1. Rewarding Crowdsourced Workers Panos Ipeirotis New York University and Google Joint work with: Jing Wang, Foster Provost, Josh Attenberg, and Victor Sheng; Twitter: @ipeirotis A Computer Scientist in a Business School http://behind-the-enemy-lines.com

2. Example: Build an Web Page Classifier Need a large number of labeled sites for training Get people to look at sites and label them as: G (general audience) PG (parental guidance) R (restricted) X (porn) Cost/Speed Statistics Undergrad intern: 200 websites/hr, cost: $15/hr Mechanical Turk: 2500 websites/hr, cost: $12/hr Cost/Speed Statistics Undergrad intern: 200 websites/hr, cost: $15/hr Mechanical Turk: 2500 websites/hr, cost: $12/hr

3. Challenges We do not know the true category for the objects – Available only after (costly) manual inspection We do not know quality of the workers We want to label objects with true categories We want (need?) to know the quality of the workers

4. 1.Initialize correct label for each object (e.g., use majority vote) 2.Estimate error rates for workers (using correct labels) 3.Estimate correct labels (using error rates, weight worker votes according to quality) 4.Go to Step 2 and iterate until convergence 1.Initialize correct label for each object (e.g., use majority vote) 2.Estimate error rates for workers (using correct labels) 3.Estimate correct labels (using error rates, weight worker votes according to quality) 4.Go to Step 2 and iterate until convergence Expectation Maximization Estimation Iterative process to estimate worker error rates

5. Challenge: From Confusion Matrixes to Quality Scores How to check if a worker is a spammer using the confusion matrix? (hint: error rate not enough) How to check if a worker is a spammer using the confusion matrix? (hint: error rate not enough) Confusion matrix for spammer worker P[X X]=0.847%P[X G]=99.153% P[G X]=0.053%P[G G]=99.947% Confusion matrix for good worker P[X X]=99.847%P[X G]=0.153% P[G X]=4.053%P[G G]=95.947%

6. Challenge 1: Spammers are lazy and smart! Confusion matrix for spammer P[X X]=0% P[X G]=100% P[G X]=0% P[G G]=100% Confusion matrix for good worker P[X X]=80%P[X G]=20% P[G X]=20%P[G G]=80% Spammers figure out how to fly under the radar… In reality, we have 85% G sites and 15% X sites Error rate of spammer = 0% * 85% + 100% * 15% = 15% Error rate of good worker = 85% * 20% + 85% * 20% = 20% False negatives: Spam workers pass as legitimate

7. Challenge 2: Humans are biased! Error rates for legitimate (but biased) employee P[G G]=20.0%P[G P]=80.0%P[G R]=0.0%P[G X]=0.0% P[P G]=0.0%P[P P]=0.0%P[P R]=100.0%P[P X]=0.0% P[R G]=0.0%P[R P]=0.0%P[R R]=100.0%P[R X]=0.0% P[X G]=0.0%P[X P]=0.0%P[X R]=0.0%P[X X]=100.0% Error rates for legitimate (but biased) employee P[G G]=20.0%P[G P]=80.0%P[G R]=0.0%P[G X]=0.0% P[P G]=0.0%P[P P]=0.0%P[P R]=100.0%P[P X]=0.0% P[R G]=0.0%P[R P]=0.0%P[R R]=100.0%P[R X]=0.0% P[X G]=0.0%P[X P]=0.0%P[X R]=0.0%P[X X]=100.0% We have 85% G sites, 5% P sites, 5% R sites, 5% X sites Error rate of spammer (all G) = 0% * 85% + 100% * 15% = 15% Error rate of biased worker = 80% * 85% + 100% * 5% = 73% False positives: Legitimate workers appear to be spammers (important note: bias is not just a matter of ordered classes)

8. Solution: Fix bias first, compute error rate afterwards When biased worker says G, it is 100% G When biased worker says P, it is 100% G When biased worker says R, it is 50% P, 50% R When biased worker says X, it is 100% X Small ambiguity for R-rated votes but other than that, fine! Error Rates for legitimate (but biased) employee P[G G]=20.0%P[G P]=80.0%P[G R]=0.0%P[G X]=0.0% P[P G]=0.0%P[P P]=0.0%P[P R]=100.0%P[P X]=0.0% P[R G]=0.0%P[R P]=0.0%P[R R]=100.0%P[R X]=0.0% P[X G]=0.0%P[X P]=0.0%P[X R]=0.0%P[X X]=100.0% Error Rates for legitimate (but biased) employee P[G G]=20.0%P[G P]=80.0%P[G R]=0.0%P[G X]=0.0% P[P G]=0.0%P[P P]=0.0%P[P R]=100.0%P[P X]=0.0% P[R G]=0.0%P[R P]=0.0%P[R R]=100.0%P[R X]=0.0% P[X G]=0.0%P[X P]=0.0%P[X R]=0.0%P[X X]=100.0%

