Presentation on theme: "Health Production /Demand for Health Care"— Presentation transcript:
1Health Production /Demand for Health Care At beginning of this course go over first stage assignment. This class is still about 10 minutes too short, need to add more or add on a couple of discussion questions.
2Outline Link between Income Inequality and Health Demand for Health CarePrice Elasticity of Demand for Health CareIncomeHealth InsuranceEtc.
3Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Theory Why is income inequality associated with health? (mechanisms – theory)Evolutionary history predisposes us toward fairness, and sickens us when we live in unequal environments.Relative deprivation a cause of ill healthRelative Income Hypothesis
4Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Theory Evolutionary history predisposes us toward fairness, and sickens us when we live in unequal environments.Came from a society were the most egalitarian tended to do better (hunters and gathers).Food could not be kept and could be hard to get so needed to shareHave only moved away from that sort of society for a relatively short time period (10,000 – 20,000 years).
5Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Theory Relative deprivation a cause of ill health.Psychosocial stress is the main pathway through which inequality affects health.Those societies that are more equal, have the precondition for the existence of stress-reducing networks of friendships.Those societies that are unequal run under more stressful strategies such as dominance, conflict and submission.
6Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Theory Relative Income Hypothesis: Relative income determines access to material goods or rank not absolute amount of money mattersLots of people with less money than someone living in downtown NY but they live in a much better house.It is relatively poor people live in worse neighborhoods for pollution. Even if the town is expensive and they have to pay a lot for their property.
7Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Theory Rank at work is important for determining control others have over our lives.If health is lower for those whose income is relatively low, then higher inequality makes the poor even poorer in relative terms.
8Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence Studies have taken many forms.Across countries analysis. (i.e comparing countries)A big problem is data comparability (income inequality measure) even in developed countriesWithin countries but across statesMaybe be less variations in inequality within a country so harder to find effects (US an exception)This is aggregate data by state so is hiding variation in income at the individual level.
9Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence Individual DataVariation in income levels, but need to be able to follow the same group of people over time.Not many studies with long panel data sets.Mortalitylong time seriesneed large sample sizes since a rare event
10Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence Empirical Evidence:Cross-Country Comparisons:Wilkinsons (1992,1994,1996) over timeFrance and Greece narrowed income distributions by reducing relative poverty, increased life expectanciesIreland and England income inequality widened, life expectancy decreasedWhen countries are poor absolute income mattersFor wealthier countries chronic diseases become more important, it is social disadvantage (such as through income inequality) that affects health.He believes social disadvantage promotes stress which leads to chronic illness.
11Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence Empirical Evidence Cross-Country Cont.Most convincing study Judge et al. (1997)Examined life expectancy and infant mortality for high income countries.Best data available.Find a positive relation between income inequality and infant mortality – but mainly driven by the US.Other things may be going on in US i.e. race relations.Overall, is mixed evidence from cross-country analysis, may be due to data problems.
12Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence Empirical Evidence Within-CountryFigure 6 from Deaton 2003 shows strong relationship between income inequality and mortality in US.Some studies say that in 1990, the lose of life from income inequality “is comparable to the combined loss of life from lung cancer, diabetes, motor vehicle crashes, HIV infection, suicide, and homicide in 1995” (Kawachi et al. 1997)
13Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence Empirical Evidence Within-Country Cont.Controlling for race breaks relationshipInequality looks like more of a race effectHard to disentangle these.In areas with a larger % of blacks the death rates for whites and blacks is higherCould be due to poor quality health care. Is this something to do with how health care is funded?
14Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence No relationship found in Canada or Australia (where race not an issue)But there may not be enough variation in income inequalityNo study on income inequality and health in UK, would be interesting as they have more income inequality.No clear conclusion that income inequality is a major problemthere are other factors that are associated with income inequality that could be driving things. Omitted variable bias.
15Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence Empirical Evidence: IndividualUse mortality and self-reported health measures.Again mixed results, but seems that results are weaker and more ambiguous than within-country studies.Have problems developing good inequality measures.
