1. 2009 Job Summit World Recession & How We Cope Alan Bollard, Governor Reserve Bank of New Zealand 27 February 2009

2. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND The biggest destruction of global wealth ever? $3 trillionLost output $4 trillionHousing $30 trillionEquity Markets $2 trillionCredit-related losses Value loss (est. $US)

3. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND Trading partner growth slows Asian Crisis Tech Bubble Sars Financial Crisis

4. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND Trading partner growth slows Asian Crisis Tech Bubble Sars Financial Crisis

5. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND Lower growth world must adjust Consumption, currencies Reserves Savings, exports Currencies

6. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND New Zealand has strengths… Past strong growth, low unemployment Flexible product and labour markets Floating exchange rate & hedging Responsive monetary policy Strong government accounts Sound banking system

7. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND …but we don’t escape unscathed

8. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND …but we don’t escape unscathed New Zealand

9. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND Domestic credit growth Agriculture Business Household

10. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND Intended Investment & Employment Investment Employment

11. THE RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND How we cope New Zealand has some strengths but also vulnerabilities We will play our role Banks must also play a key role You will all be affected. We want to hear your ideas….