1. Outlook for U.S. Commodities by Jim Hilker, Ph. D. and John Ferris, Ph. D. MSU Department of Agricultural Economics

2. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-991999-00 2000-01 Acre Planted (Mil) 80.2 77.4 76.8 Acre Harv. (Mil) 72.6 70.5 70.0 Bu/Harvested Ac134.4133.8134.9 Production (Mil Bu) 9,759 9,437 9,443 CORN BALANCE SHEET

3. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Beg. Stocks 1,308 1,787 1,714 Production 9,759 9,437 9,443 Imports 19 15 13 Total Supply 11,086 11,23911,170 CORN BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

4. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Uses: Feed and Residual 5,496 5,650 5,625 Food, Seed and Ind. Uses 1,822 1,900 1,960 Total Domestic 7,318 7,550 7,585 Exports 1,981 1,975 2,025 Total Use 9,299 9,525 9,610 CORN BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

5. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Total Supply 11,086 11,239 11,170 Total Use 9,299 9,525 9,610 End. Stocks 1,787 1,714 1,560 End.Stocks, % of Use 19.2 18.0 16.2 Reg. Loan Rate $1.89 $1.89 $1.89 U.S. Season Average Farm Price, $/Bu. $1.94 $1.90 $2.10 CORN BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

6. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-991999-00 2000-01 Acre Planted (Mil) 65.8 62.8 62.2 Acre Harv. (Mil) 59.0 53.9 54.3 Bu/Harvested Ac 43.2 42.7 40.6 Production (Mil Bu) 2,548 2,302 2,205 WHEAT BALANCE SHEET

7. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Beg. Stocks 722 946 972 Production 2,548 2,302 2,205 Imports 103 100 103 Total Supply 3,373 3,348 3,280 WHEAT BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

8. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Uses: Food 903 910 915 Seed 81 91 90 Feed 401 300 300 Total Domestic 1,385 1,301 1,305 Exports 1,042 1,075 1,125 Total Use 2,427 2,375 2,430 WHEAT BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

9. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Total Supply 3,373 3,348 3,280 Total Use 2,427 2,376 2,430 End. Stocks 946 972 850 End.Stocks, % of Use 38.9 41.0 35.0 Reg. Loan Rate $2.58 $2.58 $2.58 U.S. Season Average Farm Price, $/Bu. $2.65 $2.50 $2.80 WHEAT BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

10. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-991999-00 2000-01 Acre Planted (Mil) 72.0 73.8 73.8 Acre Harv. (Mil) 70.4 72.8 72.5 Bu/Harvested Ac 38.9 36.5 39.2 Production (Mil Bu) 2,741 2,994 3,210 SOYBEANS BALANCE SHEET

11. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Beg. Stocks 200 348 365 Production 2,741 2,643 2,842 Imports 3 3 3 Total Supply 2,944 2,994 3,210 SOYBEANS BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

12. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Uses: Crushings 1,590 1,605 1,630 Exports 801 865 920 Food, Seed and Residuals 205 159 160 Total Use 2,596 2,629 2,710 SOYBEANS BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

13. Est. Proj. Hilker 1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 Total Supply 2,944 2,994 3,210 Total Use 2,596 2,629 2,710 End. Stocks 348 365 500 End.Stocks, % of Use 13.4 13.9 18.4 Reg. Loan Rate $5.26 $5.26 $5.26 U.S. Season Average Farm Price, $/Bu. $4.93 $4.75 $4.50 SOYBEANS BALANCE SHEET (Million Bushels)

17. Low Grain and Soybean Prices Translates into Low Energy and Protein Costs for the Livestock Sector

18. Milk Price History and Projection

19. History & Projection