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Predictions of climate models

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Presentation on theme: "Predictions of climate models"— Presentation transcript:

1 1) Summary of climate change model and green house gases; 2) Introduction to kinematics.

2 Predictions of climate models
Simple model without atmosphere Ts4 = (1-A) S / 4σ, >Ts = 255 K. An improved model with atmosphere TA4 = (1-A)S/4σ, Ts4 = (1-A) S / 4σ + TA4 = 2 TA4 =2 (1-A) S / 4σ

3 Q1 Current earth surface temperature is about 30C. If the distance from the earth to the sun is doubled, the surface temperature of the earth is about 0C; -10 C; - 60C; 4) -120C.

4 Q2 (optional question) If the surface temperature of the Sun
increases by 10%, then the earth temperature (surface) will 1) increase by 46%; 2) increase by 33%; 3) increase by 21%; 4) Increase by 10%.

5 A closer look at the infrared region.

6 Major Constitute of Earth Atmosphere
Name Concentration by vol. Concentration by ppm Nitrogen Oxygen Water vapor – ,000 Carbon dioxide Ozone, Example: Green house gases

7 Kinematics kinematics describes the motion of an object.
Translational kinematics is about the position changes with time. We describe motion: use motion diagrams use graphs

8 A B C D Q1. Which motion diagram shows an object slowing down. Q2. Which motion diagram shows an object speeding up. Q3. Which motion diagram shows a stationary object Q4. Which motion diagram shows an object moving with a constant speed.

9 Position y as a function of time t.
Graphs Position y as a function of time t. Constant velocity y No motion t

10 Kinematics Position Displacement x= x2 - x1
Speed = distance traveled / time elapsed Velocity = displacement / time elapsed v = (x2 - x1)/(t2 - t1) = x/t Instantaneous velocity v = lim x/t t

11 Acceleration Average Acceleration a = v/t Instantaneous Acceleration
a = lim v/t t


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