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Who Will Lead the World? Shifting Alignments in World Public Opinion A GlobeScan/PIPA Poll April 6, 2005.

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Presentation on theme: "Who Will Lead the World? Shifting Alignments in World Public Opinion A GlobeScan/PIPA Poll April 6, 2005."— Presentation transcript:

1 Who Will Lead the World? Shifting Alignments in World Public Opinion A GlobeScan/PIPA Poll April 6, 2005

2 Changing U.S. Favorability Ratings Percent favorable view of the United States US State Dept: 1999-2000 Pew: March 2004

3 Country Sample Size (unweighted) Field dates Canada1000Nov 23 – Dec 6 2004 Mexico1000Nov 16 – Dec 15 2004 USA1000Nov 17 – Dec 12 2004 Argentina1005Dec 10–13 2004 Brazil800Nov 16 – Dec 30 2004 Chile1200Dec 10–29 2004 Australia1018Dec 1–29 2004 China1800Dec 4–20 2004 India1005Dec 4–15 2004 Indonesia1000Nov 30 – Dec 19 2004 Japan1403Dec 9–12 2004 Philippines500Dec 11–22 2004 South Korea1000Nov 26 – Dec 16 2004 France1001Dec 8–15 2004 Germany1004Nov 29 – Dec 31 2004 Great Britain1000Nov 15–28 2004 Italy1035Dec 3–17 2004 Poland943Nov 25–29 2004 Spain808Jan 17–19 2005 Russia1028Dec 2–28 2004 Turkey1200Dec 9–20 2004 Lebanon1000Dec 15 – Jan 3 2005 South Africa1011Jan 3–5 2005 Sampling and Fielding Dates

4 Mainly positive Mainly negative United States’ Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world... The United States The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Philippines South Africa India Poland South Korea Italy Great Britain Brazil China Australia Indonesia France Canada Lebanon Chile Spain Germany Japan Argentina Turkey 889 35 30 21 45 40 50 51 42 52 51 54 60 49 50 51 64 31 65 62 38 19 24 27 29 33 34 38 40 42 44 49 56 54 52 Russia Mexico 18 16 11 63 57 47 World Average w/o US

5 Mainly positive Mainly negative United States’ Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world... The United States The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Philippines India South Korea Brazil China Australia Indonesia Canada Chile Japan Argentina 889 30 45 51 42 52 51 60 50 31 65 38 19 24 29 34 38 40 42 54 52 Mexico 11 57 47 World Average w/o US United States 2571 Asia-Pacific: South America: North America: World Average:

6 Mainly positive Mainly negative United States’ Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world... The United States The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” South Africa Poland Italy Great Britain France Lebanon Spain Germany Turkey 35 21 40 50 54 49 51 64 62 38 27 29 33 38 44 49 56 52 Russia 18 16 63 47 World Average w/o US Middle East: Eurasia: Europe: World Average: Africa:

7 Mainly Positive Mainly Negative Influence in the World Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world (Number of countries where majority or plurality says…) The white space in this chart indicates countries where views are divided. France Europe 22 20 Britain 18 China 14 US 6 Russia 5 0 1 3 3 15 14

8 Mainly Positive Mainly Negative View of Influence -By Mean Percent- The white space in this chart represents indicates “Don’t know” or “No answer” France Europe 68 58 Britain 50 China 48 US 38 Russia 35 13 20 29 30 47 40

9 Mainly positive Mainly negative European Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world…Europe The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Germany Italy France Spain Canada Great Britain China South Africa Philippines Poland Australia Indonesia South Korea Lebanon Chile United States Brazil Russia Argentina Turkey Mexico 886 587 7 3 10 14 7 17 3 11 16 24 8 10 23 11 15 21 16 68 54 56 60 61 67 71 74 75 76 77 86 82 79 Japan India 42 39 35 2 33 13 World Average

10 Mainly positive Mainly negative Europe vs. US Influence in World: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... Europe becomes more influential than the United States in world affairs. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Spain Germany Italy France China Great Britain Mexico South Africa Russia Australia Lebanon Argentina Poland Turkey Chile Japan Philippines United States World Average w/out Europeans 819 1079 14 22 8 26 16 25 26 13 14 12 16 19 17 38 54 55 25 2358 53 34 35 48 49 58 59 62 63 66 76 70 66 60 23 Canada India 3513 World Average Indonesia 22 56 Brazil 2853 South Korea 4053 57

11 Mainly positive Mainly negative Europe vs. US Influence in the World: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... Europe becomes more influential than the United States in world affairs. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Chile Mexico Australia Argentina China Japan Philippines United States World Average w/out Europeans 8 17 26 16 38 54 55 25 2358 53 34 35 66 57 62 63 66 48 23 Canada India 35 13 World Average Indonesia 2256 Brazil 2853 4053 South Korea Asia-Pacific: South America: North America: World Average:

12 Mainly positive Mainly negative Europe vs. US Influence in the World: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... Europe becomes more influential than the United States in world affairs. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Spain Germany Italy France Great Britain South Africa Russia Lebanon Poland Turkey World Average w/out Europeans 819 1079 14 22 26 25 13 14 12 19 25 2358 53 49 58 59 63 66 76 70 60 World Average Middle East: Eurasia: Europe: World Average: Africa:

