendno

25 Dividend equilibrium $ofoperating cashflows HiDiv value per$1 LoDiv value per$1 mqiliriu oiv E L mEquilibriu HiDiv ub D V*=1/RhRh V*=1/RLRL...

26 Review item  What is the weighted average cost of capital?

27 Answer  Give the definitions and the formula.  r B = bond rate  r S = expected return on shares  B = market value of bonds  S = market value of shares  T C = corporate tax rate

28 Pay-off pitch  r WACC = (S/(S+B))r S + (B/(S+B))(1-T C )r B  Now say that it applies when  (1) the physical project has the same risk as the firm  (2) it is financed like the firm.

29 Review item  Does a good project have IRR greater than the hurdle rate, or less?

30 Answer  IRR is the discount rate that makes NPV(IRR) = 0.  The hurdle rate is the market rate for the risk-class.  Investing means cash flows are first negative, then positive.  Financing (in this context) means cash flows are first positive, then negative.

31 More answer  Other sign patterns, IRR is not useful.  Investing, a good project has IRR > hurdle rate.  Financing, a good project has hurdle rate > IRR.

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