1. Playing Keep-Away: The State of Texas and Dallas County Children & Our Revenue Crisis Frances Deviney, Ph.D. Texas Kids Count Director Center for Public Policy Priorities May 13, 2011

2. Special Thanks To Our Sponsors M.R. and Evelyn Hudson Foundation & The Annie E. Casey Foundation

4. www.stateoftexaschildren.org

6. www.tkcmobile.org

10. Let’s explore the Texas Century from the perspective Texas’ children

11. 74 Million Children in the U.S. That’s nearly 1.9 MILLION more than in 2000 Source: Brookings analysis of 2010 Census data

12. HALF (or 979,000) of that growth occurred in Texas Source: Brookings analysis of 2010 Census data

13. 23 states have fewer kids now than in 2000

14. 2000 (5.9M) 2010 Texas’ child population added nearly ONE MILLION Kids 6.9 M Source: 2000 and 2010 Decennial Census data, U.S. Census Bureau

15. Although Texas’ child pop grew overall, 144 counties lost kids Source: CPPP analysis of 2000 SF3 data and 2010 redistricting data from the U.S. Census Bureau

16. Source: 2010 Decennial Census data, Redistricting Data, U.S. Census Bureau One of every 10 Texas kids is from Dallas Co. Dallas County grew by 35K kids to 654K

17. In 2000, Dallas County’s White and Hispanic child populations were fairly close in size Source: Summary File 3, 2000 Decennial Census data, U.S. Census Bureau

18. By 2010, the White child population declined in both Dallas and Tarrant Counties Source: CPPP analysis of redistricting data, 2010 Decennial Census, U.S. Census Bureau

19. The vast majority of Dallas Co. kids are U.S. citizens Source: Table B05003, 2007-2009 American Community Survey 3-year estimates, Census Bureau

21. Dallas Co. child poverty climbed steadily throughout decade Recession began in Sept 2008 Source: 2000 through 2009 Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates, U.S. Census Bureau

22. Dallas Co.’s Black & Hispanic children 4x more likely to live in poverty than White children Source: 2007-2009 American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau 4x

23. Thrive Grow

24. Births to Dallas Co. teens declining, but only for married teens Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services 10.4% 9.2% 4.5% Births to Married Teens Births to Unmarried Teens

25. More babies born too early... Dallas County U.S. Texas Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services

26. ... and too small Source: Vital Statistics, Texas Department of State Health Services Babies born weighing less than 5.5 lbs

28. One of Every Four Texas Preschoolers Not Read to Regularly Source: 2007 National Survey of Children’s Health from Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center

29. Over half of Texas’ 4 year-olds attend Public Pre-K 192,594 Source: Texas Education Agency 18,787

30. Nearly three-quarters of Dallas County’s students are economically disadvantaged Source: Texas Education Agency Standard Student Reports

31. Since recession, nearly 38,000 more economically disadvantaged students in Dallas Co. Source: Texas Education Agency Standard Student Reports

32. Fewer Economically Disadvantaged Kids in Dallas Co. Pass the TAKS Tests Source: Percent Students Passing Across Grades Within Each Test, 2010 TAKS data, Texas Education Agency

33. How Many Economically Disadvantaged Kids Not Passing in Dallas County? Reading = 45,000+ Math = 23,000+ Science = 17,800+ Social Studies = 3,300+ Writing = 3,200+ Source: Students Not Passing Across Grades Within Each Test, 2010 TAKS data, Texas Education Agency

34. Dallas Co. Dropouts: Still Not Great, But Improving Source: Attrition rate, Intercultural Development Research Association Texas Dallas Co.

35. Dallas Co. Dropouts Nearly Twice as Likely to Live in Poverty as Graduates Source: Table C17003, Adults 25+ yrs, 2007-2009 American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

36. Nearly 5,600 Dallas County kids confirmed as abused or neglected in 2010 Source: Department of Family and Protective Services

37. Dallas county kids in Foster Care decreased by 38 percent Source: Rate of kids in foster care per 1,000 Children Ages 0-17, Department of Family and Protective Services

38. DFPS making more relative care placements, fewer foster care placements Source: Annual Data Books, Texas Department of Family and Protective Services Foster Care Relative

40. Percentage of kids in excellent/very good health varies by... Geography: TX = 78%, U.S. = 84% Source: 2007 National Survey of Children’s Health

41. Texas Has Highest Rate of Uninsured Children in the Nation Eleven Years Running Source: Kids 0-18, KIDS COUNT State-Level Data Online, Annie E. Casey Foundation

42. Reduction in uninsured Texas kids leaves middle class behind 23% Source: CPPP analysis of 3-year average data, children ages 0-18, Current Population Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

43. Texas Century for children

44. We do big things

45. Sustained & balanced investment is the key to healthy child development and Texas’ future prosperity.

46. Only one dime of every federal dollar is spent on kids Source: Children’s Budget 2010, First Focus

47. Combined State & Federal Funds Spent on Children in 2010-11 = $80.5 Billion 3% 1% 3% 4% Source: Texas Children’s Budget for 2010-11, CPPP

48. Children’s Spending 41%

49. Per Capita Spending by State Children’s Spending 41% Children’s Spending in Other States

50. Why Is There a $27 Billion Shortfall?

56. It’s not just the Recession! 2006 school tax cut created a structural deficit 2008-2009 Predicted Cost of Property Tax Reduction$14.2 B Predicted Amount of New Revenue$ 8.3 B Predicted Shortfall$ 5.9 B 2012-13 Minimum Cost of Property Tax Reduction $14.2 B Forecast of New Revenue$ 4.5 B Likely Shortfall$ 9.7 B

57. Proposed Texas House budget would lead to $10.4 BILLION less for children Source: Proposed Texas Children’s Budget for 2012-13, CPPP

58. Source: University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, 2-20-11

59. Proposed cuts Provider rate cuts in Medicaid and CHIP Initiative to improve rural health care Community Mental Health services Pre-K grants State and community mental health hospitals Newborn health screenings Child abuse, neglect, and delinquency prevention Children with special health care needs Early Childhood Intervention Foundation School Program Community-based obesity prevention Family Planning Services Communities in Schools program Middle school PE grants School bus seat belt grants Financial support for Family Based Services for abused kids Financial support for kids adopted out of Foster Care

60. Source: University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, 2-20-11

61. “Cutting the budget” really means Firing teachers & increasing class sizes Limiting access to health care Putting children in harm’s way

62. We know we can do big things. It’s time to do the right thing.

63. TEXAS KIDS COUNT

64. CPPP Resources Research: www.cppp.orgwww.cppp.org Online data: www.stateoftexaschildren.orgwww.stateoftexaschildren.org Mobile data: www.tkcmobile.orgwww.tkcmobile.org Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/#!/bettertexas http://www.facebook.com/#!/bettertexas YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/user/CPPPvideo http://www.youtube.com/user/CPPPvideo Twitter: CPPP_TX