13 Educational Variations Support Europe becoming more influential than the US High Medium 56 63 24 21 Low 5322 The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Mainly positive Mainly negative

14 Mainly positive Mainly negative French Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world…France The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Germany Italy China South Korea Lebanon South Africa Canada Philippines Spain Russia Chile Indonesia Poland Brazil Great Britain Australia India Argentina United States Mexico 1377 17 9 22 12 17 19 22 12 7 10 21 11 24 39 30 28 20 52 23 58 37 45 46 51 53 56 60 63 67 68 69 73 72 69 Japan Turkey 36 35 34 4 37 20 World Average (w/o France)

15 Mainly positive Mainly negative British Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… Britain The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” United States South Korea Canada South Africa Poland Australia Italy Philippines Indonesia France Spain China Germany Russia Chile Brazil Lebanon India Japan Turkey 78 15 2570 23 24 7 22 31 29 30 37 27 30 39 18 24 38 34 35 7 48 50 31 39 40 43 46 48 49 51 56 57 58 65 67 66 Argentina Mexico 27 18 17 53 41 29 World Average w/o Great Britain

16 Mainly positive Mainly negative Chinese Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… China The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Lebanon Philippines Indonesia India South Africa Chile Australia Brazil France Canada South Korea Great Britain Argentina Russia Italy United States Spain Turkey Germany Mexico 974 23 20 25 15 28 32 33 39 47 34 26 27 40 46 33 36 47 28 48 34 37 39 42 44 46 49 53 56 70 68 66 62 Poland Japan 33 26 22 33 25 30 World Average w/o China

17 Mainly positive Mainly negative Chinese Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… China The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Philippines Indonesia India Australia South Korea 23 20 28 47 48 49 56 70 68 66 Japan 22 25 30 World Average w/o China

18 Mainly positive Mainly negative Chinese Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world… China The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” France Great Britain Italy Spain Germany 33 34 40 33 47 48 34 37 42 46 49 Poland 26 33 30 World Average w/o China

19 Mainly positive Mainly negative China Becoming More Powerful Economically: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative....China becomes significantly more powerful economically than it is today? The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” India Lebanon Indonesia South Africa Philippines France Mexico South Korea Great Britain Canada Australia Chile Brazil United States Russia Germany Italy Poland Japan Spain 1768 11 21 25 31 18 43 34 37 38 23 35 45 33 44 47 32 23 47 31 35 39 41 42 43 46 48 52 53 54 59 67 65 64 63 Argentina 3041 Turkey 2642 World Average w/out China 4933

20 Mainly positive Mainly negative China Becoming More Powerful Militarily: For each of the following possible future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... China becomes significantly more powerful militarily than it is today. The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” India Philippines Lebanon South Africa South Korea Mexico Brazil Indonesia Great Britain Chile Canada Russia France United States Turkey Argentina Spain Germany Japan 2756 46 27 42 58 37 50 55 65 53 70 59 64 75 74 58 76 87 78 5924 3 7 9 14 17 19 20 21 25 27 31 33 45 44 42 38 Italy 17 49 Australia 1479 Poland 1365 World Average w/out China

21 Mainly positive Mainly negative Russian Influence in the World: Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world…Russia The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” India China Philippines Chile South Africa South Korea Indonesia United States Lebanon Great Britain Italy Canada Spain France Australia Germany Brazil Turkey Mexico Argentina 1667 16 39 23 40 50 40 44 29 46 47 46 40 57 46 57 52 42 23 38 35 22 26 27 28 29 30 31 36 38 39 40 42 64 49 44 42 Poland Japan 22 17 11 51 29 40 World Average (w/o Russia)

22 Mainly Positive Mainly Negative Influence in the World Please tell me if you think each of the following are having a mainly positive or mainly negative influence in the world (Number of countries where majority or plurality says…) The white space in this chart indicates countries where views are divided. France Europe 22 20 Britain 18 China 14 US 6 Russia 5 0 1 3 3 15 14 United Nations 23 0

23 Mainly Positive Mainly Negative View of Influence -By Mean Percent- The white space in this chart represents indicates “Don’t know” or “No answer” France Europe 68 58 Britain 50 China 48 US 38 Russia 35 13 20 29 30 47 40 United Nations 6615

24 Mainly positive Mainly negative UN Influence in the World: For each of the following future trends, please tell me if you would see it as mainly positive or mainly negative... United Nations becomes significantly more powerful in world affairs The white space in this chart represents “Depends/Neither,” and “DK/NA.” Germany Spain Indonesia Philippines Great Britain Canada Mexico Chile Great Britain South Africa United States Lebanon Australia Italy Russia South Korea China France Argentina World Average Turkey 877 10 78 9 18 20 22 5 18 3 11 22 37 18 33 11 38 17 37 22 24 1964 40 44 54 56 57 58 59 61 64 65 69 71 77 75 72 Australia 7417 61 26 Japan India 5523

25 To view additional reports and questionnaires online, please visit us at: www.pipa.org Who Will Lead the World? Shifting Alignments in World Public Opinion A GlobeScan/PIPA Poll

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