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Issues to Consider regarding Distributed Solar Dave Renné, Senior Consultant Clean Power Research Introduction to Forecasting of Variable Renewable Energy.

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Presentation on theme: "Issues to Consider regarding Distributed Solar Dave Renné, Senior Consultant Clean Power Research Introduction to Forecasting of Variable Renewable Energy."— Presentation transcript:

1 Issues to Consider regarding Distributed Solar Dave Renné, Senior Consultant Clean Power Research Introduction to Forecasting of Variable Renewable Energy New Delhi: June 15-17, 2016 Introduction to Forecasting of Variable Renewable Energy New Delhi: June 15-17, 2016

2 Understanding Variability is Key to High PV Penetrations DeSoto, Florida 25 MW PV Plant Source: Windlogics/FPL (Adam Kankiewicz) 

3 Geographic Diversity Reduces Ramp Rates Source: Source: Clean Power Research

4 Geographic Diversity Reduces Prediction Uncertainty Source: Source: Clean Power Research Fleetview Whilte Paper Avg. MAE of 4 individual locationsAvg. MAE of 4 locations combined “Regional solar resource predictions are considerably more accurate than single site predictions.”

5 Issues to Consider for High-Pen Solar Source: Geographic Diversity of Solar PV smooths out variability Consider the role of microgrids in meeting off-grid PV targets Behind the Meter forecasting important for accurate load forecasts DSM: What might be role of solar heating and cooling? …and how will low PV prices affect the future of SHC? The role of storage…

6 Energy Storage can Shift Time of Use of solar technologies such as CSP Source: IEA Solar Thermal Roadmap, 2014 Thermal Storage Uncouples Electricity Generation from Solar Energy Collection


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