16Health Production Continued Income Inequality -- Evidence SummaryOnly result that seems to hold is that income inequality is associated with homicides (crime).We see that income inequality is important through its effect on poverty.This does not mean that social environment does not matter, just that income inequality per se may not be the driving force behind health status.
17Health Production Continued Inequality (Rank) Whitehall StudyInvestigated civil servants in Britain in recent years.Found that morbidity and mortality was related to administrative rankSees income as a marker for underlying socioeconomic status (i.e your rank) – the underlying cause of health discrepancies.
18Health Production Continued Inequality (landholdings) Inequality in landholdings in developing countriesaffects nutrition and therefore health.The landless can’t grow enough food to be well nourished, and they cannot make a large enough wage because are not healthy.Policy Issue: redistribution of land a big issue in developing countries (Latin American, Nepal).
19Health Production Continued Inequality (Political) Political Inequality Theory:When preferences of a population are heterogeneous (wide ranging/different), it is more difficult for people to agree on the provision of public goods (i.e. health).Average value of public good to members of a community diminishes with heterogeneous preferences (heterogeneity due to income, race, geographic).For example public park is not as attractive to rich if homeless are sleeping on benches.
20Health Production Continued Inequality (Political) Political Inequality Evidence:Alesina et al. looked at racial divisions in the US.Unit of analysis is cities and counties of US.Look at % of population that is black, and find it is negatively correlated with share of spending on “productive” public goods such as health, roads, and education.
21Health Production Continued Inequality (Political) Political Inequality Evidence:Almond, Chay, and Greenstone (2001)Use data from MississippiPrior to 1965 hospitals segregated by race1964 Civil Rights Act: segregation illegalShow that between 1965 and 1971 there was a large reduction in black post-neo-natal infant mortality rates (< one month olds), especially for conditions such a diarrhea and pneumonia.Points to possible negative health impacts from unequal political arrangements or rank.
22Demand for Health Services Demand for health services is a function ofprice of health servicesIncomeType of insuranceLevel of educationAgeLifestyle (do you smoke, do you exercise)Quality of careYour health statusTime costs to reach medical carePrices of substitutes and complements
23Demand for Health Services Demand of HS is a derived demand, because what we really want is the demand for good health not just a visit to the doctor.Change in prices cause a movement along the demand curve.Law of Demand: Inverse relationship between price and quantity.Price of Physician ServicesDQuantity of Physician Services
24Demand for Health Services Fuzzy (Thick) Demand Curve Relationship between medical care and health improvement is not exact.Uncertainty in what type of care needed to get you betterConsumer does not have medical knowledge to know what they need to get better so depends on physician.Physicians, not consumers choose medical services and this affects the quantity of care you may demand.
25Demand for Health Services Fuzzy (Thick) Demand Curve Difficult to accurately delineate the relationship between price and quantity demanded of medical care.Prices differ and amount of care for a given prices differs for difference people.Hard to control and measure quality.
26Demand for Health Services Fuzzy Demand Curve Price of Physician ServicesFor a given price may observe variation in quantity of medical services.For a given quantity of services, may see various prices.Quantity of Physician Services
27Demand for Health Services Effect of Price of health care Own Price Elasticity:Perfectly Inelastic (E=0);Large change in price no change in quantity demanded.Price HSPerfectly Elastic ( E=∞):Small change in price large change in quantity)- A good is elastic if E<-1Quantity HS
28Demand for Health Care Empirical Estimates Own Price Elasticity:Estimates tend to be between -0.1 and -0.7 for Primary Care and Hospital Care.So a 10% increase in price of primary care leads to a 1 to 7 percent decrease in quantity demanded – inelastic.This is why some argue that you should increase the price. Will not reduce health care so much, and hopefully people will reduce unnecessary visits.In developing countries increasing the price has been meet with a lot of opposition – not a lot of unneeded visits.
