1. Specialist Housing for Older People Analysis Tool NHF Conference Manchester July 10 th 2013

2. SHOP@

3. Dan Gaul – change3C 25years senior management experience at Suffolk County Council Experience in corporate property and procurement roles and service operations Last 5 years head of service for SCC residential care homes Project lead for SCC Flexicare programme -Joint initiative with district/borough councils to support older people’s housing

5. Housing LIN Leading independent ‘learning lab’ promoting learning and improvement (LIN) new ideas, innovation and integration in the housing and care sectors Formerly responsible for the DH Extra Care Housing Grant capital fund and now working with policy makers, commissioners, funders and providers on market development and inward investment 46,000 members across housing, health and social care Comprehensive online resources to help build sector capacity and capability, including SHOP Resources Pack Follow on twitter @HousingLIN

6. Elderly Accommodation Counsel National charity helping older people make informed decisions about housing and care Lead organisation for FirstStop Advice, an independent, free public service in partnership with other local and national and organisations Maintains National Database of Housing for Older People Runs HousingCare.org website Runs National Housing for Older People Awards

7. Project Terms of Reference To produce a national analysis tool that predicts future housing and care needs of older people based on nationally accepted parameters and agreed data. supports local scenario testing and prioritisation at county, unitary, district and borough level. assists S106 applications and local development framework plans develops Market Position Statements and Strategic Housing Market Assessments

9. Commissioning Strategy Challenges ahead Capital and revenue Age profile Life Expectancy Expectations of people as they age Tenure Care and services needs

10. Commissioning Strategy contd Greater Understanding of the issues Understanding neighbourhood assets Reduced resources Many variables Lack of historic data Requirement for planning, housing, health adult care to work together £300m DH funding via HCA and GLA.

12. National Tool –SH0P@ Housing LIN Shop Resource Pack EAC Capacity Data POPPI Future Population Data ‘More Choice, Greater Voice’ need projections Option to take into account increased life expectancy

13. Population 75+Extra Care REGION2013203020132030% Expected extra care EC Cap 2013 % units 2013 %units 2030 North East 224,300 334,000 5,608 8,350184833.6222.13 North West 570,100 856,500 14,253 21,413537538.4125.10 Yorkshire and the Humber 432,600 656,000 10,815 16,400327030.8219.94 East Midlands 381,000 631,700 9,525 15,793258127.7216.34 West Midlands 466,700 719,500 11,668 17,988547547.9130.44 East 522,600 850,000 13,065 21,250421533.0119.84 London 457,800 631,000 11,445 15,775371132.8223.52 South East 763,400 1,227,900 19,085 30,698319817.1110.42 South West 532,800 849,900 13,320 21,248394830.2018.58 England 4,351,400 6,756,500 108,785 168,9133362131.5219.90

14. SHOP@ in Action

16. Tenure Options Most DeprivedDeprivedAffluentMost Affluent RentedL’holdRentedL’holdRentedL’holdRentedL’hold Sheltered 752550 33672080 Enh Shel 8020673350 2080 Extra care 75255050`33672080 SHOP@ MARKET SPLIT 2030 OPTIONS - GREATER DEPRIVATION/AFFLUENCE SPLIT

24. SHOP@ Next Phase

25. NEXT PHASE Community level analysis (MSOA level) Service demand trends Dementia and health profiles MPS, SMHA, JSNA development Planning Framework review Asset Management Planning Community Engagement

26. Other useful resources ADASS/Housing LIN (2011) Strategic Housing for Older People Resource Pack, ‘Planning, designing and delivering housing that older people want’ Housing LIN et al (2012) Planning toolkit, ‘Housing in later life: planning head for specialist housing for older people’ Housing LIN Briefing Paper 1 (2012), ‘Market Position Statements and Housing’ APPG (2012), Housing our Ageing Population: Plan for Implementation Developing care market for quality & choice’; Institute of Public Care

27. Contacts Dan Gaul change3c 0793 895 8015 dangaul@sky.com www.change3C.co.uk John Galvin EAC 0207 820 7867 John.galvin@eac.org.uk www.eac.org.uk Nicola Mallett Essex County Council 0124 543 0076 nicola.mallett@essex.gov.uk Jeremy Porteus Housing LIN 0207 820 8077 info@housinglin.org.uk www.housinglin.org.uk

29. Questions Does the tool support improved housing outcomes for older people in terms of both strategic planning policies, specific planning application decisions and housing market assessments? What other information would be helpful to support the decision making processes? Do housing strategies have other data systems that can provide additional relevant information that can support the tool? How important is the sub district MSOA information and can that be analysed through a national tool.