1. MGD Advisory Group Meeting Sydney 5 th March 2015

2. Agenda Mission – to advise on the way forward. Issues: 1 MGD implications of country experience discussions 2 MGD2 and the Portal 3 Modules 4 Outline of future work

3. Outcome of country experience discussions Main mode of MGD interaction with countries via agencies and programmes – SilvaCarbon, UN-REDD. MGD a source document for this Continuing need for an anchor – what’s operational, linked to international agreement and IPCC methods Portal and modules give flexibility Need for advice on sensible applications for technologies Useful to have end-to-end flowchart In–country institutional basis crucial (coordination, volatility, absorptive capacity…). Increase advice… Co-benefits linkage (wider forest values…)

4. Agenda Mission – to advise on the way forward. Issues: 1 MGD implications of country experience discussions 2 MGD2 and the Portal 3 Modules 4 Outline of future work

5. MGD2 and the Portal Existing MGD is version 1 – need for update foreseen, taking account of experience. Combination with portal gives access tuned to individual needs linked to security of the MGD foundation document. MGD portal can help the link between pillars of GFOI Version 2 provides opportunity for -Logical synergy with portal -updates on institutional arrangements -strengthen guidance on integration -more complete material on statistical inference (emission factors as well as area data) and uncertainties -Response to country experiences -Integration of modules -Updates from research track -Updated core data availability Proposal – joint production of portal and version 2 according to agreed outline

6. Proposal for outline ElementConcept 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements 2 Design Decisions2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.3 NFMS 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 3 Measurement3.1 AD 3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates 3.4 Uncertainty 4 Reporting and verification 4.1 Scope of reporting 4..2 Documentation and data archiving 5 Guiding Principles5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and verification

7. Agenda Mission – to advise on the way forward. Issues: 1 MGD implications of country experience discussions 2 MGD2 and the Portal 3 Modules 4 Outline of future work

8. Modules Intermediate products Currently: Relationship with GOFC-GOLD Global datasets Reference levels Relationship with CBD Inference module Proposal: Finalize these and retain use of modules as flexible response product

9. Agenda Mission – to advise on the way forward. Issues: 1 MGD implications of country experience discussions 2 MGD2 and the Portal 3 Modules 4 Outline of future work

10. Outline timeline Identify expertise for new material and work plan for delivery of this material Workshop on extending statistical inference to biomass/emission factors and integrating uncertainties Review draft version 2 – end Mar 2016 Prototype portal for review – end Mar 2016 Review period - to end Apr Integration of review – by end May 2016 Finalization end Jun 2016

12. MGD2 Structure

13. Proposal for overall structure ElementConcept 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements 2 Design Decisions2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.3 NFMS 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 3 Measurement3.1 AD 3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates 3.4 Uncertainty 4 Reporting and verification 4.1 Scope of reporting 4..2 Documentation and data archiving 5 Guiding Principles5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and verification

14. Proposal for overall structure ElementConcept 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements 2 Design Decisions2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.3 NFMS 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 3 Measurement3.1 AD 3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates 3.4 Uncertainty 4 Reporting and verification 4.1 Scope of reporting 4..2 Documentation and data archiving 5 Guiding Principles5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and verification

15. 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements Existing material Focus, Augmentation Expertise 1.1.1 Forest Policy and Governance 1.1.2 Technical direction 1.1.3 Inventory estimates 1.1.4 National Focal Point 1.1.5 International Consultation and Analysis Some material in 1.1. Also FCMC report Strong institutional foundations. Feedback from country experiences in Sydney

16. Proposal for overall structure ElementConcept 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements 2 Design Decisions2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.3 NFMS 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 3 Measurement3.1 AD 3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates 3.4 Uncertainty 4 Reporting and verification 4.1 Scope of reporting 4..2 Documentation and data archiving 5 Guiding Principles5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and verification

17. 2. Design Decisions 2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and requirements Existing materialFocus, Augmentation Expertise 2.1.1 MRV Decisions 2.1.2 Reporting Requirements Section 1.4.1, Section 1.5 and other locations Section 5 Policy basis; add what has happened since Warsaw 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.2.1 UNFCCC principles TACCC 2.2.2 Significance and KCA 2.2.3 IPCC GHG methodologies 2.2.4 Appropriate approaches, methods, tiers Section 1.3 / Annex A Section 1.2 / Annex Section 1.1 Section 2.1 / Annex A Section 1.4.6 / Annex A Methodological basis, revealed responses of countries

