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Ordinary Least-Squares

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Presentation on theme: "Ordinary Least-Squares"— Presentation transcript:

1 Ordinary Least-Squares

2 Outline Linear regression Geometry of least-squares
Discussion of the Gauss-Markov theorem Ordinary Least-Squares

3 One-dimensional regression
Ordinary Least-Squares

4 One-dimensional regression
Find a line that represent the ”best” linear relationship: Ordinary Least-Squares

5 One-dimensional regression
Problem: the data does not go through a line Ordinary Least-Squares

6 One-dimensional regression
Problem: the data does not go through a line Find the line that minimizes the sum: Ordinary Least-Squares

7 One-dimensional regression
Problem: the data does not go through a line Find the line that minimizes the sum: We are looking for that minimizes Ordinary Least-Squares

8 Matrix notation and Using the following notations
Ordinary Least-Squares

9 Matrix notation and Using the following notations
we can rewrite the error function using linear algebra as: Ordinary Least-Squares

10 Matrix notation and Using the following notations
we can rewrite the error function using linear algebra as: Ordinary Least-Squares

11 Multidimentional linear regression
Using a model with m parameters Ordinary Least-Squares

12 Multidimentional linear regression
Using a model with m parameters Ordinary Least-Squares

13 Multidimentional linear regression
Using a model with m parameters Ordinary Least-Squares

14 Multidimentional linear regression
Using a model with m parameters and n measurements Ordinary Least-Squares

15 Multidimentional linear regression
Using a model with m parameters and n measurements Ordinary Least-Squares

16 Ordinary Least-Squares

17 Ordinary Least-Squares

18 parameter 1 Ordinary Least-Squares

19 parameter 1 measurement n Ordinary Least-Squares

20 Minimizing Ordinary Least-Squares

21 Minimizing Ordinary Least-Squares

22 Minimizing is flat at Ordinary Least-Squares

23 Minimizing is flat at Ordinary Least-Squares

24 Minimizing is flat at does not go down around Ordinary Least-Squares

25 Minimizing is flat at does not go down around Ordinary Least-Squares

26 Positive semi-definite
In 1-D In 2-D Ordinary Least-Squares

27 Minimizing Ordinary Least-Squares

28 Minimizing Ordinary Least-Squares

29 Minimizing Ordinary Least-Squares

30 Minimizing Always true Ordinary Least-Squares

31 Minimizing The normal equation Always true Ordinary Least-Squares

32 Geometric interpretation
Ordinary Least-Squares

33 Geometric interpretation
b is a vector in Rn Ordinary Least-Squares

34 Geometric interpretation
b is a vector in Rn The columns of A define a vector space range(A) Ordinary Least-Squares

35 Geometric interpretation
b is a vector in Rn The columns of A define a vector space range(A) Ax is an arbitrary vector in range(A) Ordinary Least-Squares

36 Geometric interpretation
b is a vector in Rn The columns of A define a vector space range(A) Ax is an arbitrary vector in range(A) Ordinary Least-Squares

37 Geometric interpretation
is the orthogonal projection of b onto range(A) Ordinary Least-Squares

38 The normal equation: Ordinary Least-Squares

39 The normal equation: Existence: has always a solution
Ordinary Least-Squares

40 The normal equation: Existence: has always a solution
Uniqueness: the solution is unique if the columns of A are linearly independent Ordinary Least-Squares

41 The normal equation: Existence: has always a solution
Uniqueness: the solution is unique if the columns of A are linearly independent Ordinary Least-Squares

42 Under-constrained problem
Ordinary Least-Squares

43 Under-constrained problem
Ordinary Least-Squares

44 Under-constrained problem
Ordinary Least-Squares

45 Under-constrained problem
Poorly selected data One or more of the parameters are redundant Ordinary Least-Squares

46 Under-constrained problem
Poorly selected data One or more of the parameters are redundant Add constraints Ordinary Least-Squares

47 How good is the least-squares criteria?
Optimality: the Gauss-Markov theorem Ordinary Least-Squares

48 How good is the least-squares criteria?
Optimality: the Gauss-Markov theorem Let and be two sets of random variables and define: Ordinary Least-Squares

49 How good is the least-squares criteria?
Optimality: the Gauss-Markov theorem Let and be two sets of random variables and define: If Ordinary Least-Squares

50 How good is the least-squares criteria?
Optimality: the Gauss-Markov theorem Let and be two sets of random variables and define: If Then is the best unbiased linear estimator Ordinary Least-Squares

51 b ei a no errors in ai Ordinary Least-Squares

52 b b ei ei a a no errors in ai errors in ai Ordinary Least-Squares

53 b a homogeneous errors Ordinary Least-Squares

54 b b a a homogeneous errors non-homogeneous errors
Ordinary Least-Squares

55 b a no outliers Ordinary Least-Squares

56 outliers b b a a no outliers outliers Ordinary Least-Squares


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