1. Drought 2011: Where are We and What’s Next? Kansas Winter Grazing Conference April 14, 2015

2. Kansas Drought Status over Time DateNoneD0-D4D1-D4D2-D4D3-D4D4 17-Jan-201238.2561.7547.1523.2013.500.22 11-Oct-201120.879.365.849.626.015.2 12-Jul-201133.966.148.634.417.18.7 12-Oct-201083.216.80.0 13-Jul-2010100.00.0 K-State Research & Extension

3. Current Drought Status

4. Kansas Drought Status K-State Research & Extension

5. November Palmer Index

6. Current Palmer Index

7. Moisture Needed K-State Research & Extension

8. Moisture Needed K-State Research & Extension

9. Typical January Moisture K-State Research & Extension

10. What’s the Precipitation Outlook?

11. K-State Research & Extension What’s the Precipitation Outlook?

12. K-State Research & Extension What’s the Precipitation Outlook?

13. Vegetative Conditions K-State Research & Extension

14. Vegetative Conditions

15. K-State Research & Extension What’s the Drought Outlook?

16. K-State Research & Extension What’s the Drought Outlook?

17. K-State Research & Extension Why? Continuing La Niña Change in North Atlantic Oscillation Change in Artic Oscillation

18. Typical La Niña Winters

19. North Atlantic Oscillation The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). When the NAO index is low, shown above, ocean winds are weaker and the U.S. winter more severe. Changes in ocean temperature distributions are also observed. Its "high index" state corresponds to particularly high atmospheric pressure over the Azores, an intense low over Iceland. Ocean winds are stronger and winters milder in the eastern U.S. (Illustration by Fritz Heide & Jack Cook, WHOI) http://www.whoi.edu/page.do?pid=12455&tid=282&cid=10146

20. Artic Oscillation

21. Risk of Extreme Events

22. Gulf Moisture

24. K-State Research & Extension Mary Knapp Weather Data Library 1703 Throckmorton Hall Kansas State University Manhattan, KS 66506 PH: 785 532-7019 E-mail: Mknapp@ksu.eduMknapp@ksu.edu URL: http://www.ksre.ksu.edu/wdl