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China-CEE Relations: Dividing Line or Business as Usual? Richard Turcsányi (Visiting Fellow at EIAS)

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Presentation on theme: "China-CEE Relations: Dividing Line or Business as Usual? Richard Turcsányi (Visiting Fellow at EIAS)"— Presentation transcript:

1 China-CEE Relations: Dividing Line or Business as Usual? Richard Turcsányi (Visiting Fellow at EIAS)

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3 Population, 2012 (thousands) Poland Romania Czech Republic Hungary9 906 Serbia9 235 Bulgaria7 205 Slovakia5 463 Bosnia and Herzegovina4 613 Croatia4 489 Albania3 639 Lithuania3 555 Latvia2 232 Macedonia2 067 Slovenia2 006 Estonia1 299 Montenegro621 Total

4 GDP in 2012 (PPP, billions of USD) Poland802 Czech Republic287 Romania274 Hungary197 Slovakia132 Bulgaria104 Croatia80 Serbia79 Lithuania64 Slovenia58 Latvia37 Bosnia and Herzegovina32 Estonia28 Albania26 Macedonia22 Montenegro7 TOTAL2 229

5 GDP per capita (PPP, 2013 USD) Slovenia Czech Republic Slovakia Estonia Lithuania Hungary Latvia Croatia Poland Bulgaria Romania Montenegro Serbia Macedonia Bosnia and Herzegovina9 235 Albania7 997

6 CEE-China trade (million USD)

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8 CEE16 exports to China, proportions

9 CEE16 imports from China, proportions (UNCTAD)

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11 Chinese FDI inflow in CEE16 (Eurostat) Bulgaria Czech Republic Estonia Croatia00000 Latvia00000 Lithuania00000 Hungary Poland Romania Slovenia00000 Slovakia Montenegro::210 Macedonia (FYROM)::000 TOTAL

12 Czech Republic2009MarchSinomach$100Energy Bulgaria2009NovemberGreat Wall Motor$120TransportLitex Motors Hungary2010FebruaryWanhua Industrial$190ChemicalsBorsodChem Bosnia2010JulyDongfang Electric$710EnergyEnergy Financing Serbia2010DecemberSinomach$220Energy Electrical Power Company of Serbia Serbia2010April China Communications Construction$260Transport Hungary2011FebruaryWanhua Industrial$1 660ChemicalsBorsodChem Hungary2011OctoberWanhua Industrial$260Chemicals Poland2012FebruaryGuangxi Liu Gong Machinery$100TransportHuta Stalowa Wola Hungary2012MayHuawei$1 500Technology Hungary2012MayChina Railway Construction$990Transport Romania2012MayHuadian$1 300EnergyComplexul Energetic Rovinari Poland2012JulyChina Power Investment$740EnergyKompania Weglowa Poland2013MayChina Energy Engineering$560EnergyRafako Bosnia2013JulyPower Construction Corp$280Energy Serbia2013January China Communications Construction$850Transport Serbia2013JuneShandong Gaosu$330Transport Serbia2013NovemberSinomach$720Energy Macedonia2013NovemberPower Construction Corp$400Transport Romania2013NovemberMing Yan$540EnergySperanta & Succesul

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14 16+1 platform Budapest 2011: First China-CEE Economic and Trade Forum – “five-point proposal” Warsaw 2012: First China-CEE leaders’ summit – “12-point initiative” Bucharest 2013: Bucharest Guidelines

15 Motivation China: “Political goals with economic means” CEE16: “Catch up with the West”


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