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Analyzing International Opportunities

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Presentation on theme: "Analyzing International Opportunities"— Presentation transcript:

1 Analyzing International Opportunities
Explain market-and site-screening processes Analyze international market research Learn to evaluate new investment projects Study issues that are important to evaluating investment proposals

2 Screening Potential Markets and Sites

3 Identify Basic Appeal Basic Demand Availability of Resources

4 The National Business Environment
Cultural Political and Legal Economic and Financial Transporting Materials Image of the Country

5 Measure Market Potential
Industrialized Markets Measure Market Potential Emerging Markets

6 Measure Site Potential
Quality of Local Resources Investment of Time and Money Stability of Local Infrastructure

7 Simplified Grid to Compare Countries for Market Penetration
VARIABLE WEIGHT I II III IV V 1. Acceptable (A), Unacceptable (U) factors a. Allows 100% ownership U A A A A b. Allows licensing to majority-owned subsidiary A A A A A 2. Return (higher number = preferred rating) a. Size of investment needed b. Direct costs c. Tax rate d. Market size, present e. Market size, 3–10 years f. Market share, immediate potential (0–2 years) g. Market share, 3–10 years TOTAL 3. Risk (lower number = preferred rating) a. Market loss, 3–10 years b. Exchange problems c. Political-unrest potential d. Business laws, present e. Business laws, 3–10 years TOTAL

8 Select the Market or Site
Field Trips Competitor Analysis

9 Primary International
Trade Shows and Trade Missions Interviews and Focus Groups Primary International Research Surveys Environmental Scanning

10 Evaluating Investment Proposals
Estimating Future Cash Flows Present Value Return on Investment Risk and Return

11 Comparison of ROI Certainty
ROI AS PERCENTAGE 5 10 15 20 INVESTMENT A WEIGHTED PROBABILITY VALUE Estimated ROI 10% INVESTMENT B Comparison of ROI Certainty

12 Where the investment should be made and explain your choice.
Discussion Feasibility studies showed that a $1 million investment would yield the following return for a U.S. firm after taxes: Where the investment should be made and explain your choice. Country Return The United States 7% Israel 10% Brazil 13% Zambia 16%

13 Evolution of the Entry Mode Decision
Experience Wholly Owned Subsidiary Management Contract Joint Venture/Alliance Franchising Control Turnkey Project Licensing Exporting Risk

14 Strategic Factors in Selecting an Entry Mode
Market size Cultural environment Political and legal environment Production and shipping costs


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