18. 2. Design Decisions - continued 2.3 - NFMSExisting materialFocus Augmentation Expertise 2.3.1Scope or REDD+ activities 2.3.2 Forest definition 2.3.3 Stratification 2.3.4 National and sub-national estimation and reporting 2.3.5 Use of global datasets FREL module (part) Section 1.4.4 Several places Section 1.4.3 1.4.5, Box 1, 1.5, Ax C Module Determination of significant activities; implementing stepwise approach 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 2.4.1 Gain-Loss, stock change methods 2.4.2 Tier 1 to 3 implementation Section 2.1, Annex C Annex A Improve coverage of higher Tiers, degradation and other act ivies

19. Proposal for overall structure ElementConcept 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements 2 Design Decisions2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.3 NFMS 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 3 Measurement3.1 AD 3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates 3.4 Uncertainty 4 Reporting and verification 4.1 Scope of reporting 4..2 Documentation and data archiving 5 Guiding Principles5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and verification

20. 3. Measurement 3.1 Activity DataExisting materialFocus, Augmentation Expertise 3.1.1 AD requirements 3.1.2 RS sources 3.1.3 Tools for large data sets 3.1.4 Pre-processing 3.1.5 Mapping 3.1.6 Importance reference data 3.1.7 Map products from RS 3.1 3.2, Annex B --- 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.4 Introduce MGD Portal, COVE tool and SDMS 3.2 Ground observations 3.2.1 AGB, BGB 3.2.2 Litter, deadwoood 3.2.3 Soil organic C 3.2.4 HWP 3.2.5 Non-CO2 GHG 3.2.6 Land Use Boundaries 3.2.7 Climate variables 3.9.1 Annex G, F, D 3.9.2 Annex D 3.9.3 Annex D --- 3.9.4 --- Components not currently represented

21. 3. Measurement – cont 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates Existing materialFocus, Augmentation Expertise 2.4.1 Deforestation 2.4.2 Degradation 2.4.3 SMF, Enhance, Conserv 2.4.4 Enhancement (change use) 2.4.5 Conversion natural forests 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3, 2.2.4 2.2.5, 2.2.6 2.2.7 Improve coverage of higher Tiers, degradation and other activities 3.4 Uncertainty 3.4.1 Area and area change 3.4.2 Emission factors and model parameters (often ground- based data) 3.4.3 Combining uncertainties 3.7, module in preparation 4 More examples Make comparable with AD

22. Proposal for overall structure ElementConcept 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements 2 Design Decisions2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.3 NFMS 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 3 Measurement3.1 AD 3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates 3.4 Uncertainty 4 Reporting and verification 4.1 Scope of reporting 4..2 Documentation and data archiving 5 Guiding Principles5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and verification

23. 4. Reporting and Verification 4.1 Scope of ReportingExisting materialFocus, Augmentation Expertise 4.1.1 GHG Inventory reporting 4.1.2 FR(E)Ls 4.1.3 Requirements for results based payments 4.1.4 Non-carbon related --- 1.4.2 plus module --- Biodiversity module 4.2 Documentation and data archiving 4.2.1 Maintaining transparency and consistency Annex AMake more specific

24. Proposal for overall structure ElementConcept 1. Institutional Arrangements 1.1 Key functions and components of National Arrangements 2 Design Decisions2.1 UNFCCC Decisions and Requirements 2.2 IPCC GPG 2.3 NFMS 2.4 Estimation methods and approaches 3 Measurement3.1 AD 3.2 Ground Observations and auxiliary data 3.3 Integration and generation of estimates 3.4 Uncertainty 4 Reporting and verification 4.1 Scope of reporting 4..2 Documentation and data archiving 5 Guiding Principles5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and verification

25. 5. Guiding Principles Existing materialFocus, Augmentation Expertise 5.1 Institutional Arrangements 5.2 Design Decisions 5.3 NFMS 5.4 Reporting and Verification --- 3.6, 3.8, Annex E, Annex D --- Distil guiding principles from all sections