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DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY © New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. FERC’s Order on Possible BSM for ROS and for Uneconomic Retention Lorenzo Seirup Supervisor, ICAP Market Mitigation New York Independent System Operator April 30, 2015 ICAPWG/PRLWG Rensselaer, NY
© New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 2 DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY Background and Objective On March 19, 2015 the FERC issued an order directing the NYISO to establish, and report on, a stakeholder process 150 FERC ¶ 61,214, FERC Docket No. EL In general, the FERC asked that the NYISO look at: Whether there are circumstances that warrant the adoption of BSM measures in Rest of State (ROS) Whether there is a need for, and what mitigation measures would need to be in place to address, repowering agreements with the potential to suppress capacity prices The NYISO’s report to the FERC is due June 17, 2015
© New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 3 DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY Background and Objective (con’t) The FERC’s Order noted that (¶69-71) The unique aspects of the Dunkirk repowering agreement are cause for concern “We are concerned that if the additional capacity created by the repowering agreement above the amount needed for short-term reliability is allowed to offer into the NYISO capacity market at prices below the cost of repowering, such capacity might deter new entry or displace less- costly existing capacity in NYCA.” However, some questions remain that should be discussed through the NYISO’s stakeholder process “…there is no existing policy in NYISO for how buyer-side market power mitigation would apply to repowering agreements…” “Thus, we would still need to develop criteria for evaluating repowered resources before applying mitigation…” The NYISO is seeking stakeholder input on the following: “whether there are circumstances that warrant the adoption of buyer-side mitigation rules in the rest-of-state” “whether resources under repowering agreements [that] have the characteristics of new rather than existing resources, triggering a buyer-side market power evaluation because of their potential to suppress prices in the capacity market and what mitigation measures need to be in place to address such concerns.” The analysis the NYISO has begun and possible next steps
© New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 4 DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY NYISO Study Objectives The NYISO has retained FTI Consulting to help it explore the question of whether there is a need to extend buyer-side mitigation measures to ROS The study will explore: The potential short-term and long-term impacts of supply subsidized by out-of-market payments The NYISO will examine these in light of the CONE What incentives there may be for Load Serving Entities in ROS to subsidize supply The elasticity of ROS supply and its relevance to attempts to suppress prices Imports and exports, at a minimum, may be price responsive in the short term and could potentially counterbalance the addition of subsidized supply Historic data and market behavior
© New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 5 DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY Repowering Agreements The NYISO expects to leverage the results of the study on ROS mitigation The findings of the study will help inform this analysis, however the costs associated with repowering and retention are highly variable At a high level, the NYISO expects to evaluate the study’s findings on the incentives and viability of short-term and long-term price suppression in light of the costs to repower or otherwise retain an existing out-of-market unit In addition, the NYISO is examining concerns with these types of agreements as part of the development of its response to FERC’s RMR Order
© New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 6 DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY Discussion Are there specific scenarios, circumstances, or facts that might warrant BSM in ROS? What would BSM measures for out-of-market repowering-type agreements look like? What additional items should the NYISO study consider?
© New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 7 DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY The NYISO will consider input received during today’s meeting The NYISO will seek input from Potomac Economics on the analysis performed by FTI and the NYISO Stakeholders are encouraged to provide comments and analysis in writing to The NYISO will return to Stakeholders at an ICAP Working Group in May to discuss and seek input on the results of the study The NYISO will consider that input and have a further discussion with stakeholders Compliance report is due June 17 Next Steps
8 © New York Independent System Operator, Inc. All Rights Reserved. DRAFT – FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY
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