9. When spammer says G, it is 25% G, 25% P, 25% R, 25% X When spammer says P, it is 25% G, 25% P, 25% R, 25% X When spammer says R, it is 25% G, 25% P, 25% R, 25% X When spammer says X, it is 25% G, 25% P, 25% R, 25% X [note: assume equal priors] The results are highly ambiguous. No information provided! Error Rates for spammer P[G G]=100.0%P[G P]=0.0% P[G R]=0.0%P[G X]=0.0% P[P G]=100.0% P[P P]=0.0% P[P R]=0.0% P[P X]=0.0% P[R G]=100.0% P[R P]=0.0%P[R R]=0.0% P[R X]=0.0% P[X G]=100.0% P[X P]=0.0%P[X R]=0.0%P[X X]=0.0% Error Rates for spammer P[G G]=100.0%P[G P]=0.0% P[G R]=0.0%P[G X]=0.0% P[P G]=100.0% P[P P]=0.0% P[P R]=0.0% P[P X]=0.0% P[R G]=100.0% P[R P]=0.0%P[R R]=0.0% P[R X]=0.0% P[X G]=100.0% P[X P]=0.0%P[X R]=0.0%P[X X]=0.0% Solution: Fix bias first, compute error rate afterwards

10. [***Assume misclassification cost equal to 1, solution generalizes to arbitrary misclassification costs across categories] High cost: probability spread across classes Low cost: probability mass concentrated in one class Assigned LabelCorresponding Soft LabelLabel Cost Spammer: G 0.75 Good worker: P 0.0 Expected Misclassification Cost

11. Quality Score A spammer is a worker who assigns labels randomly, regardless of what the true class is. Quality score useful for ranking workers Unaffected by systematic biases Scalar, so no need to examine confusion matrices Quality Score: A scalar measure of quality

12. Quality Score Challenges Thresholding has wrong incentive structure: Decent (but still useful) workers remain unused If you are above the threshold, no need to improve Uncertainty: The quality score is not really a fixed number Fluctuations in payment are puzzling for workers Best to have only increases in payment Question: How to pay workers?

13. Two Types of Workers Divide workers into two groups –Qualified Workers The quality satisfies the target quality –Unqualified Workers The qualify fails to meet the target quality levels

14. –p: the price paid to all qualified workers –f W (w): the pdf distribution of worker reservation wage –F W (w): the cdf distribution of worker reservation wage –R: the fixed price paid by external client for each qualified object A Simple Pricing Model for Qualified Workers

15. 15 f W (w): LogNormal(3,1), Selling price R=50 Example f W (w) Revenue Optimal Worker Salary = 21

16. The Value of Unqualified Workers Number of Workers1357911 Classification Cost0.3000.2160.1630.1260.0990.079 We need ~9 workers to achieve the required quality Binary classification (1:1) Worker confusion matrix Accept classification cost <=0.1 Value: 1/9

17. –p: the price paid to all qualified workers –f W (w): the pdf distribution of worker reservation wage F W (w): the cdf distribution of worker reservation wage –Adjust for the presence of unqualified workers, and each unqualified worker counts as 1/k of a qualified one –R: the fixed price paid by external client for each qualified object A Pricing Model for Workers

18. Optimal Prices p*p* p*p* p * /3 p * /9

19. Quality Score Challenges Thresholding has wrong incentive structure: Decent (but still useful) workers remain unused If you are above the threshold, no need to improve Uncertainty: The quality score is not really a fixed number Fluctuations in payment are puzzling for workers Best to have only increases in payment Question: How to pay workers?