29Demand for Health Services Effect of Income Price of Physician ServicesIncrease in income demand more (health an normal good):Shifts the curve out away from the origin and would demand more health care.D2D1Quantity of Physician ServicesQ1Q2
30Demand for Health Services Effect of Health Insurance How much you demand may depends on type of insuranceCo-insurance: consumer pays a fixed percent of the cost (say 20%) and the insurance company picks up the rest.Indemnity Insurance: Pays a fixed amount for each type of services (say $150 if you go to the emergency room).Deductibiles: consumer must pay out of pocket for all health care, until reaches a threshold (such as $1000), then is fully reimbursed for expenses above the threshold.
31Demand for Health Services Health Insurance: Coinsurance Price of Physician ServicesDwo: Demand without insuranceEffective Price: Amount paid out of pocketModel using DWO curveAssume: .5 co-insuranceConsumer pays without insuranceWithout any health insurance Amy pays 100 dollars for 5 health care visits. This is her effective price, the price she pays out of pocket. Now with co-insurance 50 is no longer her effective price, 25 dollars is. So if we use the effective price, we can find her demand by using the out-of-pocket demand curve.But we can also use the demand curve with insurance to figure out her reactions to market prices, since that is what we will be looking at. To modWith health insuance, and the lower price she would demand 7 health care visits.Demand increased by one unit50Consumer Pays with insurance.5*50Dwo5Quantity of Physician Services6
32Demand for Health Services Health Insurance: Coinsurance Price of Physician ServicesDwo: Demand without insuranceDwi: Demand with insuranceModel by using market priceInsurance makes her demand more health care,makes demand less elastic: for the same increase in price will reduce demand less with insurance.DwiWithout any health insurance Amy pays 100 dollars for 5 health care visits. This is her effective price, the price she pays out of pocket. Now with co-insurance 50 is no longer her effective price, 25 dollars is. So if we use the effective price, we can find her demand by using the out-of-pocket demand curve.But we can also use the demand curve with insurance to figure out her reactions to market prices, since that is what we will be looking at. To modWith health insuance, and the lower price she would demand 7 health care visits.A50.5*50Dwo5Quantity of Physician Services6
33Demand for Health Services Health Insurance: Indemnity Pay $30 instead of 60 for a doctors visit.-demand more health care-elasticity does not change.Price of Physician ServicesDwo$30Dwi60Quantity of Physician Services56
34Demand for Health Services Health Insurance: Deductible Purpose of deductible is to lower cost for insurance companyReduce administrative costs because lower number of small claims.May lower demand for medical careDepends on cost of the medical episodeSmall costs small problem may not demand health care, big costs you are more likely to get the health care.
35Demand for Health Services Health Insurance: Deductible Cont. Time when medical care is demandedIf close to time when deductible is reset, may wait for careIf just after deductible has started more likely to have careProbability of needing additional medical care in the remainder of the deductible period.If know definitely will meet deductible, won’t wait to go to doctor.
36Demand for Health Services Education Relationship could be positive or negativeEducated take more proactive action to keep healthy so need less medical care (produce health care at home)Want to keep healthy so can work more and earn more, so demand more health care.Know when they need to get medical care – so demand more medical care.Empirically not sure of direction, do find that those who have more medical knowledge demand more medical care.
37Demand for Health Services Age, Health Status, Sex, Quality Very young and the elderly demand more medical care.People with lower health status (sicker) tend to demand more healthFemales tend to demand more health services (child bearing)If quality of care is higher, tend to demand more health care.
38Demand for Health Services Prices of Substitutes and Complements Substitute: Herbal and Non-Western MedicinePrice of substitute rises demand more medical care.Complements: Drugs, if can’t afford the drugs may not bother to go to doctor.Price of a complement rises demand less medical care.
39Demand for Health Services Travel Time Costs Demand will depend on how long it takes to get to the doctor and if there are waiting times.E.G. Kaiser, will no longer be in North Boulder – those in North Boulder may go less. – depends on type of illness.Important in developing countries