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www.YaleRuddCenter.org Dealing With Obesity Do We Have The Courage?
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www.YaleRuddCenter.org PodcastseNewsletter Slide PresentationsResources Galore
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1985 No Data <10% 10%-14% 15-19% 20% BRFSS, BMI > 30
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1986
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1987
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1988
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1989
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1990
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1991
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1992
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1993
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1994
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1995
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1996
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1997
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1998
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1999
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2000
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2001
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2002
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2003
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2004
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2005 No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30%
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A Global Crisis?
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EU Trends 1980-2005 Females
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Females 1980-1984 © International Obesity TaskForce 2005 % Obesity < 5 % 5-9.9% 10-14.9% 15-19.9% 20-24.9% ≥ 25%
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Females 1985-1989 © International Obesity TaskForce 2005 % Obesity < 5 % 5-9.9% 10-14.9% 15-19.9% 20-24.9% ≥ 25%
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Females 1990-1994 © International Obesity TaskForce 2005 % Obesity < 5 % 5-9.9% 10-14.9% 15-19.9% 20-24.9% ≥ 25% Self Reported data
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Females 1995-1999 © International Obesity TaskForce 2005 % Obesity < 5 % 5-9.9% 10-14.9% 15-19.9% 20-24.9% ≥ 25% Self Reported data
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Females 2000-2005 © International Obesity TaskForce 2005 % Obesity < 5 % 5-9.9% 10-14.9% 15-19.9% 20-24.9% ≥ 25% Self Reported data
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Projected % Increase in Diabetes, 2000 - 2030 Yach, Stuckler, Brownell Nature Medicine, 2006 36.5% 75.5% 134%
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% Increase in Diabetes, 2000 - 2030 Yach, Stuckler, Brownell Nature Medicine, 2006 19.8% 124%
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What Won’t Work
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Treatment Diets Self-help Commercial Lifestyle change Medication Surgery Efficacy Public Health Impact ?? Modest High Low
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What Might Work
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Two Solid Contributors One Possible Contributor - Economics - Marketing - Addiction
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Economics Price Access
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Link of Poverty With Obesity Drewnowski & Specter Am J Clin Nutr, 2004
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The Cost of Calories Drewnowski & Specter Am J Clin Nutr, 2004
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Relative Changes in Costs (using Consumer Price Index) From 1980 - 2000 3.8% average increase in inflation rate Food prices rose less (3.4%) This is 14% drop in relative price of food Council of Economic Advisors 2004 Report
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% Increase in Costs from 1985-2000 Putnam et al. Food Rev, 2002 20% 46% 117%
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Tale of Three Cities Detroit, MI Branford, CT Chapel Hill, NC
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Population Detroit Branford Chapel Hill 29,000 52,440 800,000
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Median Family Income Detroit Branford Chapel Hill $33,853 $69,510 $88,200
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Number of Large Full Service Markets Branford 2 Chapel Hill 6 Detroit 2
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Markets Per 50,000 People Detroit.125 Branford 3.4 Chapel Hill 5.7
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Improving Access More Supermarkets Zoning Enterprise zones Tax incentives Use of Existing Markets Distribution Storage Price
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The Perfect Economic Storm
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Healthy Food Costs More Availability Pricing Incentives
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Food Marketing
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Amount Impact Types Massive Multiple Profound
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Traditional Marketing + Guerilla Marketing Viral Marketing Stealth Marketing
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New Frontiers Virtual ads – sporting events Virtual ads – TV & Movies Cell phones A viral cohort
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Tax Freedom Day United States April 30 New Zealand June 1 Germany July 5
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RWJF $100 million/yr vs. Child Marketing January 4!
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Legal Challenges Limiting commercial speech Preemption Enhancing compelled speech
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Food and Addiction
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Food and Addiction Biological (evolutionary) plausibility Clinical plausibility Research plausibility
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Yale Meeting on Food & Addiction Co-chairs Kelly BrownellYale Mark GoldUniv of Florida Keynote Nora VolkowNIDA Partial Participant List Louis AronneCornell Claude BouchardPennington Sam KleinWash Univ Bart HoebelPrinceton Mark GoldUniv of Florida Shelley GreenfieldHarvard Barbara MasonScripps Gene-Jack WangBrookhaven Nora VolkowNIMH
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Excellent Reviews and Conceptual Papers Bart Hoebel animal neuroscience Nora Volkow human neuroscience Mark Gold human studies Elissa Epel food reward
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What Might Be Addictive? Macronutrients (sugar, fat) Chemical additives Ingredients (e.g., HFCS)
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What to Do? It Begins With A Story
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Knowledge The Individual Motivation How Best to Make Change? Educate Implore Medicate Operate Less Obesity?
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CDC, BRFSS % of US Population Getting Recommended Physical Activity (1986-2000)
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Knowledge The Individual Motivation How Best to Make Change? Educate Implore Medicate Operate Less Obesity?
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Knowledge The Individual Motivation How Best to Make Change? Educate Implore Medicate Operate Less Obesity
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The Individual Optimal Defaults Economics Legislation Environment Regulation Less Obesity
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The Individual Optimal Defaults Economics Legislation Environment Regulation Less Obesity
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One Example – Pension Plans Automatic enrollment Employee must enroll near 100% < 50% in 1 st yr Choi, Laibson et al, 2002 In Poterba (Ed). Tax Policy and the Economy
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Another Example – Organ Donation Johnson & Goldstein, Science, 2003 “Do defaults save lives?”
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Dr. Thomas Frieden NYC Commissioner of Health Michael Bloomberg Mayor Optimal Legal Defaults
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The Importance of Local Victories Deputize a massive potential force Mobilization more likely for local issues More opportunities for ingenuity
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But What Is Needed An evaluation SWAT Team National organizing resource body Funding
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www.YaleRuddCenter.org
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