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Barry Brennan Glanbia Business Development Director

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Presentation on theme: "Barry Brennan Glanbia Business Development Director"— Presentation transcript:

1 Barry Brennan Glanbia Business Development Director
Africa – Private Seminar Barry Brennan Glanbia Business Development Director

2 What I intend covering:
Glanbia – Africa – Market opportunity and insight Specific focus Investment and way of working Key learning Conclusion and Questions

3 Glanbia plc Strong global presence in key food markets and sectors around the world Manufacturing and processing in 7 countries, sales / technical support in 14 countries Exports/distribution to 130 countries+ UK Canada Ireland Germany Belgium USA China Mexico Dubai Indonesia Nigeria Uruguay Australia Sales/technical support locations Manufacturing/processing and customer service locations Export/product distribution locations

4 Why is Africa important to us?
Ireland is an excellent source of dairy but requires significant exports Milk deficit region Africa fits the bill and while logistically a challenge - only 28 days to market Population growth – easing of access – currency union GDP growth and CAGR milk consumption (4-5%) – supported by policy & urbanisation Positive perception of milk from a health and wellness perspective Multi – channel and Value Add emergence Low cost of production Provenance Nov 2011 Global pop reached 7 b – Africa will feature strongly in the next 1b Well perceived from a quality perspective

5 Geographical distribution of world production in 2010 (million tons)
World dairy production (all categories included) Geographical distribution of world production in 2010 (million tons) World Total: 711 million tons Europe 217 31% North America 95 13% Asia 257 36% Central America 16 2% Africa 37 5% South America 61 9% Oceania 26 4% CNIEL / IDF, FAO Food Outlook, December 2010

6 Real GDP Africa top 20 ( based on 2010)
Real GDP Growth Rates, 2008 2009 2010 2011 (e) 2012 (p) 2013 (p) Chad 3.4 4.1 14.3 2.8 7.0 3.2 Ethiopia* 10.8 8.8 11.4 10.7 7.6 Zimbabwe -17.7 6.0 9.0 6.8 4.4 5.1 Congo 5.6 7.5 5.3 5.7 4.7 Niger 9.3 -0.7 8.0 4.2 11.2 Burkina Faso 5.2 7.9 5.5 Nigeria 7.8 6.7 6.9 6.6 Ghana 8.4 4.0 7.7 13.7 8.3 Zambia 6.4 7.3 Botswana 2.9 -4.9 7.2 3.9 Rwanda 11.5 8.6 Congo Dem. Rep. 6.2 6.5 Tanzania 7.4 7.1 Mozambique 6.3 Seychelles -1.0 0.5 5.0 Malawi 5.8 Gabon 1.9 3.3 Namibia -0.4 3.8 Gambia Uganda 10.4 6.1 4.5 4.9

7 Real GDP Africa Remainder ( based on 2010)
Real GDP Growth Rates, 2008 2009 2010 2011 (e) 2012 (p) 2013 (p) Mali 5.0 4.5 5.8 2.7 3.5 5.1 Kenya 1.5 2.6 5.6 5.2 5.5 Lesotho 5.4 2.9 3.1 4.0 Liberia 7.1 4.6 6.9 8.8 7.2 Mauritania -1.2 4.3 4.7 4.9 Egypt * 1.8 0.8 2.8 Sierra Leone 3.2 5.7 6.2 Sudan 6.8 2.0 Mauritius 4.2 4.1 Senegal 3.7 2.1 Burundi 3.9 4.8 5.3 Morocco Togo 2.4 3.4 4.4 Djibouti 6.7 Guinea-Bissau 3.0 Angola 13.8 8.2 Algeria 3.3 Central Afr. Rep. 1.7 Cameroon Tunisia -1.1 2.5 Libya 0.5 -41.8 20.1 9.5 South Africa 3.6 -1.5 Benin Côte d'Ivoire 2.3 3.8 -5.9 8.6 Eritrea -9.8 2.2 6.3 Guinea -0.3 1.9 Equatorial Guinea 10.7 -0.8 7.0 6.6 Africa

