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OMNIBUS RECREATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURE AMENDMENT.

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Presentation on theme: "OMNIBUS RECREATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURE AMENDMENT."— Presentation transcript:

1 OMNIBUS RECREATIONAL ACCOUNTABILITY MEASURE AMENDMENT

2 SMB Amendment 17 SMB Amendment 17 Bluefish Amendment 4 Bluefish Amendment 4 SF-SC-BSB Amendment 19 SF-SC-BSB Amendment 19

3 AGENDA Review/Approve Alternatives in Public Hearing Draft Review/Approve Alternatives in Public Hearing Draft Review/Approve Public Hearing Draft Review/Approve Public Hearing Draft

4 AGENDA Review/Approve Alternatives in Public Hearing Draft Review/Approve Alternatives in Public Hearing Draft Review/Approve Public Hearing Draft (with recommended changes) Review/Approve Public Hearing Draft (with recommended changes)

5 PROBLEM STATEMENT Recreational fisheries are inherently uncertain Recreational fisheries are inherently uncertain Existing Rec AMs do not take this into account Existing Rec AMs do not take this into account

6 PROBLEM STATEMENT

7 Com Rec

8 PROBLEM STATEMENT

9

10 SOLUTION Proactive Proactive –Explicitly address uncertainty Reactive Reactive –Explicitly, implicitly address uncertainty –Avoid over-reacting

11 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive Proactive –ACT Alternatives (1A-1D) –In-Season Closure Authority (2A-2C) Reactive Reactive –Triggers (3A-3D) –Management Response (4A-4D) –Payback Calculation (5A-5E)

12 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive Proactive –ACT Alternatives (1A-1D) –In-Season Closure Authority (2A-2C) Reactive Reactive –Triggers (3A-3D) –Management Response (4A-4D) –Payback Calculation (5A-5E)

13 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive Proactive –ACT Alternatives (1A-1D) –In-Season Closure Authority (2A-2C) Reactive Reactive –Triggers (3A-3D) –Management Response (4A-4D) –Payback Calculation (5A-5E)

14 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive Proactive –ACT Alternatives (1A-1D) –In-Season Closure Authority (2A-2C) Reactive Reactive –Triggers (3A-3D) –Management Response (4A-4D) –Payback Calculation (5A-5E)

15 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive Proactive –ACT Alternatives (1A-1D) –In-Season Closure Authority (2A-2C) Reactive Reactive –Triggers (3A-3D) –Management Response (4A-4D) –Payback Calculation (5A-5E)

16 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive Proactive –ACT Alternatives (1A-1D) –In-Season Closure Authority (2A-2C) Reactive Reactive –Triggers (3A-3D) –Management Response (4A-4D) –Payback Calculation (5A-5E)

17 DOCUMENT STRUCTURE Proactive Proactive –ACT Alternatives (1A-1D) –In-Season Closure Authority (2A-2C) Reactive Reactive –Triggers (3A-3D) –Management Response (4A-4D) –Payback Calculation (5A-5E)

18 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 1A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 1B. Mandatory Review of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1B. Mandatory Review of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation

19 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 1A. No Action/Status Quo – –…identify and review the relevant sources of management uncertainty…

20 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1B. Mandatory Review of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1B. Mandatory Review of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty

21 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty

22 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty Alternative 1C. Mandatory Setting of ACT = ACL – Uncertainty 2013 ACT ACLACTPSE Adjusted ACT Atl. Mackerel5.9835.38618.5674.872 Bluefish27.47222.8018.00020.977 Summer Flounder10.230 8.2009.391 Scup8.520 13.9337.333 Black Sea Bass2.370 11.9672.086

23 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation

24 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation

25 ACT Alternatives Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation Alternative 1D. ACL/ACT Post Hoc Evaluation

26 In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 2A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In Season Projections Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In Season Projections Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season Closure Authority Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season Closure Authority Alternative 2D: In-Season adjustment to bag,size,season, as possible Alternative 2D: In-Season adjustment to bag,size,season, as possible

27 In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 2A. No Action/Status Quo

28 In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In Season Projections. Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In Season Projections. Black Sea Bass 90% of RHL harvested in Wave 3

29 In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In Season Projections. Alternative 2B. Early Closure with In Season Projections. Black Sea Bass Wave 123456 20100.000 0.0180.8250.881 20110.000 20120.000 0.0540.9240.934 P(C > RecACL)

30 In Season Closure Alternatives Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season Closure Authority. Alternative 2C. Eliminate In-Season Closure Authority. Wave2009-2012 Landings (N)

31 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 3A. No Action/Status Quo Alternative 3B. Single Year Alternative 3B. Single Year Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval Alternative 3D. Repeat Alternative 3D. Repeat

32 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In 3 Year Average* Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In 3 Year Average* * SF-SC-BSB Overage = Ave. Catch – Ave. ACL

33 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In 3 Year Average* Alternative 3A. No Action Phased In 3 Year Average* * SF-SC-BSB Overage = Ave. Catch – Ave. ACL 1.6, 1.6

34 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3B. No Action Single Year* Alternative 3B. No Action Single Year* * Mack, Blue Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL

35 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3B. No Action Single Year* Alternative 3B. No Action Single Year* * Mack, Blue Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL 5

36 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval Overage = Single Year Catch - ACL 5

37 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval

38 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval Alternative 3C. Confidence Interval

39 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3D. Repeat Alternative 3D. Repeat Overage = Latest Year Catch - ACL

