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Complex Systems, Dynamics & Design KEY NOTE Professor Jeffrey Johnson, Principal Investigator: ECiD2 Research Cluster.

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Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex

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Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex design processes can be complex

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Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex design processes can be complex design environment can be complex

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Complexity, Dynamics & Design designed systems can be complex design processes can be complex design environment can be complex design - a complex cognitive social process

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Complexity, Dynamics & Design Design involves assembles parts into wholes predicting the behaviour of the whole

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Complexity, Dynamics & Design Design involves assembles parts into wholes predicting the behaviour of the whole dynamics

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Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience

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Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Halleys Comet

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Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Halleys Comet Newtons Laws – a triumph for science

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Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Predictive science for engineering design

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Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Some systems: point prediction impossible

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Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience How can the dynamics be designed & controlled?

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Complexity & Dynamics Traditional Science & Cassandra prediction & prescience Dynamics and prediction in design ? Science versus pre-science: just knowing How can the dynamics be designed & controlled?

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Complexity & Dynamics

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Complex Systems & Prediction Dynamics emerge from interactions of many heterogeneous parts at many levels Trial and error not an option Must understand transitions

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Complexity & Dynamics Complex Systems & Prediction t + t t + 2 t t + 3 t Now time horizon ?

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Complexity & Dynamics Complex Systems & Prediction Now t + t t + 2 t t + 3 t time horizon ?

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Complexity & Dynamics Complex Systems & Prediction Now t + t t + 2 t t + 3 t time horizon ? designing the future

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Complexity & Dynamics Design as the Lab of Complex Systems map out possible futures from data make a change create artificial system observe what happens Experiments not replicable

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Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money

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Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money Complex Systems Scientists need to work with policy makers

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Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money Complex Systems Scientists need to work with policy makers But they know nothing of design as process

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Complexity & Dynamics Designing Complex Systems only politicians have the mandate & the money Complex Systems Scientists need to work with policy makers CS Scientists need to know about design …together we are designing the future

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