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IOPD XI 2008 June 17, 2008 Berlin, Germany Biofuels and National Agricultural Policy State of Affairs and Future Prospects: Canada Stewart Gilroy Chair,

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Presentation on theme: "IOPD XI 2008 June 17, 2008 Berlin, Germany Biofuels and National Agricultural Policy State of Affairs and Future Prospects: Canada Stewart Gilroy Chair,"— Presentation transcript:

1 IOPD XI 2008 June 17, 2008 Berlin, Germany Biofuels and National Agricultural Policy State of Affairs and Future Prospects: Canada Stewart Gilroy Chair, Canola Council of Canada www.canolacouncil.org

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6 Value of Prairie Farm Cash Receipts Wheat (exc. Durum) vs. Canola ($000,000)

7 Canola: Number 1 Crop in Canada 2007 Canola Farm Cash Receipts > $3.4 billion Number 1 crop in Canada. 3 rd after Beef and Dairy

8 Canola Industry 2015 Strategy Innovate across the value chain Adapt quickly to change Focus on markets that place value on canola’s specific attributes Build on our ability to contribute to improved consumer health and a better environment Continually monitor and measure performance

9 Element20062015 Target Production Yield 9.1 million T 32 bu/acre 15 million tonnes 35% increase (40.5 bu/acre) Oil content42.5% average45% average Classic to Designer90/1075/25 Meal2000 kcals/kg energy content (poultry) 10% increase (90% of soybean meal energy level) Export Seed 5.2 million T7.5 million T Crush Biodiesel (domestic) Biodiesel (export oil) Food (domestic & export) 3.7 million T 0.05 million T 0.25 million T 3.40 million T 7.5 million T 2.00 million T 0.50 million T 5.00 million T

10 Shorten Rotations 25% Non-traditional Acres 3% Extra acres due to reduced costs of production 2% MORE ACRES 30% Hybrid Adoption 10% Genetic gain (2% per year) 15% Improved disease, insect resistance 5% MORE YIELD 35% More Production More Oil More Profit MORE CANOLA 75% More Reliably 2006 2015 X = New traits (yield, stress, drought) 5% 13 Million30 Bus/Acre9 MMT 15 MMT40 Bus/Acre17 Million

11 Canola Biodiesel

12 Biodiesel –Development in Canada Renewable Fuel Standard is key Incentive programs not on parity with the US Infrastructure limited by investment dollars –Food vs. Fuel concerns: 2% in Canada = 1 million tonnes; 2015 target = 2 million tonnes or 13% of production. –Future - Low carbon fuel standards and sustainability.

13 Why Biodiesel? Substituting just 5% of the diesel we use today with domestically produced biodiesel will generate more than $600 million in capital expenditures and contribute more than $1.1 billion per year additional farm income. Economic Impact Study for a Canola-based Biodiesel Industry in Canada, July 2006, BBI Biofuels Canada

14 Lowest saturated fat content of any available feedstock (7%) = excellent cold flow properties Good oxidative stability from moderate linolenic acid levels Longer engine life by improved lubricity Proven record in the EU Why Canola Biodiesel?

15 Mandate – 5% renewable fuel by 2012 (2% renewable diesel) Incentives: Up to $.20 per litre…declining 20% profitability triggers full clawback 150 million L company cap; 7 million L minimum Elimination of $.04/litre federal excise tax Interest free capital based on producer investment Canadian Biofuels Approach

16 How much canola? Today 3 companies = 70 million litres (ADM –Velva start up (321 million) 1.0 million T Announced 9 companies = 1.8 billion litres 4.7 million T 2% mandate600 million L1.6 million T

17 Or …Based on the Mandate “Two percent renewable content in on and off-road diesel by 2012 (hopefully 2010) subject to satisfactory demonstration of performance in Canadian climactic conditions...” 600 million L = 1.6 million MT canola seed Unlikely that the Canadian petroleum industry would exceed mandate US opportunity for Canadian feedstock may ultimately be limited by increased US production

18 Government of Canada Incentives – Payable to biodiesel producer Applicable to all “renewable” diesels Up to $.20 per litre…declining 20% profitability triggers full clawback 150 million L company cap; 7 million L minimum Elimination of $.04/litre federal excise tax Interest free capital based on producer investment

19 Incentives Provinces

20 Next Steps Government policy Alberta Pilot (2% by 2012) New Renewables Fuel Bill ? Move 2% mandate to 2010 Push for a 5% 2015 mandate Address the patchwork of provincial mandates and incentives Stakeholder Communication Canola biodiesel is not ethanol

21 Environmental Benefits

22 How much energy does it take to make biodiesel compared to petroleum diesel? It takes 1 litre of diesel to make: 4 litres of petroleum diesel 2.5 litres of biodiesel 1.5 litres of ethanol Biodiesel is a renewable fuel Income related to biodiesel production is spread amongst many sectors No engine modification is required

23 Dino- Diesel Biodiesel (IPPC) Biodiesel (observed) Biodiesel (Zero Till)

24 The canola industry vision: Innovative. Resilient. Determined to Create Superior Value and a Healthier World.


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