1. Friends / Partners in Aviation Weather Segment 3 Product Generation User Issues Paul Fiduccia October 8, 2008

2. Overview Activities / Deliverables - Dates Status Updates Status Updates GFA/GAMETGFA/GAMET TAFsTAFs WAAS/RNP Approach BenefitsWAAS/RNP Approach Benefits Wind Shear WarningsWind Shear Warnings OEP Weather ItemsOEP Weather Items Volcanic AshVolcanic Ash Integrated Product SuitesIntegrated Product Suites Convection; TFM UseConvection; TFM Use Human-In-The-Loop Issues Human-In-The-Loop Issues Criteria for Primary Product; use with othersCriteria for Primary Product; use with others QC MethodsQC Methods

3. Status Reports (1/3) GFA and GAMET: GFA and GAMET: Status ReportStatus Report Enhance with cross-section and flight path tool?Enhance with cross-section and flight path tool? TAFs: TAFs: Increase TAFs from 530 to 3900.Increase TAFs from 530 to 3900. Improve TAF quality.Improve TAF quality. Transition to many more “airport-specific” TAFs.Transition to many more “airport-specific” TAFs. WAAS/RNP Approach Benefits: Forecast / observation / dissemination improvements. WAAS/RNP Approach Benefits: Forecast / observation / dissemination improvements. International wx: acquisition & dissemination International wx: acquisition & dissemination

4. Status Reports (2/3) Wind shear detection systems (especially at lower-tier airports). Wind shear detection systems (especially at lower-tier airports). Winter weather observation and forecast systems and other information. Winter weather observation and forecast systems and other information. Volcanic ash detection on GOES 12. Volcanic ash detection on GOES 12. OEP: Inclusion of user weather req’ts. OEP: Inclusion of user weather req’ts. Product Suites: Integrated, for each weather phenomena and each user class. Product Suites: Integrated, for each weather phenomena and each user class.

5. Status Reports (3/3) Convective Weather: Convective Weather: Improve the utility of CCFP.Improve the utility of CCFP. Supporting science for low-TRL products for TFM.Supporting science for low-TRL products for TFM. Deploy NEXRAD-based systems (WARP, ITWS, CIWS, MIAWS).Deploy NEXRAD-based systems (WARP, ITWS, CIWS, MIAWS). Develop and validate probabilistic forecasts to support TFM decisions in uncertainty; in coordination with TFM users and Automation experts to ensure products that will integrate well with DST automation.Develop and validate probabilistic forecasts to support TFM decisions in uncertainty; in coordination with TFM users and Automation experts to ensure products that will integrate well with DST automation. FAA and NASA development and integration of DST automation (TFM tools) with weather products?FAA and NASA development and integration of DST automation (TFM tools) with weather products?

6. Human-In-The-Loop Forecasting &/or Monitoring Establish criteria for determining the “primary” product from multiple HIFL and HIML products. Establish criteria for determining the “primary” product from multiple HIFL and HIML products. Highest overall utility.Highest overall utility. HIML when update rate is too fast for HIFL (shortest-term)HIML when update rate is too fast for HIFL (shortest-term) HIML if the models more skill than humans (longest-term).HIML if the models more skill than humans (longest-term). Develop the principles for the appropriate use of non- primary products as supplemental products, e.g., HIML may still be viewed when HIFL is primary. Develop the principles for the appropriate use of non- primary products as supplemental products, e.g., HIML may still be viewed when HIFL is primary. When the models are wrong, develop a method of human QC to make corrections or bar low-skill products. When the models are wrong, develop a method of human QC to make corrections or bar low-skill products. Provide funding / mechanism for a HIML for CIP/FIP. Provide funding / mechanism for a HIML for CIP/FIP.