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Tracking the Recovery December 12, 2014. 2 Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics.

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Presentation on theme: "Tracking the Recovery December 12, 2014. 2 Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics."— Presentation transcript:

1 Tracking the Recovery December 12, 2014

2 2 Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics

3 3 2007 = 100 October 100.6 Industrial Production Index: Manufacturing Source: Board of Governors via Haver Analytics

4 4 DIFFUSION INDEXES: Numbers above 50 percent indicate more favorable responses towards economic activity. ISM: Business Survey Indexes Source: Institute for Supply Management via Haver Analytics

5 5 12 Month % Change Retail Sales Note: Retail sales includes food services. Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics October 4.1%

6 6 Autos and Light Trucks Light Trucks Autos October 16.5 mil. Sales of Automobiles & Light Trucks Millions of Vehicles Source: Autodata Corporation via Haver Analytics

7 7 12 Month % Change October 2.0% Average Hourly Earnings Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

8 8 October 0.46 mil. Average Annual New Home Sales:1990 through 1999 New Single-Family Home Sales Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics Millions of Homes

9 9 Single-Family Housing Starts & Permits Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics Millions of Starts & Permits Starts Permits 1990 - 1999 Average Housing Starts October

10 10 2009$, Billions Twelve-Month Moving Average September Real Private Nonresidential Construction Put In Place Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics Notes: Deflated using the price index for private fixed investment in nonresidential structures.

11 11 Current $, Billions Shipments October New Orders Core Capital Goods Notes: Core capital goods are nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft. Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics

12 12 Current $, Billions September -$43.0 bil. Six-Month Moving Average Balance of International Trade Source: Census Bureau via Haver Analytics

13 13 Exchange Value of the USD Index, March 1973 = 100 Source: Board of Governors via Haver Analytics Notes: Measured as the real broad trade-weighted exchange value of the United States Dollar. November

14 14 Quarterly average of monthly changes, thousands of persons Oct. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

15 15 Millions of Persons October 139.7 mil. Nonfarm Payroll Employment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

16 16 Percent October Measures of Labor Utilization Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

17 17 Percent of Population October Labor Force Participation Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics

18 18 Gauges of Inflation Source: BEA, BLS, & Commodity Research Bureau via Haver Analytics Notes: Core PCE Price Index includes expenditures on food services.

19 19 November 21st 5-Year 5 Years Ahead TIPS Inflation Compensation Source: Board of Governors Research Series via Haver Analytics Percent

20 The Region

21 21 Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

22 22 Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

23 23 Fifth District Manufacturing Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

24 24 Fifth District Service Sector Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

25 25 Fifth District Service Sector Activity Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, net percent positive

26 26 Carolinas Business Activity Survey Source: ISM/Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond Index, 3MMA

27 27 Regional Employment Source: US BLS Index, Dec. 2007 = 1.00

28 28 Regional Employment Source: US BLS Index, Dec. 2007 = 1.00

29 29 Regional Employment Source: US BLS

30 30 Regional Unemployment Source: US BLS Percent

31 31 Regional Employment Source: US BLS Index, Dec. 2007 = 1.00

32 Comments/Questions

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