1. Five-Year Plan by: Abdul Rahman Ghafoori President General, CSO
CENTRAL STATISTICS ORGANIZATION (CSO)
AFGHANISTAN
by: Abdul Rahman Ghafoori
President General, CSO
PARIS21 Seminar Meetings , 5 – 7 November, Paris

2. INTRODUCTION
The war caused wide spread destruction in Afghanistan
Currently, CSO is hardly comparable with NSOs in the neighboring countries
Capacity building and institutional development are seriously needed
These observations were also contained/made by:
Statistical Master Plan,
UNFPA consultants, and
International Census Advisory Board (ICAB)

3. INTRODUCTION
CSO has to respond to the growing needs for data particularly the Afghanistan National Development Strategies (ANDS) and MDGs
This will prepare CSO to conduct the Afghanistan Population and Housing Census (APHC) in 2010.
Also, it is expected to enable CSO to stand on its own feet while minimizing its dependency on International Consultants

4. INTRODUCTION FRAMEWORK Institutional Development & Strengthening CSO
Capacity Building & Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
2010 Afghanistan Population
and Housing Census

5. I. Institutional Development and Capacity Building
Institutional development and capacity building will be undertaken in the following areas:
ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
STATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT

6. A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Institutional restructuring by itself will be insufficient for creation of an effective statistical system in the country.
It will demand programs that promote organizational development, apart from investments in physical infrastructure and development of appropriate statistical infrastructure

7. A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (cont’n)
1. User-producer relations workshops in October 2008
High-level Government officials, representatives of the private sector, donors, and CSO managers participated.
The key underlying themes were:
changed role of statistics in a market economy,
role of various stakeholders,
safeguards for maintaining the integrity of the statistical system,
importance of priority setting, and
adoption of international standards and best practices

8. A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (cont’n)
2. Preparation of Directory of Statistical outputs
This will be done in consultation with different ministries and data producing agencies through a review of the range of statistics presently with different agencies and international organizations.
The Directory will help identify:
data gaps;
over-lapping and duplications;
data collected but not used in publications.
Also, it will provide the basic building blocks for the preparation of the proposed Metadata and database

9. A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (cont’n)
3. Review of Statistics Law
The Statistics Law needs further revision. It was found out by CSO and recommendations incorporated in the Statistical Master Plan. Further recommendations made by UNFPA consultants
Some of the recommendations made :
 Inclusion of some statistical terms for clarity
 Strengthening CSO as the clearing house of any data collection activity
Inclusion of some tasks (Compilation of National accounts, Computation of Consumer Price Indices, Preparation of Input- Output (I-O) tables)

10. A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (cont’n)
4. Administrative re-structuring of CSO
At present, the structure of CSO is being streamlined to contribute to the overall institutional strengthening.
5. Observational Tours for Senior Managers
The senior management team at CSO shall visit the statistical offices of selected neighboring countries to obtain first hand insights into the experience of these countries in managing the process of statistical reform

11. A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (cont’n)
6. Short-TermTrainings
CSO has identified a number of in-house trainings in:
Basic Mathematics/Statistics
Sampling Design
Statistical Data Analysis/Software
1993 System of National Accounts (SNA 93)
Socio-Demographic and Economic Indicators
Enterprise/Establishment Business Indicators
Technical Report Writing
Basic Computer
Management
Monitoring and Evaluation
Financial and Budget Management
English Language

12. A. ORGANIZATIONAL DEVELOPMENT (concluded)
7. Academic Training
CSO staff need to be well equipped with sufficient background on demography, statistics, economics, and IT
8. On-the-job training (assignment of staff to statistical offices of neighboring countries)
Detailing CSO staff to statistical offices of other countries is another option by which the staff will learn-by-doing (on-the-job training)

13. STATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
1. Development and Implementation of Household Master Sample
With the listing of households to serve as the frame for household surveys, and for several other surveys which starts next year, having only one sampling design will be cost efficient

14. STATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT(cont’n)
2. Improvement of population estimates/ projections
At present, estimates of population are computed using the population growth rate, on the assumption that the population dynamics in the future will be the same as in the past.
However, there is a need to incorporate demographic changes in fertility, migration, and mortality in the estimation of population since in the post conflict situations, demographic changes are significant

15. STATISTICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEV’T (concluded)
3. Development of Sampling Design for IBES
There is a need to re-design the sampling methodology for IBES to be more responsive to the changing structure of the economy
CSO plans to replace business registers with Census of Establishments and regular updating of these establishments through the Listing of Establishments
4. Updating the List of Establishments
The list will serve as the sampling frame for future establishment surveys

16. C. ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
1. Improvement of CSO Website
Website as a medium for data dissemination and information campaign needs updating
2. Installation of Internet facilities in selected cities
This is very important in any statistical office
Initial installation will be in major seven cities

17. C. ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEV’T (cont’n)
3. Improvement of CSO Library
CSO needs to have a system where data could be stored and properly accessed.
Library needs improvement (books already outdated; small space; unorganized system)
Establishment of the Training Institute crucially requires a good library for its students
4. Re-construction of CSO Printing Press
CSO is printing a lot of instructional and dissemination materials.
With several data collection activities to be conducted, CSO’s in-house printing will be very cost efficient.

