1. eere.energy.gov 1 | Vehicle Technologies Program SAE Government/Industry Meeting Henry Kelly, Acting Assistant Secretary Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy U.S. Department of Energy January 27, 2012

2. The Cost of Oil is More than Monetary Transportation is responsible for 2/3 of petroleum usage and 1/3 GHG emissions. Unites States spends $1B per day to import oil. Global discovery of new oil fields peaked in 1966. U.S. oil production peaked in 1971. World Oil Production 2005: 84.58 mbpd 2008: 85.37 mbpd 2006: 84.54 mbpd 2009: 84.24 mbpd 2007: 84.40 mbpd 2010: 86.82 mbpd World Oil Production 2005: 84.58 mbpd 2008: 85.37 mbpd 2006: 84.54 mbpd 2009: 84.24 mbpd 2007: 84.40 mbpd 2010: 86.82 mbpd 2 I Vehicle Technologies Program Transportation Energy Energy

3. Vice New CAFÉ standards will require cars and light trucks to yield a combined fuel economy of 54.5 miles per gallon Administration sets goal of reducing oil imports by 1/3 by 2025 President calls out goal of 1 million PHEVs on the road by 2015 in State of the Union address 3 I Vehicle Technologies Program

4. eere.energy.gov 4 | Vehicle Technologies Program VTP Technology Advancement Highlights Lightweighting Electrification Infrastructure DOE-Funded Technologies Move to Commercial Applications Advanced Combustion Engines Increased engine efficiency with simultaneous emissions reduction show the results of DOE R&D Supporting Research and Development of Materials with a Goal to Reduce Chassis Weight by 50% Vehicle Electrification Efforts in Deployment, Manufacturing, Power Electronics and Electric Motors The Recovery Act enabled the largest-ever U.S. deployment of electric-drive vehicles and charging infrastructure. Installation of over 22,000 Level 2 charging sites at residential, commercial, and public locations and 350 (500VDC) Fast Chargers. Collection of detailed operational data from this charging infrastructure will allow future improvements. Recovery Act Advanced Batteries

5. eere.energy.gov 5 | Vehicle Technologies Program 2025 Highway Oil Consumption – Target Scenario Transportation Cluster Benefits: can approach 100% of 2025 Administration target oil import reduction Adv. powertrain benefits apportioned by subprogram: (from GPRA12 analysis) SI HEV PHEV/EV HT

6. eere.energy.gov 6 | Vehicle Technologies Program 2025 Transportation GHG Emissions – Target Scenario

7. eere.energy.gov 7 | Vehicle Technologies Program Lifecycle Vehicle Costs Meeting Established DOE Goals 201020152030 Ref SI21-2325-2627-29 Adv SI21-2223-24 Adv CI22-2323-24 SI HEV22-2321-2220-21 SI PHEV1023-2422-24~19 SI EREV4031-32~2519-20 FC HEV~29~24~20 BEV150~4128-29~17 BEV30073-7444-4520-21 FC HEV BEV150 SI EREV40 Adv CI Adv SI SI HEV SI PHEV10 2010 SI BEV300

8. eere.energy.gov 8 | Vehicle Technologies Program Lifecycle Vehicle Costs Meeting First Milestones 201020152030 Ref SI21-2325-2627-29 Adv SI22-2324-2625-26 Adv CI22-2425-26 SI HEV23-2424-2523-24 SI PHEV1025-2624-2522-23 SI EREV4036-3729-3024-25 FC HEV~32~27~22 BEV15049-5035-36~24 BEV30093-9460-61~35 FC HEV BEV150 SI EREV40 Adv CI Adv SI SI HEV SI PHEV10 2010 SI BEV300

9. eere.energy.gov Heavy Truck Improvements Conventional Class 8 Vehicle ~6.5 mpdge ~29% WTW Petroleum reduction: 0% Average engine efficiency Transmission and drivetrain efficiency Aero, rolling resistance efficiency 42% 95% 87% Lifecycle Cost Comparison 0.7x baseline Payback Period: 0.75-1.25 years Breakeven diesel price: $3.50 SuperTruck Class 8 Vehicle ~10 mpdge ~40% WTW Petroleum reduction: 35% 50% 97% 96% Baseline SuperTruck Fuel Cost Sensitivity Fuel Cost Powerplant Non-Powerplant Percentage of fuel used to move goods vs people 9 I Vehicle Technologies Program

10. eere.energy.gov 10 | Vehicle Technologies Program Vehicle miles traveled Improving fuel economy for legacy fleets Off-road vehicles Natural gas Vehicles becoming more intelligent Wide range of fuels now available Moving Forward

11. eere.energy.gov 11 | Vehicle Technologies Program

12. eere.energy.gov 12 | Vehicle Technologies Program Henry Kelly Acting Assistant Secretary Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy U.S. Department of Energy www.energy.gov