8 Primary focus markets to this point
Greatest demand for milk imports West Africa Milk powder + variants North Africa Cheese & Milk Powder Central Africa Milk Powder + variants

9 Dairy products consumption levels in 2010(kg per capita)
Geographical variations of dairy products consumption Dairy products consumption levels in 2010(kg per capita) Canada 246 Russia 249 EU 290 United States 275 Japan 71 China 36 Iran 115 Algeria 83 India 96 Mexico 121 As can be seen from this map – information on consumption of dairy not readily available We can assume that there is massive scope for growth Africa likes milk and it is a tummy filler \ hunger satisfier Dairy is among the most flexible and varied complete foods available Philippines 13 Brazil 157 Indonesia 11 World average 103 kg / capita Less than 50 kg 100 to 200 kg Argentina 215 CNIEL / IDF, FAO Food Outlook, PRB 50 to 100 kg Over 200 kg

10 Specific focus and strategy
Develop a hub and spoke type marketing structure – around core countries via local in country partner JV or Strategic Relationship Example Senegal – adjacency – Guinea + Guinea Bissau + Mauritania + Gambia Assisted by common currency + trade zones Investment in bricks and mortar possible but difficult - Innovation and Technical support is more important to us Bricks and Mortar investment in Nigeria , Senegal solely Innovation and Technical Support with equity stake. Would always consider direct investment with the right business case. Innovation crucial to success Cost focus , value add focus , displacement of value add imports Enhanced functionality Quality and Branding The African consumer is among the most discerning globally and can be unforgiving Access to a good port and a good distribution network Capital Projects can take a long time and need to be project managed to a micro level. Innovation is all about affordability , shelf life , local taste notes and functionality Don’t assume less knowledgeable consumers – hard earned money demands quality product.

11 Senegal Strategic Partner since 1994 ~ grown to €80m plus turnover + equity stake available Largest repacking facility in West Africa with c 800 employees Advanced chill chain distribution + national and adjacent distribution Leading brands in Senegal – with 50% market share of re-packed milk First mover diversification along value chain Yoghurt \ Sterilised Milk further €1.5m investment in Q4 2012 Health & Wellness focus with fortified and enhanced products Strong Innovation and Technical support – seamless collaboration An embedded Glanbia person on the ground An exclusive two way relationship – legally constructed Massive investment undertaken – new factory park in 2005 – Government assistance Ongoing investment in increased capacity and distribution

12 Senegal – key learning Political and Economic stability – very comforting OHADA – Business law harmonisation robust Economic and Monetary Union ECOWAS & UEMOA – huge advantage € link Infrastructure improvements ongoing Patience is a virtue - need to adapt to local pace Banking system – supportive but challenging Bureaucracy is ubiquitous – don’t point the finger! Understanding the culture will help you understand the market

13 Conclusion Senegal in just one example of where we have had success – Mali , Togo , Nigeria are among the others – its a very similar template. We have no fears doing business in Africa and want \ need to extend our footprint – along similar lines to meet our 2015 growth agenda. There is a massive opportunity in Africa – it fits well with Irish culture – but we need to encourage more people to speak French\ Portuguese and be prepared to travel extensively across the continent. Need to learn that to satisfy both growth agendas , we must find balance and leave something on the table for everybody In the case of milk as an staple food West Africa will never feed itself but we have shown that with the correct model both parties can benefit and grow their businesses. It has challenges that need to be overcome but that is not unique to the African continent – they may be different but are solvable. I have developed a love of African music and art and sport – which fits very snugly with our own tastes

14 Finally Pick your partners as you would do in any situation - carefully – nothing new in that I suggest! Any Investment \ Initiative demands focussed planning and must be project managed tightly – Familiarise yourself with the \ Banking \ Statutory \ Legal protocols around doing business locally People make it happen and relationships are paramount I have developed a love of African music and art and sport – which fits very snugly with our own tastes


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