18. C. ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEV’T (cont’n)
5. Construction of buildings for 28 Provincial Statistics Offices
Field offices play a very important role in data collection. Thus, they need to be provided with appropriate and useful facilities.
At present, six out of the 34 Provincial Statistics Offices are permanently housed in CSO buildings.
6. Transportation Needs
Transportation facilities for Department Directors, PSOs, and District Officers
Maintenance and repair of vehicles

19. C. ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEV’T (cont’n)
7. Renovation of CSO Kabul Office
CSO building in Kabul is already old and received damages during the war. Thus, it requires renovation.
This will provide a much better and encouraging working environment
Some of the priority areas for renovation are the washrooms, re-painting of the buildings, and concreting of CSO premises

20. C. ICT AND PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE DEV’T (concluded)
8. Construction of Building for Statistical Training Institute
The Statistical Training Institute is envisioned to provide all statistical training needs of the country’s statistical system, not only for CSO but for other government offices as well.
The building for the Statistical Training Institute will also house the CSO Library and Printing Press

21. II. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
A number of surveys and three censuses are to be conducted during the proposed period of five years.
These activities respond to the data needs and enhance visibility of CSO as data producer, and increase the experience of CSO staff while creating confidence in them.

22. II. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(cont’n)
A. Household Sample Surveys
Survey on Participation of Women and Men in Decision Making
Policy makers, administrators, planners, and international organizations will be provided with comprehensive and up-to-date baseline data on women and men at the decision-making levels.
The data can be used for promoting gender equality and empowerment of women.

23. II. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(cont’n)
2. Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS)
The survey shall collect information about health of children and women such as:
immunization coverage of children below two years,
Vitamin A supplementation of pregnant and lactating women and of children below two years;
education and work of children; and
child protection.

24. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(cont’n)
3. Labor Force Survey
The data will be used to assess employment status, occupation, and industry structure in the country.
In order to capture seasonality in employment, visits to the households will be done, initially every six months and then quarterly for the years to come

25. II. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(cont’n)
4. Household Income and Expenditure Survey
Data will be used to assess poverty situation in the country, income inequality, sources of income, spending patterns of the households, and factors affecting income and expenditure.
Survey results will provide benchmark information to update weights in the estimation of consumer price index, and inputs for the national accounts.

26. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(cont’n)
5. Child Labor Survey
The survey will provide data on the extent of involvement of children in labour related activities.
This will also include data on children’s education, living arrangement, and problems children are facing in their work environment including their exposure to health hazards and reasons for engaging in such environment.

27. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(cont’n)
6. Demographic and Health Survey
It shall collect information on:
reproductive health;
mortality (infant and under-five mortality rates);
fertility and factors that determine the level and trends;
knowledge and attitudes of women and men about sexually transmitted infections and HIV/AIDS; and
family health, including immunizations, prevalence and treatment of diarrhea and other diseases among children under five, antenatal visits, assistance at delivery, and breastfeeding.

28. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(cont’n)
7. National Risk and Vulnerability Survey
Objectives:
to collect information at community and household level to better understand livelihoods of Kuchi, rural and urban households throughout the country, and
to determine the types of risks and vulnerabilities they face.
8. Census of Agriculture
Objective: to provide agricultural information such as number of agricultural operators, crops planted, area planted/harvested, etc.

29. Strengthening CSO and Enhancing its Statistical Capacity
(concluded)
Establishment Statistics
Integrated Business Establishment Survey
It will provide information on the size or employment, revenue, inputs used, production, and other enterprise related information.
The data will be used as inputs to national accounts, GDP, and other enterprise-based indicators.
2. Census of Establishments
It will provide a complete listing of all establishments in the country, including their sizes, revenue, production, etc.

30. III. 2010 Afghanistan Population and Housing Census
1. Updating of Household Listing and Enumeration Areas
Serves as baseline information when estimating the 2010 Afghanistan Population and Housing Census (APHC) workload of enumerators and controllers of the census.
To establish some quality checks for the 2010 APHC. That is, to eliminate over and under reporting of the population
Serve as a frame for the socio-demographic surveys that will be conducted by CSO later on.

31. III. 2010 Afghanistan Population and Housing Census (cont’n)
2. Setting up of Regional Units and District Offices
The International Regional Advisers will be in-charge of the smooth conduct of the census in the assigned regions in accordance with international standards.
They will take care of publicity, assessment of security, coordinate with local officials, and conduct of capacity building for CSO Provincial Staff.
One of the recommendations of the ICAB is the gradual setting up of permanent District Offices.
These are vital in ensuring proper coordination of activities at the district level as they are much closer to local officials.

32. III. 2010 Afghanistan Population and Housing Census (cont’n)
3. Pilot census
Pilot census is a full dress rehearsal of the census procedures and materials.
This will be conducted in order to test if all census materials such as questionnaires and manuals in all languages, and procedures such as recruitment, training, processing, tabulation and analysis, are error-free.

33. III. 2010 Afghanistan Population and Housing Census (concluded)
4. Publicity Campaign
A massive information campaign is required to:
make CSO censuses and other activities known to the people
solicit cooperation from respondents.
It would involve the participation of the local people – Mullahs, village heads, and other influential people.

34. Major Components of CSO Five-Year Plan by Estimated Budget
In Million Dollar

35. 2010 Afghanistan Population and Housing Census
Activity by Estimated Budget
In Million Dollar
In Million Dollar

36. Thank You