1. Project Two Groups I, 2, & 3 email ppt. as attached file to Mark Dotson mark.dotson@ic.ucsb.edu mark.dotson@ic.ucsb.edu Subject: econ 240a Message Mark: please add this file to the lab nine folder

2. Outline I. Projects I. Projects II. Goodness of Fit & Chi Square II. Goodness of Fit & Chi Square

3. Part I: Projects Teams Teams Assignments Assignments Presentations Presentations Data Sources Data Sources Grades Grades

4. Group1 Group 2 Group 3 Torbjorn BjeringAleksander KeyfesJeff Lee Ho-Jung HsiaoChristopher StroudZhen Tian Eric GriffinVisut HemuthiTsung-Ching Huang Chun-Hung LinMarisa PittmanOystein Tennum Gulsa GuenecNoelle HirneiseChristian Treubig Gaoyuan Tian Lindsey AspelEdmund Bedach Laura Braeutigan Group 4Group 5Group 6 Julianne ShanYao WangMatthew Mullens Brian AbeBrooks AllenChungkai Gao Yu-Ting ChengMorgan HansenEric Wright Kathinka TysnesYuli YanTore Bjoendal Huan ZhangTing Zheng Daniel Helling Andrew BoothUthra RadhakrishnanChien-Ju Lin

5. Team One : Project choice : Project choice : Data Retrieval : Data Retrieval : Statistical Analysis : Statistical Analysis : PowerPoint Presentation : PowerPoint Presentation : Executive Summary : Executive Summary : Technical Appendix : Technical Appendix : Graphics (Excel, Eviews, other) : Graphics (Excel, Eviews, other)

6. Assignments 1. Project choice: 1. Project choice: 2. Data Retrieval: 2. Data Retrieval: 3. Statistical Analysis: 3. Statistical Analysis: 4. PowerPoint Presentation: 4. PowerPoint Presentation: 5. Executive Summary: 5. Executive Summary: 6. Technical Appendix: 6. Technical Appendix: 7. Graphics: 7. Graphics:

7. PowerPoint Presentations: Member 4 1. Introduction: Members 1,2, 3 1. Introduction: Members 1,2, 3 What What Why Why How How 2. Executive Summary: Member 5 2. Executive Summary: Member 5 3. Exploratory Data Analysis: Members 3, 7 3. Exploratory Data Analysis: Members 3, 7 4. Descriptive Statistics: Member 3, 7 4. Descriptive Statistics: Member 3, 7 5. Statistical Analysis: Member 3 5. Statistical Analysis: Member 3 6. Conclusions: Members 3 & 5 6. Conclusions: Members 3 & 5 7. Technical Appendix: Table of Contents, Member 6 7. Technical Appendix: Table of Contents, Member 6

8. Executive Summary and Technical Appendix

10. Data Sources FRED: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred/ FRED: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred/ http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred/ Business/Fiscal Business/Fiscal Index of Consumer Sentiment, Monthly (1952:11) Index of Consumer Sentiment, Monthly (1952:11) Light Weight Vehicle Sales, Auto and Light Truck, Monthly (1976.01) Light Weight Vehicle Sales, Auto and Light Truck, Monthly (1976.01) Economagic, http://www.economagic.com/ Economagic, http://www.economagic.com/http://www.economagic.com/ U S Dept. of Commerce, http://www.commerce.gov/ U S Dept. of Commerce, http://www.commerce.gov/ http://www.commerce.gov/ Population Population Economic Analysis, http://www.bea.gov/ Economic Analysis, http://www.bea.gov/http://www.bea.gov/

11. Data Sources (Cont. ) Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://stats.bls.gov/ Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://stats.bls.gov/ http://stats.bls.gov/ California Dept of Finance, http://www.dof.ca.gov/ California Dept of Finance, http://www.dof.ca.gov/ http://www.dof.ca.gov/