40 Trigger Alternatives Alternative 3D. Repeat Alternative 3D. Repeat Overage = Latest Year Catch - ACL

41 Response Alternatives Alternative 4A. No Action Alternative 4A. No Action Alternative 4B. Payback when Overfished or Overfishing Alternative 4B. Payback when Overfished or Overfishing Alternative 4C. Same as 4B but no Payback if B/Bmsy >1 Alternative 4C. Same as 4B but no Payback if B/Bmsy >1 Alternative 4D. No Payback Alternative 4D. No Payback Alternative 4E. Pay back when the stock is overfished or when combined recreational and commercial ACL is exceeded Alternative 4E. Pay back when the stock is overfished or when combined recreational and commercial ACL is exceeded

42 Response Alternatives Alternative 4A. No Action Alternative 4A. No Action

43 Response Alternatives Monitoring Monitoring Bag, Size, Season Bag, Size, Season Payback Payback

44 Response Alternatives Monitoring: If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred, [as in §648.X] the following year's landings would be monitored in-season for persistence in increased landings. The RA will publish a notice to reduce the length of the fishing season as necessary.

45 Response Alternatives Bag, Size, Season: If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred [as in §648.X], the [species Monitoring Committee or RA ?] shall develop measures to prevent a subsequent overage.

46 Response Alternatives Bag, Size, Season: Is this an AM?

47 Response Alternatives Bag, Size, Season: the current process of adjusting recreational management measures (i.e., fish size, season, and possession limit) each year would not, in and of itself, be a fully consistent accountability measure because the process requires analysis and Council deliberation

48 Response Alternatives Bag, Size, Season: the current process of adjusting recreational management measures (i.e., fish size, season, and possession limit) each year would not, in and of itself, be a fully consistent accountability measure because the process requires analysis and Council deliberation

49 Response Alternatives Bag, Size, Season: Occurs along with … 1. In Season Closure Authority 2. Risk Policy 3. Responsive to overages

50 Response Alternatives Payback: If a recreational overage has been determined to have occurred [as in §648.X], a deduction [as in §648.X] will be made as soon as possible, from a subsequent single fishing year recreational ACT.

51 Response Alternatives Alternative 4B. Payback when Overfished or Overfishing Alternative 4B. Payback when Overfished or Overfishing

52 Response Alternatives Alternative 4C. Same as 4B but no Payback if B/Bmsy >1 Alternative 4C. Same as 4B but no Payback if B/Bmsy >1

53 Response Alternatives Alternative 4D. No Payback Alternative 4D. No Payback

54 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5A. No Action Alternative 5A. No Action Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished and Overfishing Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished and Overfishing Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to B/Bmsy Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to B/Bmsy Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback

55 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5A. No Action Alternative 5A. No Action Alt 5A C R > ACL R < ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > OFL B/B msy > 1 C R - ACL R 1> B/B msy > ½ ½ > B/B msy

56 Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C: Alternatives 5B, 5C: –ABC and OFL overage

57 Payback Alternatives

58 Alternatives 5B, 5C: Alternatives 5B, 5C:

59 Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C: Alternatives 5B, 5C:

60 Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C: Alternatives 5B, 5C:

61 Payback Alternatives Alternatives 5B, 5C: Alternatives 5B, 5C: –ABC and OFL overage is conditional on stock status

62 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished Alternative 5B. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished Alt 5B C R > ACL R < ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > OFL B/B msy > 1 00 O ROFL 1> B/B msy > ½0 O RABC ½ > B/B msy C R - ACL R

63 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished and Overfishing Alternative 5C. Payback = C – ACL Only when Overfished and Overfishing Alt 5C C R > ACL R < ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > OFL B/B msy > 1 000 1> B/B msy > ½00O ROFL ½ > B/B msy 0O RABC C R - ACL R

64 Alt 5C C R > ACL R < ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > ABC C R > ACL R, C R+C > OFL B/B msy > 1 000 1> B/B msy > ½ 00O ROFL ½ > B/B msy 0O RABC C R - ACL R Payback Alternatives

65 Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to B/Bmsy Alternative 5D. Payback Scaled to B/Bmsy Stock StatusPayback B/Bmsy > 10 1 > B/Bmsy > 1/2 Scaled to B/Bmsy BSB: 12,700/12,978, Overage coefficient = 0.04 B/Bmsy < 1/21:1

66 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish

67 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish

68 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish

69 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback Bluefish

70 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback

71 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback

72 Payback Alternatives Alternative 5E. No Payback Alternative 5E. No Payback

73 Putting It All Together ACT Alternatives

74 Putting It All Together ACT Alternatives In Season Closure Alternatives

75 Putting It All Together ACT Alternatives In Season Closure Alternatives Trigger Alternatives Response Alternatives

76 Putting It All Together ACT Alternatives In Season Closure Alternatives Trigger Alternatives Response Alternatives

77 Putting It All Together ACT Alternatives In Season Closure Alternatives Trigger Alternatives Response Alternatives

78 Putting It All Together ACT Alternatives In Season Closure Alternatives Trigger Alternatives Response Alternatives Payback Alternatives

79 Putting It All Together ACT Alternatives In Season Closure Alternatives Trigger Alternatives Response Alternatives Payback Alternatives

80 Public Hearings DateLocation 29-AprWarwick, RI 30-AprRiverhead, NY 1-MayManahawkin, NJ 2-MayOcean City, MD 3-MayVirginia Beach, VA FR Notice Apr 12, 2013

81 Motions Approve the alternatives that have been presented for inclusion in the Omnibus Recreational Accountability Measure Amendment with the addition of alternatives 4E, 2D [Luisi/Mcmurray]: 19/0/0


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