20. Bayesian Estimates for Uncertainty P[0 0]=Beta(2,1) P[0 1]=Beta(1,2) P[1 0]=Beta(1,2) P[0 0]=Beta(2,1) P[0 0]=Beta(101,1) P[0 1]=Beta(1,101) P[1 0]=Beta(1,101) P[0 0]=Beta(101,1) Worker A Worker B

21. Example of the piece-rate payment of a worker Real-Time Payment and Reimbursement Fair Payment # Tasks10203040Infinity Piece-rate Payment (cents)1118212340

22. Example of the piece-rate payment of a worker 10 Real-Time Payment and Reimbursement Fair Payment Potential Bonus # Tasks10203040Infinity Piece-rate Payment (cents)1118212340 Payment Number of Tasks Piece-rate Payment

23. 1020 Real-Time Payment and Reimbursement Fair Payment Potential Bonus # Tasks10203040Infinity Piece-rate Payment (cents)1118212340 Example of the piece-rate payment of a worker Payment Reimbursement Number of Tasks Piece-rate Payment

24. 1020 Real-Time Payment and Reimbursement Fair Payment 30 Potential Bonus # Tasks10203040Infinity Piece-rate Payment (cents)1118212340 Example of the piece-rate payment of a worker Payment Reimbursement Payment Reimbursement Piece-rate Payment

25. 1020 Real-Time Payment and Reimbursement Fair Payment 3040 Potential Bonus # Tasks10203040Infinity Piece-rate Payment (cents)1118212340 Example of the piece-rate payment of a worker Payment Reimbursement Payment Reimbursement Payment Reimbursement Piece-rate Payment

26. Synthetic Experiment Setup N=10,000 tasks R=200 cents Cost <= 0.01 Labeling Process: Workers –Arrival frequency: every 600 seconds –Number of each arrival: 10 workers –Submitting speed: 30 seconds per task The evaluation criterion is Unit Time Profit:

27. (Synthetic) Experimental Setup Scatter Plot of Confusion Matrix, Reservation Wage Qualify level and reservation wage independently distributed Qualify level and reservation wage positively correlated

28. Experimental Results Average Profit per Second

29. Workers reacting to bad rewards/scores Score-based feedback leads to strange interactions: The angry, has-been-burnt-too-many-times worker: F*** YOU! I am doing everything correctly and you know it! Stop trying to reject me with your stupid scores! The overachiever worker: What am I doing wrong?? My score is 92% and I want to have 100% 29

30. National Academy of Sciences Dec 2010 Frontiers of Science conference 30 Your workers behave like my mice! An unexpected connection…

31. 31 Your workers behave like my mice! Eh?

32. 32 Your workers want to use only their motor skills, not their cognitive skills

33. The Biology Fundamentals 33 Brain functions are biologically expensive (20% of total energy consumption in humans) Motor skills are more energy efficient than cognitive skills (e.g., walking) Brain tends to delegate easy tasks to part of the neural system that handles motor skills

34. An unexpected connection at the NAS Frontiers of Science conf. 34 Your workers want to use only their motor skills, not their cognitive skills Makes sense

35. An unexpected connection at the NAS Frontiers of Science conf. 35 And here is how I train my mice to behave…

36. The Mice Experiment Cognitive Solve maze Find pellet 36 Motor Push lever three times Pellet drops

37. How to Train the Mice? 37 Confuse motor skills! Reward cognition! I should try this the moment that I get back to my room

38. Punishing Workers Motor Skills Punish bad answers with frustration of motor skills (e.g., add delays between tasks) – Loading image, please wait… – Image did not load, press here to reload – 404 error. Return the HIT and accept again Make this probabilistic to keep feedback implicit 38

39. Rewarding (?) Cognitive Effort Reward good answers by rewarding the cognitive part of the brain – Introduce variety – Introduce novelty – Give new tasks fast – Show score improvements faster (but not the opposite) – Show optimistic score estimates 39

40. 40

41. Experiments Web page classification Image tagging Email & URL collection 41

42. Experimental Summary (I) Spammer workers quickly abandon – No need to display scores, or ban – Low quality submissions from ~60% to ~3% – Half-life of low-quality from 100+ HITs to less than 5 Good workers unaffected – No significant effect on participation of workers with good performance – Lifetime of participants unaffected – Longer response times (after removing the intervention delays; that was puzzling) 42

43. Experimental Summary (II) Remember, scheme was for training the mice… 15%-20% of the spammers start submitting good work! ???? 43

44. Two key questions Why response time was slower for some good workers? Why some low quality workers start working well? ???? 44

45. System 1: Automatic actions System 2: Intelligent actions 45

46. System 1 Tasks 46

47. System 2 Tasks 47

48. 48 Status: Usage of System 1 (Automatic) Status: Usage of System 2 (Intelligent) Not Performing Well? Disrupt and Engage System 2 Performing Well? Check if System 1 can Handle, remove System 2 stimuli Performing Well? Not Performing Well? Hell/Slow ban Out

49. Thanks! Q & A?