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The Future of Online Learning n Stephen Downes n Assiniboine Community College n Brandon, Manitoba, Canada NAWeb 98 - October 6, 1998 Fredericton, NB.

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Presentation on theme: "The Future of Online Learning n Stephen Downes n Assiniboine Community College n Brandon, Manitoba, Canada NAWeb 98 - October 6, 1998 Fredericton, NB."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Future of Online Learning n Stephen Downes n Assiniboine Community College n Brandon, Manitoba, Canada NAWeb 98 - October 6, 1998 Fredericton, NB

2 Even in this age of rapidly changing technology, trends may be identified If we study these trends, deep changes in the nature of learning are identifiable

3 Future Technology n Bandwidth will be unlimited n Processing power will be unlimited n Computers will become more specialized n Operating systems will fade, software will become task based n Keyword: simplicity

4 New Technology in Education n Personal Access Device (the PAD) means that education will be personal and portable n Presentation software - eg., Director, virtual reality, etc. - will come to the fore n Instructors less and less likely to produce their own online materials consequently...

5 Interaction and Conferencing n Synchronous conferencing systems will become cheap and easy to use - a platform into which tools (eg whiteboard) are plugged n Asynchronous conferencing will evolve into full multimedia n Standards will develop for a wide range of conferencing modes

6 Personalized Education n Learning topics will be selected according to students’ needs, not predefined structures n Groups will be formed dynamically, as needed (the Quest model) n Materials will be presented automatically, as needed n Learning systems will adapt to individual students’ learning styles

7 Time and Place Independence n Time will cease to be an objective standard n Not self-paced; dynamically paced n Instruction of the future will encourage mobility n Schools of the future will consist of meeting places, not classrooms n On and off campus learning will converge

8 Learning Communities n Learning is a social activity n Interest based communities will exist online - these communities need to be fostered n Peer based learning communities will form around schools, churches, community centres, etc.

9 The Triad Model n Consists of student, instructor, facilitator n The instructor does not deliver instruction, but rather, acts as an expert and resource n The facilitator is community based, and is an advocate for students n The host/provider framework describes the institutional model (especially as traditional boundries become fuzzy or disappear)

10 Accreditation n Already a mish-mash and won’t improve n Learning and the assessment of learning will diverge - testing and certification n PLA & self-managed learning will flourish n Education as a service - institutions will be seen not as providing knowledge, but rather, counsel and support for learning

11 Modularity n Courses and delivery systems will be modular (each part updated as needed) n Modularity will be used to support customized and individualized courses n The course itself is an arbitrary division n Distributed design - modules from all over will be plugged into courses n Educational Object Protocols and IMS

12 Ownership and Copyright n Courses per se will not be owned n Course components will be owned n Specialized resources will be offered by institutions and companies, using a pay- back system n Topic-based online services will exist independently of institutions n Institutions will select & manage content

13 Economics of Online Learning n In the short term costs will be high n In the long term savings will be large: – improved automation – wider reach & more students – savings in capital infastructure n Savings depend on the fragmentation of instructional tasks n The largest beneficiary will be students

14 user/downes/future


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