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Commercial Translation Text 1 The Financial Crisis.

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1 Commercial Translation Text 1 The Financial Crisis

2 America's mortgage crisis has spiraled into "the largest financial shock since the Great Depression" and there is now a one-in-four chance of a full-blown global recession over the next 12 months, the International Monetary Fund warned today.

3 The US is already sliding into what the IMF predicts will be a "mild recession" but there is mounting pessimism about the ability of the rest of the world to escape unscathed, the IMF said in its twice-yearly World Economic Outlook. Britain is particularly vulnerable, [it warned,] as it slashed its growth targets for both the US and the UK.

4 The report made it clear that there will be no early resolution to the global financial crisis. "The financial shock that erupted in August 2007, as the US sub-prime mortgage market was derailed by the reversal of the housing boom, has spread quickly and unpredictably to inflict extensive damage on markets and institutions at the heart of the financial system," it said.

5 After warning earlier this week that the world's financial firms could end up shouldering $1 trillion (£500bn) worth of losses from the credit crunch, the IMF said it expects the US to achieve GDP growth of just 0.5% this year, and 0.6% in 2009, with the housing crash getting even worse.

6 Simon Johnson, the IMF's director of research, said later the key risk to the forecasts was the danger of a vicious circle emerging, as house prices continue to fall, (dealing a fresh blow to the banks), and exacerbating the problems in the markets.

7 "Sentiment in financial markets has improved in recent weeks since the Federal Reserve's strong actions with regard to investment banks. But we have seen how strains in markets can quickly become reinforcing, and the possibility of a negative spiral or 'financial decelerator' remains a possibility."

8 In the UK, the chancellor has repeatedly insisted that the economy is ("better-placed" to weather the storm), because of its flexible labour market and low unemployment, but the IMF calculated that the British housing market is overvalued by up to 30%, and could be destined for a damaging correction. Alistair Darling is due to fly to Washington tomorrow to discuss the turmoil with fellow G7 finance ministers.

9 Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, will also be in Washington this weekend to discuss the ramifications of the credit crunch with central bankers from around the world.

10 Terminology: The financial Crisis The Credit Crunch Mortgage The Great Depression Recession The International Monetary Fund To slash resolution الأزمة المالية أزمة الائتمان الرهن العقاري الكساد الكبير الركود صندوق النقد الدولي يقتطع القرار

11 Sub-prime Prime Institutions To shoulder GDP Gross Domestic Product Growth Risk Sentiment Investment bank Federal Reserve Financial decelerator / العميل المتعثر / الغير جدير ائتمانيا / من الدرجة الثانية / من الدرجة الأولى / الجدير ائتمانيا المؤسسات المالية يتحمل مسؤولية الناتج المحلي الإجمالي النمو مخاطرة / خطر رأي / فكرة / ميل / نزعة بنوك الاستثمار الاحتياطي الفدرالي تباطؤ اقتصادي

12 Chancellor Labour market Housing market Overvalued Governor Central banks G7: US, UK, France, Canada, Germany, Italy & Japan (group of seven) مستشار سوق العمل سوق الإسكان مغالاة / مبالغ محافظ البنوك المركزية مجموعة الدول الصناعية السبع


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